Polyfactual
Polyfactual combines live prediction market data with AI to give traders and developers instant research, analysis, and trading tools across Polymarket and Kalshi.
Polyfactual AI Research Tools and API for Polymarket and Kalshi
What is Polyfactual?
Polyfactual is an AI-powered prediction market research platform with tools for Polymarket and Kalshi traders, including a Chrome extension, deep research API, email-based trading terminal, and OSINT intelligence dashboard.
Polyfactual Overview
Polyfactual is an AI-powered research platform built for prediction market traders and developers. It pulls live data from markets like Polymarket and Kalshi, runs it through large language models, and returns structured analysis with cited sources. The goal is to cut the time between spotting a market and understanding whether it is mispriced.
The Chrome extension sits inside the Polymarket interface and generates Buy, Hold, or Avoid recommendations with confidence scores as you browse. A floating panel keeps the analysis on screen without opening a new tab, so you stay in the market while getting a second opinion.
Facts AI is the core research engine and API layer. It runs on edge infrastructure for fast responses and handles complex queries about event outcomes, always returning cited sources so you can verify the reasoning. Over 700,000 requests have been served across 12 partner integrations including PolyBrain and Poly Terminal. Developers use it to power bots, agents, and custom analysis tools.
Facts Trade is a trading terminal that requires only an email to get started. It auto-deploys a Gnosis Safe wallet on Polygon, so there are no browser extensions or gas fees to manage. Limit orders, market orders, real-time order books, and cross-chain deposits are all available in a clean interface.
FactsBase is an OSINT terminal that aggregates more than 30 live intelligence feeds, covering military activity, conflict events, and macroeconomic indicators alongside prediction market flows. A 3D globe visualization ties the feeds together, and built-in AI generates trade ideas from the combined data. Researchers tracking global events alongside market positions get the most out of it.
Facts Pro is the developer API for high-volume usage. It provides structured prediction market data, AI research endpoints, and real-time intelligence feeds with rate limiting and access controls. Teams building scanners, dashboards, or data pipelines use it as the foundation.
What separates Polyfactual from single-purpose tools is the range. Most platforms offer a chart or a feed. Polyfactual connects the research layer, the trading terminal, the OSINT dashboard, and the developer API under one product family. A trader can go from reading a news event in FactsBase to placing a limit order in Facts Trade without switching between unrelated tools. Users who tested the Chrome extension during beta reported that the team shipped suggested features quickly, including automatic bull and bear case breakdowns and plain-language arbitrage summaries.
Polyfactual Key features
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Chrome Extension Analysis
The extension runs inside the Polymarket interface and scrapes live market data as you browse. It generates Buy, Hold, or Avoid recommendations with confidence scores in a floating panel on each market page.
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Facts AI Research API
Facts AI handles complex prediction market queries, always returns cited sources, and runs on edge networks for fast responses. Over 700K requests have been served across 12 partner integrations, and developers use it to power bots, agents, and custom analysis layers.
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Email-Based Trading Terminal
Facts Trade lets users sign in with email only, with no browser extension or gas fees required. It auto-deploys a Gnosis Safe wallet on Polygon and supports limit orders, market orders, and cross-chain deposits.
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OSINT Intelligence Terminal
FactsBase pulls more than 30 open-source intelligence feeds into one view, covering military activity, conflict events, and macro indicators on a 3D globe. A built-in AI layer generates trade ideas from the combined data streams.
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Developer API Access
Facts Pro gives developers structured endpoints for prediction market data, AI research, and real-time intelligence. It includes rate limiting and secure access controls, and scales to high-volume usage for bots, scanners, and analytics dashboards.
Polyfactual Demo video
Polyfactual Screenshots
Polyfactual User Reviews
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been testing out the new @polyfactual chrome extension
View on X ↗
prediction markets are the next big thing and this makes them way easier to use
before you go long or short on a market you can now get a quick reality check
pulling in public info automatically through deep research agents
super useful for research trading or just sharpening your thinking
the team even shipped updates i suggested during beta
like
auto steelmanning bull bear cases
plain language breakdown of arbitrage opportunities
impressed with how fast they move how thoughtful the product is
if you are curious about the intersection of ai prediction markets keep an eye on this one -
super! Joined! a great tool
View on X ↗ -
Just the best! you are doing a lot of useful things!
View on X ↗
Is Polyfactual safe & legit?
Polyfactual is built and maintained by Liminal Tech Corp, a registered entity with published terms of service and a user agreement. The project received a Polymarket grant, which indicates it passed some level of vetting by the platform itself. No credible scam reports or security breaches appear in public searches, and the individual founder names being undisclosed is common practice in crypto infrastructure projects rather than a red flag on its own.
X account intel @polyfactual
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Joined X October 2024 1 year ago
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Username changes Never renamed
Public profile signals from X. Use as one input alongside other due-diligence.
Wallet blacklist scan checked Jun 10, 2026
- MetaMask Not flagged
- Phantom Not flagged
- ScamSniffer Not flagged
- EtherAddressLookup Not flagged
- Keplr Wallet Not flagged
Domain www.polyfactual.com checked against public crypto wallet blacklists.
Polyfactual Updates
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Prediction markets are getting their own creator economy.
@TradeRyno is building a platform where traders monetize their intelligence through callouts
Giving even smaller-bankroll traders a way to build a brand and earn.- 2 replies
- 4 reposts
- 15 likes
- 1.3K views
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Back in 2015, you had $100
No one really knew what would explode: crypto, gaming chips, or rockets that could actually land back on Earth
Here's how it played out 11 years later:
NVIDIA ( $NVDA ): $100 → $36,600
Alphabet/Google ( $GOOGL ): $100 → $1,310
Microsoft ( $MSFT ): $100 → $830
Bitcoin ( $BTC ): $100 → $27,600
Ethereum ( $ETH ): $100 → $167,000
Amazon ( $AMZN ): $100 → $1,100
Apple ( $AAPL ): $100 → $890
SpaceX ( $SPCX ): Valuation grew roughly 150-180x from 2015 to its 2026 IPO
For an average person, the most realistic way to get in early on SpaceX was to get a job there in 2015
Right now on Polymarket, traders are giving SpaceX an 88% chance of having the largest IPO of 2026 by market cap
In 2015, most of these looked risky or straight-up crazy. Very few people picked the winners
Today, it feels like we're at another turning point. The next big shift might be prediction markets - not just holding assets, but actually predicting the future you believe in
Where would you put your $100 today in 2026?
1 more in this thread
https://polymarket.com/event/largest-ipo-by-market-cap-in-2026-287?r=polyfactual- 6 replies
- 3 reposts
- 19 likes
- 1.5K views
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Clipped the live of Kairos CEO explaining the edge on 5-minute up/down
I tried trading 5-minute up/down markets and it's genuinely easy to scalp
I set the limit orders by Best bids
Get filled instantly without any cent paid in fees
I set the Trailing Stop
It adjusts in real time, moves along with my profits
And then it will never drop lower
To be simpler:
Once the odds pumped enough, you're is basically locked in profits
@KairosTradeX was released just today, already superiors other trading terminals
Picture of my recent profits on Kairos below in replies
$30,000 Trading Competition details in the tweet below- 15 replies
- 4 reposts
- 67 likes
- 2.5K views
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Another ACE round LIVE on Metalex right now is @polyfactual,
A serious media play in the Prediction market space.
Here are some quick stats:
> AI infra integrated with 12 Poly trading terminals
> Next level network of trader's, founders and angels
> A top podcast in prediction markets
Might be time to get on the cap
- 2 replies
- 2 reposts
- 11 likes
- 734 views
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SpaceX just went public
SpaceX started trading on Nasdaq today under ticker $SPCX
Shares surged as much as 28% during the day, briefly pushing the market cap above $2.2 trillion
Polymarket: 88% chance of closing in the $2-2.5T range
SpaceX is using a gradual unlock instead of a standard 6-month lock-up:
- After Q2 earnings (August): 20% + another 10% if the stock stays above $175.50 for 5 out of 10 trading days
- 7% unlocks every 15-20 days from late August to late October
= After Q3 earnings: 28% becomes available
- Final unlock: December 9, 2026
- Elon Musk and major shareholders are locked until June 2027
Analyst targets:
＞Average: $165
＞ARK Invest: $2.5T by 2030
＞Morningstar: $780B (most bearish)
According to many analysts, selling pressure is expected to remain relatively low until August
The biggest risk period comes after Q2 earnings, when the first major wave of shares unlocks
What are your thoughts on SpaceX's gradual lock-up schedule?
1 more in this thread
https://polymarket.com/event/spacex-ipo-closing-market-cap?r=polyfactual- 8 replies
- 4 reposts
- 33 likes
- 1.1K views
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You've never seen a prediction market move this fast.
We got a sneak peek of @KairosTradeX from the last Polyfactual pod with @thejay
btw, Kairos just launched a Trading Championship with @Polymarket and @TXODDSOfficial:
> $30,000
> four prize pools
> top traders vs top creators
Runs for the entire World Cup.- 15 replies
- 8 reposts
- 45 likes
- 7.8K views
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@thejay @KairosTradeX Watch the full podcast here:
- 2 likes
- 267 views
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When Hyperliquid launched, everyone said the same thing: "No KYC? Regulators will shut this down."
Now stock exchanges are calling them, asking how to get listed.
The lesson: lead with innovation, not with what's "allowed" right now.
From our talk with @ashish24rawat founder of @polyfund- 3 replies
- 2 reposts
- 12 likes
- 1.2K views
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