Polyfactual
Polyfactual combines live prediction market data with AI to give traders and developers instant research, analysis, and trading tools across Polymarket and Kalshi.
Polyfactual AI Research Tools and API for Polymarket and Kalshi
What is Polyfactual?
Polyfactual is an AI-powered prediction market research platform with tools for Polymarket and Kalshi traders, including a Chrome extension, deep research API, email-based trading terminal, and OSINT intelligence dashboard.
Polyfactual Overview
Polyfactual is an AI-powered research platform built for prediction market traders and developers. It pulls live data from markets like Polymarket and Kalshi, runs it through large language models, and returns structured analysis with cited sources. The goal is to cut the time between spotting a market and understanding whether it is mispriced.
The Chrome extension sits inside the Polymarket interface and generates Buy, Hold, or Avoid recommendations with confidence scores as you browse. A floating panel keeps the analysis on screen without opening a new tab, so you stay in the market while getting a second opinion.
Facts AI is the core research engine and API layer. It runs on edge infrastructure for fast responses and handles complex queries about event outcomes, always returning cited sources so you can verify the reasoning. Over 700,000 requests have been served across 12 partner integrations including PolyBrain and Poly Terminal. Developers use it to power bots, agents, and custom analysis tools.
Facts Trade is a trading terminal that requires only an email to get started. It auto-deploys a Gnosis Safe wallet on Polygon, so there are no browser extensions or gas fees to manage. Limit orders, market orders, real-time order books, and cross-chain deposits are all available in a clean interface.
FactsBase is an OSINT terminal that aggregates more than 30 live intelligence feeds, covering military activity, conflict events, and macroeconomic indicators alongside prediction market flows. A 3D globe visualization ties the feeds together, and built-in AI generates trade ideas from the combined data. Researchers tracking global events alongside market positions get the most out of it.
Facts Pro is the developer API for high-volume usage. It provides structured prediction market data, AI research endpoints, and real-time intelligence feeds with rate limiting and access controls. Teams building scanners, dashboards, or data pipelines use it as the foundation.
What separates Polyfactual from single-purpose tools is the range. Most platforms offer a chart or a feed. Polyfactual connects the research layer, the trading terminal, the OSINT dashboard, and the developer API under one product family. A trader can go from reading a news event in FactsBase to placing a limit order in Facts Trade without switching between unrelated tools. Users who tested the Chrome extension during beta reported that the team shipped suggested features quickly, including automatic bull and bear case breakdowns and plain-language arbitrage summaries.
Polyfactual Key features
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Chrome Extension Analysis
The extension runs inside the Polymarket interface and scrapes live market data as you browse. It generates Buy, Hold, or Avoid recommendations with confidence scores in a floating panel on each market page.
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Facts AI Research API
Facts AI handles complex prediction market queries, always returns cited sources, and runs on edge networks for fast responses. Over 700K requests have been served across 12 partner integrations, and developers use it to power bots, agents, and custom analysis layers.
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Email-Based Trading Terminal
Facts Trade lets users sign in with email only, with no browser extension or gas fees required. It auto-deploys a Gnosis Safe wallet on Polygon and supports limit orders, market orders, and cross-chain deposits.
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OSINT Intelligence Terminal
FactsBase pulls more than 30 open-source intelligence feeds into one view, covering military activity, conflict events, and macro indicators on a 3D globe. A built-in AI layer generates trade ideas from the combined data streams.
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Developer API Access
Facts Pro gives developers structured endpoints for prediction market data, AI research, and real-time intelligence. It includes rate limiting and secure access controls, and scales to high-volume usage for bots, scanners, and analytics dashboards.
Polyfactual Demo video
Polyfactual Screenshots
Polyfactual User Reviews
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been testing out the new @polyfactual chrome extension
View on X ↗
prediction markets are the next big thing and this makes them way easier to use
before you go long or short on a market you can now get a quick reality check
pulling in public info automatically through deep research agents
super useful for research trading or just sharpening your thinking
the team even shipped updates i suggested during beta
like
auto steelmanning bull bear cases
plain language breakdown of arbitrage opportunities
impressed with how fast they move how thoughtful the product is
if you are curious about the intersection of ai prediction markets keep an eye on this one -
super! Joined! a great tool
View on X ↗ -
Just the best! you are doing a lot of useful things!
View on X ↗
Is Polyfactual safe & legit?
Polyfactual is built and maintained by Liminal Tech Corp, a registered entity with published terms of service and a user agreement. The project received a Polymarket grant, which indicates it passed some level of vetting by the platform itself. No credible scam reports or security breaches appear in public searches, and the individual founder names being undisclosed is common practice in crypto infrastructure projects rather than a red flag on its own.
X account intel @polyfactual
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Based in United States
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Joined X October 2024 1 years ago
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Username changes 5 renames last on Jul 14, 2025
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Signup source United States Android App
Public profile signals from X. Use as one input alongside other due-diligence.
Wallet blacklist scan checked Jun 3, 2026
- MetaMask Not flagged
- Phantom Not flagged
- ScamSniffer Not flagged
- EtherAddressLookup Not flagged
- Keplr Wallet Not flagged
Domain www.polyfactual.com checked against public crypto wallet blacklists.
Polyfactual Updates
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Link to market: https://polymarket.com/event/what-market-cap-will-strc-reach-by-june-30?r=polyfactual#57tL2cV
- 1 likes
- 280 views
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Grayscale Warns on $STRC Discount
Polymarket Showing Just 20% Odds for a $12B Market Cap by June 30
Official numbers:
＞Market Cap: $9,615.5 million
＞STRC Price: $91.67
＞Dividend Rate: 11.50% (4th month in a row)
＞Effective Yield: 12.55%
To reach $12B, STRC would need to hit roughly $114.40 (+24.8% from current levels)
Only 25 days left - that's an extremely heavy lift
Latest STRC news:
> STRC dropped below $95 for the first time in 3 months and has continued sliding
> Grayscale called the recent 32 BTC sale a "stress test" and flagged STRC's discount as a major issue
> Voting on semi-monthly dividends ends June 8 (impact starts in July)
STRC just took two real hits: breaking below critical support at $95 and a stubborn market discount that refuses to close despite the 12.55% yield
BTC is tightly correlated with STRC, so without a strong BTC rally, the odds look very slim
What do you think - any catalyst left before June 30?
- 6 replies
- 3 reposts
- 18 likes
- 3.9K views
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Prediction Market funds with @polyfund
- 3 replies
- 1 reposts
- 18 likes
- 650 views
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Just wrapped a great conversation with @KairosTradeX.
First-ever look at the platform, insanely fast execution, and a preview of what's coming next.
Bonus surprise for Polyfactual viewers at the end..- 4 replies
- 8 reposts
- 33 likes
- 1.1K views
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LIVE with @KairosTradeX, Building the Next Generation of PM Infra
- 4 replies
- 3 reposts
- 27 likes
- 1.6K views
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Prediction markets are getting their own hedge funds.
This Friday at 6 PM EST we're joined by @polyfund.
They're building vault infrastructure that lets anyone get exposure to top traders like @holy_moses7 and @MEPPonPM
Don't want to miss, live on X.
- 5 replies
- 5 reposts
- 34 likes
- 3.3K views
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This is what happens when Team of Quants is committed to build:
guys deployed the technology that wins on Wall Street
first ever Polymarket Eco project backed by a16z + Geneva
team is going live in 11 hours
probably, the first X space I'll join not to share, but to learn the insights
@KairosTradeX is a major terminal in PM space shipping real-time data, analytics, and low-latency execution
Bloomberg made all this for Wall Street
Kairos does the same for prediction markets with $2.5M in funds
Today, 5pm EST
- 25 replies
- 5 reposts
- 88 likes
- 6K views
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Our next stream we'll be joined by @KairosTradeX. Thursday, 5pm EST on X.
Kairos is building some of the best trading infra in the space.
Backed by big names like @a16zcrypto and @GenevaTrading
With Kairos public launch is fast approaching. You won't want to miss this!
- 9 replies
- 11 reposts
- 38 likes
- 8.7K views
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CLARITY Act 2026: Executive Branch vs Legislative Math
＞Senator Lummis: the Clarity Act is not just a crypto bill - it's a decision on whether America leads the next financial system or watches from the sidelines
＞SEC Chair Paul Atkins: digital assets are now Strategic Priority #1 through 2030. This establishes a clear regulatory framework for innovation
＞Treasury Secretary Bessent is pushing hard for immediate passage
Polymarket currently at 62%
The Real Picture:
- Bill added to Senate Legislative Calendar (June 1, Calendar No. 423)
- Senate back in session today, June 3
- Text reconciliation (Banking and Agriculture) still underway
- Needs 60 votes for cloture. Republicans hold 53-54 seats ➡︎ requires at least 6-7 Democrats
- Biggest hurdle: banking lobby fighting yield-bearing stablecoins
- Extremely tight window before the August recess and November midterms
What do you think - is 62% on Polymarket still a fair price?
- 5 replies
- 5 reposts
- 29 likes
- 7K views
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Two killers joining the podcast later this week.
Some really interesting conversations coming.
Stay tuned.- 2 replies
- 19 likes
- 2.8K views
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