Polyfactual AI Research Tools and API for Polymarket and Kalshi

Polyfactual Overview

Polyfactual Key features

• Chrome Extension Analysis

  The extension runs inside the Polymarket interface and scrapes live market data as you browse. It generates Buy, Hold, or Avoid recommendations with confidence scores in a floating panel on each market page.

• Facts AI Research API

  Facts AI handles complex prediction market queries, always returns cited sources, and runs on edge networks for fast responses. Over 700K requests have been served across 12 partner integrations, and developers use it to power bots, agents, and custom analysis layers.

• Email-Based Trading Terminal

  Facts Trade lets users sign in with email only, with no browser extension or gas fees required. It auto-deploys a Gnosis Safe wallet on Polygon and supports limit orders, market orders, and cross-chain deposits.

• OSINT Intelligence Terminal

  FactsBase pulls more than 30 open-source intelligence feeds into one view, covering military activity, conflict events, and macro indicators on a 3D globe. A built-in AI layer generates trade ideas from the combined data streams.

• Developer API Access

  Facts Pro gives developers structured endpoints for prediction market data, AI research, and real-time intelligence. It includes rate limiting and secure access controls, and scales to high-volume usage for bots, scanners, and analytics dashboards.

Polyfactual Demo video

Polyfactual Screenshots

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Polyfactual User Reviews

• 

  @curious_vii Oct 2, 2025

  been testing out the new @polyfactual chrome extension
  prediction markets are the next big thing and this makes them way easier to use
  before you go long or short on a market you can now get a quick reality check
  pulling in public info automatically through deep research agents
  super useful for research trading or just sharpening your thinking
  the team even shipped updates i suggested during beta
  like
  auto steelmanning bull bear cases
  plain language breakdown of arbitrage opportunities
  impressed with how fast they move how thoughtful the product is
  if you are curious about the intersection of ai prediction markets keep an eye on this one

  View on X ↗
• 

  @KnightPredict Apr 10, 2026

  super! Joined! a great tool

  View on X ↗
• 

  @KnightPredict Apr 14, 2026

  Just the best! you are doing a lot of useful things!

  View on X ↗

Polyfactual Updates

1. 

   Polyfactual Jul 28, 2026 · 20:20
   Tomorrow stream we'll be joined by @meleemarkets
   Currently the largest prediction market on Solana
   Melee is on the forefront of permissionless event contract creation.
   Catch us live on X at 4:30PM EST, Wed.

   
   • 4 replies
   • 4 reposts
   • 18 likes
   • 1K views
2. 

   Polyfactual Jul 28, 2026 · 16:35
   "You can essentially do a contract. It's like a handshake deal that you're liable for in the court of law."
   Ronit, CEO of @DG3_terminal, on how Bloomberg's chat became the basis for real deal-making.
   It's their biggest moat; it's also the hardest thing for most other terminals to clone.
   Watch the full episode below 👇
   • 5 replies
   • 1 reposts
   • 17 likes
   • 1K views
3. 

   Polyfactual Jul 28, 2026 · 12:23
   Ashton Kutcher was placing million-dollar bets. The sportsbook thought they'd landed a dumb celebrity whale.
   He was fronting for a syndicate.
   That's what betting big used to require.
   @andrewparlayx the founder of @ParlayXOfficial
   on why prediction markets changed it and what still hasn't been solved.
   • 6 replies
   • 3 reposts
   • 22 likes
   • 1.8K views
4. 

   Polyfactual Jul 27, 2026 · 20:20
   One of the biggest problems with copy trading?
   The trader eventually stops trading.
   AI agents don't.
   Great conversation with @Polystreetdotai
   Autonomous agents may outpace traditional copy trading faster than we think.
   • 9 replies
   • 3 reposts
   • 26 likes
   • 1.5K views
5. 

   Polyfactual Jul 27, 2026 · 16:32
   Now might be the best time to invest in prediction markets.
   The hype has cooled off, but the ecosystem hasn't.
   $800 million flows through third-party terminals every month, already accounting for 15%+ of Polymarket's monthly volume.
   @allocateur also explains why he's bullish on ownership coins being the next major crypto narrative.
   They may be the only way forward for retail token traders.
   • 4 replies
   • 2 reposts
   • 16 likes
   • 1.1K views
6. 

   Polyfactual Jul 27, 2026 · 14:06
   An unofficial pause between the US and Iran has been holding since Friday
   Yet on Polymarket, the "US x Iran Ceasefire (July 24)" is still trading around 50%
   People are misreading the rules and wondering why the market is still open
   The mechanics:
   July 24 is NOT the end of the 14-day pause. It's the deadline for the last qualifying US strike
   The last qualifying strike was on July 23. The 14-day clock started on July 24 and ends on August 6 at 12:00 PM ET
   ‼️Critical rule: the market only counts direct US military action (airstrikes, missiles, or one-way drones hitting Iranian territory)
   Context:
   - Since Friday, US strikes have stopped, and Iran has done the same
   - According to Axios, CENTCOM Commander Adm. Brad Cooper advised Trump to keep the pause because the military targets had already been exhausted
   - Iran's Foreign Ministry confirms they are still exchanging messages through mediators
   Market logic:
   The 48-50% price reflects doubt that the pause will hold. Any new qualifying US strike before Aug 6 at 12:00 PM ET instantly resolves the July 24 contract to No
   Later dates (July 31, Aug 14) are trading higher because they have more time left
   What do you think - will the pause hold until August 6, or will things escalate again?

   

   1 more in this thread

   https://polymarket.com/event/us-x-iran-effective-ceasfire-byptptpt-2-week-pause-20260715194822042?r=polyfactual
   • 9 replies
   • 21 likes
   • 2.8K views
7. 

   Polyfactual Jul 27, 2026 · 07:57
   I’m preparing a visual walkthrough of how Forecast AI works, but wanted to explain the flow quickly first.
   You choose a prediction market → our 7-agent swarm gets to work.
   📰 News - looks for relevant news
   🔬 Research - goes deeper into factual evidence and primary sources. This is where our integration with @Polyfactual / @factsdottrade Deep Research adds source-backed research and citations.
   📊 Macro - looks at the broader economic picture
   ⛓️ Onchain - analyzes relevant blockchain and onchain signals
   📈 Market - studies the prediction market itself: probabilities, liquidity & market signals
   💬 Social - analyzes narratives and sentiment across social platforms
   🤖 Reddit - looks at community discussion and retail sentiment.
   Once they finish, the system compares their views, weighs the signals and confidence, and produces one final consensus forecast with reasoning and sources.
   From there, the result can support your prediction -market decisions, including workflows around @RobinhoodApp. you can connect your Robinhood account through MCP and use the swarm’s output as intelligence for your prediction-market workflow.
   Today you can already self-host the entire system.
   Next: run the same 7-agent swarm directly on http://forai.tech - no installation required. Limited access for everyone. Expanded runs and capabilities for $FORAI holders.
   That’s what we’re building now.

   
   • 12 replies
   • 5 reposts
   • 35 likes
   • 1.7K views
8. 

   Polyfactual Jul 25, 2026 · 17:15
   Odds for a July Fed rate hike jumped 5x in less than a week on Polymarket - from 5% to 25%
   Full-year 2026 hike odds crossed 73%
   Consensus still expects a quiet pause
   But the bond market is already shifting
   CME FedWatch now puts a 34% chance on a 25 bps hike on July 29
   Fed signals are turning hawkish:
   - Fed Governor Waller noted the risk balance has flipped back to inflation
   - Fed Chair Kevin Warsh dropped any talk of rate cuts from recent guidance
   WSJ's Nick Timiraos recently highlighted next week's FOMC as one of the most unpredictable meetings in years
   July 29 is no longer a safe pause

   

   1 more in this thread

   https://polymarket.com/event/fed-decision-in-july-181?r=polyfactual
   • 6 replies
   • 1 reposts
   • 18 likes
   • 3.8K views
9. 

   Polyfactual Jul 25, 2026 · 16:24
   @forecast_agents http://factsAI.org
   • 1 likes
   • 291 views
10. 

    Polyfactual Jul 25, 2026 · 12:10
    Welcome to the FactsAI family @forecast_agents
    AI tools are going to be a pre-requisite for traders who want to stay competitive in 5 years.
    Thilled to have this cutting-edge protocol using our tech.
    • 24 replies
    • 8 reposts
    • 52 likes
    • 19.3K views
11. 

    Polyfactual Jul 24, 2026 · 17:10
    Unprecedented times for global oil
    Both major oil chokepoints (Hormuz and Bab-el-Mandeb) are under direct threat simultaneously
    But the "zero de-escalation" narrative just flipped
    Crude dumped over 4% on reports of Iran and Pakistan exploring US talks backed by China
    With Trump still promising "major military punishment" for shipping attacks, the volatility is far from over
    July WTI on Polymarket:
    ↑ $95 - 43% ($1.58M volume)
    ↓ $85 - 65% ($68k volume)
    Heavy trading is entirely on the upside
    $95 still looks realistic
    Playing the volatility, or fading the clock?

    

    1 more in this thread

    https://polymarket.com/event/what-price-will-wti-hit-in-july-2026?r=polyfactual
    • 7 replies
    • 2 reposts
    • 21 likes
    • 3.9K views
12. 

    Polyfactual Jul 23, 2026 · 20:23
    Many of the top traders on the Polymarket leaderboard are either using bots or heavily relying on automated strategies.
    According to @Polystreetdotai, that's only the beginning.
    In five years, many profitable trading strategies may simply not be possible without AI agents.
    • 9 replies
    • 3 reposts
    • 24 likes
    • 3.3K views
13. 

    Polyfactual Jul 23, 2026 · 10:47
    We spoke to 300+ pro traders before building DG3.
    First insight: Discovery isn't coincidental. Traders already know what they want to trade before they land on a platform.
    So DG3 starts with intent based search, not category browsing. Our co-founder breaks down the rest of what traders told us w/ @polyfactual
    • 2 replies
    • 1 reposts
    • 16 likes
    • 778 views
14. 

    Polyfactual Jul 21, 2026 · 12:47
    "Most crypto protocols give founders the treasury on day one. MetaDAO doesn't."
    @allocateur on why @MetaDAOProject ownership coins have a model that is actually safer for both founders and investors.
    David is also building Ownership Capital, a MetaDAO-native activist fund,
    In addition, he's raising on MetaDao for @ripcarsio, bringing Gacha Packs (tokenized Hot Wheels collectibles) to the ecosystem.
    • 5 replies
    • 3 reposts
    • 26 likes
    • 3.2K views
15. 

    Polyfactual Jul 14, 2026 · 21:47
    The next phase of prediction markets is permissionless event contract creation.
    It unlocks an entirely new class of PM users: creators
    @choice_markets is building for this future.
    The opportunity could be as big as meme coins.
    • 3 replies
    • 2 reposts
    • 18 likes
    • 2K views
16. 

    Polyfactual Jul 1, 2026 · 16:43
    Creating a prediction market could be as common as launching a memecoin.
    @prophetmarketai has already launched over 3,000+ markets, and that number is growing fast.
    Still very early, but this could be the next major narrative.
    • 5 replies
    • 4 reposts
    • 19 likes
    • 5.3K views

Polyfactual Reviews & Comments

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