Forecast AI
Seven specialized agents feed a Consensus Engine that turns market signals into calibrated probability forecasts for Kalshi and Polymarket traders.
Forecast AI Multi Agent Consensus Bot for Polymarket and Kalshi
What is Forecast AI?
Forecast AI is an open source, seven agent forecasting system that turns Polymarket, Kalshi, and Robinhood Predict data into calibrated probability forecasts and trade recommendations for prediction market traders.
Ready to try Forecast AI?
Open the official site and get started in a few clicks.
Forecast AI Overview
Forecast AI is an open source multi agent system that turns raw market signals into calibrated probability forecasts for prediction markets. Instead of asking one language model for a guess, it runs seven specialized agents in parallel, each one working a separate data stream: news, social sentiment, community discussion, structured research, macro indicators, on chain activity, and live order book data from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each agent produces its own probability estimate, and a Consensus Engine combines all seven into a single calibrated number with a confidence score and a short trade recommendation.
The tool is built for people who want an evidence based edge on event outcomes. Active traders on Robinhood Predict use it to check their own read against a structured forecast before placing a trade. Developers who want a self hostable intelligence layer can clone the code and extend it with their own agents or LLM providers. Anyone watching Kalshi event contracts or cross checking Polymarket pricing can use the public feed for a second opinion. It does not place trades for you. It formats a recommendation you can review and act on yourself through Robinhood's Agentic Trading MCP endpoint.
The core idea behind the design is that a single model prompt tends to lean on recent headlines, miss context, and struggle when evidence points in different directions. Forecast AI splits the work instead. Each agent stays inside its own domain, and the Consensus Engine applies weights based on each agent's past accuracy, then runs a calibration step that pulls uncertain forecasts back toward 50 percent rather than letting one noisy signal dominate. A Historical Memory layer stores past forecasts and outcomes so the weighting improves as more markets resolve. The project's own benchmarks report a 24 percent improvement in Brier score over a plain GPT 4 baseline under matched conditions.
What sets it apart from a typical trading bot or single prompt wrapper is the separation between analysis and execution. The system hands off a structured recommendation, action, target contract, confidence level, and risk notes, and leaves the actual buy or sell decision inside the user's own Robinhood account. The full agent architecture, prompts, and consensus math sit in the open repository, so the reasoning behind any given probability is not hidden behind a closed API. A public dashboard also shows the live consensus next to real market prices across Kalshi, Polymarket, and Robinhood Predict, so you can see how the model performs before trusting it with real capital.
Forecast AI Key features
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Seven Specialized Agents
Each agent works on one data stream: news, social, Reddit, research, macro, on-chain, and market data. They run in parallel and never mix their inputs.
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Consensus Engine
This engine combines all seven agent outputs into one probability. It weighs each agent by past accuracy and pulls low confidence forecasts toward 50 percent.
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Historical Memory
Past forecasts and outcomes get stored so the system learns which agents to trust more over time. This helps it stay accurate on markets that run for months.
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Robinhood Trade Recommendations
The consensus turns into a structured prompt with an action, target contract, and confidence level. You paste this into Robinhood's Agentic Trading MCP and decide whether to trade.
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Public Read Only API
Anyone can pull live consensus data for crypto, macro, and tech topics. Refresh times run from two hours up to twelve hours depending on the market.
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Multiple LLM Providers
The system uses OpenAI by default and switches to Gemini if that fails. It also supports Anthropic, OpenRouter, and local Ollama models.
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CLI and Server Modes
Developers run one shot forecasts, watch loops, or a full FastAPI server from the terminal. This makes it easy to fit into other tools or pipelines.
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Open Source Codebase
The full code sits on GitHub under Apache 2.0. Nobody's funds or credentials pass through the system since it only formats trade suggestions.
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$FORAI Holder Tiers
Holding the token unlocks higher analysis limits, deeper agent runs, and stronger models on the hosted version. The core software stays free and open for anyone to self host.
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Cross Venue Market Data
The Market Agent reads live prices from Kalshi and Polymarket to ground each forecast in real pricing. This keeps the consensus tied to what traders are actually paying.
Forecast AI Fees
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Core software The open source core has no license fee and can be self hosted at your own compute and LLM API cost.
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FactsAI research Optional FactsAI deep research requests cost 0.012 dollars each when enabled.
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Public API The public API is free but rate limited and capped by a server side monthly compute budget guard.
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Hosted tiers Free accounts get limited analyses, while higher analysis volume and stronger models unlock at 1,000 and 10,000 FORAI token holdings.
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Trading fees There are no platform trading fees since Forecast AI only recommends trades and never executes them.
How to use Forecast AI
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Clone the repository
Copy the codebase from the official GitHub repository.
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Run the setup command
Execute the interactive setup script to configure your LLM API keys and environment variables. You can also add an optional FactsAI key for source-backed research.
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Start the monitoring loop
Launch the public feed or a continuous watch loop using the command line interface. This begins background tracking.
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Generate a forecast
Provide a market query or identifier to generate a one-shot prediction.
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Review the consensus report
Read the final probability, confidence score, and agent reasoning. The system filters anomalies and applies calibration to the data.
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Generate the trade recommendation
Convert the consensus output into a structured trade prompt for Robinhood.
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Execute or discard the trade
Paste the prompt into an authenticated client connected to the Robinhood Agentic Trading MCP. You must manually approve or reject the action inside your own account.
Forecast AI Screenshots
Forecast AI Review
Pros
- It runs seven specialized agents in parallel so no single data stream skews the forecast.
- The Consensus Engine applies Bayesian averaging and historical accuracy weights before giving a final probability.
- Public benchmarks show a 24 percent improvement in Brier score over a vanilla GPT-4 baseline.
- Every forecast includes a short rationale from each agent, so users see the reasoning trail.
- It never places trades itself, so users keep full control of execution inside their own Robinhood account.
- The full codebase is open source under Apache 2.0, so anyone can audit or extend it.
- Users can self host the system and keep their own API keys and compute under their own control.
- It supports OpenAI, Gemini, Anthropic, OpenRouter, or local Ollama, and switches providers automatically if one fails.
- The Market Agent pulls live order books and midpoints from both Kalshi and Polymarket to ground forecasts in real prices.
- Historical Memory stores past forecasts and outcomes, so agent weightings improve over time.
- The CLI and FastAPI server let developers run one shot predictions or continuous watch loops from the terminal.
- The Robinhood Recommendation Engine formats a ready to paste prompt with action, target contract, and risk notes.
- The public read only API gives free access to live consensus data for crypto, macro, and tech topics.
- A rate limit and monthly compute budget guard keep the public feed stable and free from abuse.
- The live dashboard at forai.tech shows real time consensus against market midpoints across three venues.
- The sole official $FORAI contract address is published on the website, GitHub, and X for easy verification.
- The system holds no custody of user funds or credentials at any point in the process.
Cons
- Users must supply and pay for their own LLM API keys to run the agents.
- The tool never places trades, so users must manually copy each recommendation into Robinhood's MCP client.
- Public API refresh cycles run two to twelve hours, too slow for fast moving markets.
- The public feed enforces rate limits and a monthly compute budget cap.
- Optional FactsAI research queries add a per call cost on top of normal use.
- Higher analysis limits and stronger models are locked behind $FORAI token holding tiers.
- Local setup requires cloning the repo and configuring multiple environment variables through the CLI.
- The project is still in active development, so parts of the pipeline may change or break.
- Coverage is limited to a curated set of topics like crypto, macro, and tech.
- Users must independently verify the $FORAI contract address since no official custody or verification step is built in.
Our verdict
Forecast AI is an open source tool that runs seven agents (news, social, Reddit, research, macro, on chain, and market data) in parallel, then blends their outputs into one calibrated probability with a confidence score and a trade suggestion. The Consensus Engine is the strongest part of the design, since it weighs each agent by past accuracy and pulls weak signals back toward 50 percent instead of letting one loud data source skew the call. The project claims a 24 percent improvement in Brier score over plain GPT 4, and while that number comes from the team itself, the fact that every agent's reasoning trail is visible makes the claim easier to check than most. It falls short in one clear way: it does not place trades, so the output is only as useful as the person reading it and deciding what to do inside their own Robinhood or Polymarket account. This tool fits developers who want a self hosted forecasting layer and active traders who want a second opinion beyond the order book, but anyone looking for a bot that trades on autopilot should keep looking elsewhere.
Is Forecast AI safe & legit?
codebyollie built Forecast AI as an open source project under the Apache 2.0 license, so anyone can read the full code on GitHub. It never touches your funds or logs into your accounts; it only produces a trade recommendation that you must manually approve inside your own Robinhood session, and the team posts updates and the one official $FORAI contract address on their X account and site. No major red flags stand out, but the project is still early stage, so check the code yourself and confirm the contract address before touching the token.
X account intel @forecast_agents
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Based in Eastern Europe (Non-EU)
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Joined X October 2025 1 year ago
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Username changes 7 renames last on Jun 30, 2026
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Signup source Eastern Europe (Non-EU) App Store
Public profile signals from X. Use as one input alongside other due-diligence.
Security scan checked Nov 2, 2026
- Google Web Risk Not flagged
- MetaMask Not flagged
- Phantom Not flagged
- ScamSniffer Not flagged
- EtherAddressLookup Not flagged
- Keplr Wallet Not flagged
Domain forai.tech checked against Google's lists of unsafe sites and public crypto wallet blacklists.
Forecast AI Updates
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Hey, Forecasters!
Quick reminder: we're going live this Friday, October 30, at 4 PM EST with @basedlourie from @polyfactual.
We'll talk Forecast AI, Polyfactual, prediction markets, Robinhood, and what's next.
See you there!- 3 replies
- 4 reposts
- 8 likes
- 1.2K views
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Hey, Forecasters!
Forecast AI is back up and running.
I've moved everything to new servers, tested the platform, and we're back online.
I've been a bit quiet lately, had a lot going on offline.
back to building and releasing new features.
- 3 likes
- 281 views
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In parallel, I’m working on two new features:
Evidence Radar and Agent Debate features.
Both are planned to go live as soon as the migration is complete and everything is stable.
Thanks for your patience. I’ll keep you updated.
Keep building.- 1 replies
- 5 likes
- 375 views
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GM, Forecasters.
Sorry for the silence.
Following the recent Railway outage, I’m moving Forecast AI to new servers and testing everything to make sure the platform runs properly again.
Some features may be unstable during the migration.
Keep building.
- 3 replies
- 1 reposts
- 2 likes
- 708 views
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Mark your calendars, Forecasters.
We’re doing this again! On Friday, October 30, we’ll be joining @basedlourie from @polyfactual for another live stream.
We’ll talk about the latest Forecast AI and Polyfactual updates, prediction markets, Robinhood and what’s coming next.
We’ll share the exact time and post a reminder before we go live.
See you there.
- 6 replies
- 5 reposts
- 17 likes
- 1.3K views
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Quick update, Forecasters.
While working on the next Forecast AI update, I’ve submitted FORAI Lens to the Chrome Web Store for review.
The extension will let you run Forecast AI analysis directly alongside Polymarket and Kalshi, without leaving the market page.
Now waiting for review while I keep building.
More soon.
- 4 replies
- 1 reposts
- 6 likes
- 543 views
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GM Forecaster. Sorry for the silence. A lot of work to do behind the scenes. Back to X.
Here’s what I’m working on:
- Evidence Radar - follow a market and track what changes when new evidence arrives or the odds move. You decide when to run a fresh analysis.
- FORAI Lens - a Chrome extension that lets you run Forecast AI analysis right beside Polymarket and Kalshi, without leaving the page.
Next, I’m starting the submission process for Google Play and the Chrome Web Store. Both the Android app and the extension still need testing and review.
I’ll share updates as things move forward.
Back to building. Enjoy your day!
- 6 replies
- 2 reposts
- 8 likes
- 559 views
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Hey, Forecasters!
Currently testing FORAI Lens, the Forecast AI Chrome extension.
It brings Forecast AI right into Polymarket and Kalshi.
You will be able to open any market, review its settlement rules, check saved research, or run a new AI analysis without leaving the page.
Still working on it. Coming soon. Keep building.
- 7 replies
- 2 reposts
- 15 likes
- 1.3K views
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Hello Forecasters
The Forecast AI mobile versions are finally live! You can now install Forecast AI on your iPhone, Android mobile, PC, or laptop and use it like a regular app.
https://forai.tech/#apps
All versions use the same web app, so interface updates are available without reinstalling.
Next step: preparing the Android release for Google Play.
Back to building.- 7 replies
- 3 reposts
- 23 likes
- 1.3K views
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GM, Forecasters.
Finishing up the Forecast AI mobile apps. The release is planned for today - just a few final fixes and tests left.
You’ll be able to use Forecast AI as a PWA on iOS, and download and install an APK directly on Android. You’ll also be able to install it on desktop and use it like an app.
After launch and more testing, I plan to submit versions to the App Store and Google Play. I’ll do that only when I’m confident they’re ready and meet each store’s rules. The submission process is not fast.
I’ll keep you updated.
Have a productive Friday, everyone. Keep building.
- 5 replies
- 2 reposts
- 16 likes
- 1.6K views
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I want to be honest with you.
I know there’s been a lot of criticism and plenty of ups and downs around this account and Forecast AI.
I’ve spent a long time building this project mostly on my own. And honestly, when you keep investing time and money into a product that isn’t generating revenue, it gets demotivating at some point. There were moments when I seriously thought about stopping everything.
I also understand that many people are primarily interested in the token and what happens to its price. Pump or dump, green or red. That’s part of the reality when you launch a token, and I understand it.
But behind $FORAI, there’s also a product. A lot of time, work, infrastructure and API costs go into building it.
And right now, I want to keep building.
I know some of you are disappointed or frustrated, and I understand why. I can’t change what has already happened, but I can focus on what comes next.
My goal is to build a product that people actually enjoy using and that provides value beyond watching a token’s market cap. I want Forecast AI to become sustainable and profitable, with meaningful benefits for its users and, eventually, its holders too. The people who supported the project deserve to see me working toward that goal.
The last month has been rough personally as well. My bipolar disorder has been hitting hard, but I’m trying to get back into a better routine and keep my focus on the product, the work and the community.
I see your messages, suggestions, criticism and ideas. There’s one of me and many of you, so I might not be able to respond to everything, but I do read it all.
Any support genuinely helps me keep going, and any help with testing, feedback or ideas is more than welcome.
The mobile apps are coming very soon, too.
I’m still here. I’m still building. And I want to give Forecast AI a real chance to become what I originally set out to build.
Have a good day, everyone. And thank you to those who are still here.- 3 replies
- 13 likes
- 1.5K views
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Quick clarification.
This is the only official $FORAI CA 0xa2e571ad3535e4ea43daa427ef25c2bcfc743c67 that is already integrated into the app for further holder benefits.
The old contract is 0xcc9c1ec224c3824ae5ea699ec72ef5fad4165e49. If you still hold the old token, you can sell it.
I’m taking snapshots and plan to compensate your losses by the end of this month.
I’ll keep you updated as I work through the process.
Also for more info about relaunch and why this decision was taken you can read in posts below.
You can also confirm the contract address on website or github repos. http://forai.tech- 5 replies
- 1 reposts
- 16 likes
- 2K views
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GM Forecasters!
Introducing the new Forecast AI.
http://forai.tech
The main Forecast AI focus now is on prediction markets. Explore @Polymarket and @Kalshi, pick a contract, and put our seven-agent swarm to work.
News, Social, Reddit, Research, Macro, On-chain and Market agents analyze different signals in parallel. Forecast AI combines their views into a probability forecast, with a separate AI review to challenge the conclusion and flag gaps in the evidence.
The new release brings a redesigned market terminal, an account dashboard with forecast history and performance tracking, and verifiable forecasts on @RobinhoodCrypto .
I'll prepare the detailed article about how everything works now.
I’m also testing the desktop/mobile apps, with a Chrome extension in progress.
Explore: https://forai.tech
More soon. Keep building.- 6 replies
- 2 reposts
- 12 likes
- 1K views
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GM, Forecasters. Quick update.
Good news: I’ve finished migrating the database and all service providers to the new accounts. The current version is up and running.
https://forai.tech
I’m moving the new app release to tomorrow, so the community call will take place after the new version is live.
I’ll answer your questions in our new Telegram community throughout the day.
Current focus:
- Updated app and mobile version (in process)
- New partnerships (in process)
- A stronger product flywheel (in process)
- New ways to generate value for users and benefits for $FORAI holders (in process and opened for discussion)
Have a good day. Let’s keep shipping.
- 9 replies
- 1 reposts
- 10 likes
- 896 views
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The new Telegram community is open. Feel free to join the group and follow the channel.
Group: https://t.me/forai_community
Channel: https://t.me/+ENgJCkrp3LFjNmVi
I’ll add a few more things and finish the remaining setup later.
For now, my main priority is to finish testing and release the new version of Forecast AI.
Back to building. More soon.
- 1 replies
- 7 likes
- 796 views
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Both Forecast AI GitHub repositories are public again:
• Product repo: https://github.com/codebyollie/forecast-agents-prod
• Open-source framework: https://github.com/codebyollie/forecast-agents
Unfortunately, I no longer have access to the old Telegram account, and I had to move everything to a new phone number. I’ll be setting up a new Telegram community so we can get everyone back together.
It’s been a few stressful days. I’m sorting out the remaining issues now. Then it’s back to building.
Thanks for sticking around.- 1 replies
- 5 likes
- 502 views
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Important update, Forecasters.
I was hacked, but I’ve managed to recover access to my X account and the main email linked to GitHub.
Telegram is still causing problems, so we may have to rebuild the community from scratch.
Thankfully, the GitHub repositories are safe and haven’t been affected. Also main wallets including dev wallet and those that connected to platform are in safe.
I’m working on restoring everything and will keep you updated.
We’ll get through this. Keep building.- 3 replies
- 6 likes
- 614 views
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I’ve also updated the old token’s information so the official links will point to the new correct $FORAI.
I’ve also submitted a request to @CoinGecko to replace the old token with the new one.
Waiting for the updates to go through.
Let’s keep building.
CA: 0xa2e571ad3535E4eA43daa427Ef25C2bcFc743C67
Old CA: 0xcC9C1Ec224c3824AE5EA699EC72ef5FAD4165e49 (you can sell to receive refund. regularly doing snapshots now)
- 2 replies
- 1 reposts
- 5 likes
- 505 views
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Okay, Forecasters.
DEX Screener has been paid for, but we still need to wait for bonding to complete.
I contacted @dexscreener support through their official Telegram, and they confirmed that once the token is bonded, the information will update automatically and the token will appear on their platform.
Once migration becomes available, the token information should show up everywhere.
Let’s keep building.
This is the reason why I updated dex for previous token after migration. But, okay. let's do this.
- 3 replies
- 4 likes
- 865 views
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GM, Forecasters.
The new version of Forecast AI is almost ready for release.
I’m also preparing the mobile version for Android and iOS (PWA).
Will be submitting to Google Play and the App Store too, but their policies and review processes will take some time.
Once I finish the final tests, the new app goes live.
It’s Sunday, though. Touching grass today? :)
Have a good day. Keep building.
- 1 reposts
- 3 likes
- 346 views
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