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Ember

Traders who want a second opinion on Polymarket odds get daily AI probability assessments, timestamped and scored for accuracy.

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Ember AI Forecasting Tool: Multi-Model Signals for Polymarket

What is Ember?

Ember runs Claude, Grok, and Gemini daily on live Polymarket questions, locks every forecast with a timestamp, and scores each model publicly with Brier metrics so traders and developers get auditable AI probability signals they can query through an API or use to spot mispricings against current market odds.

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Ember Overview

Ember runs multiple AI models independently each day against live Polymarket questions and publishes the probability outputs with timestamps before any resolution occurs. Claude, Grok, and Gemini each assess the same markets in isolation, so you get distinct probability distributions rather than a blended consensus. Every forecast locks at generation, and Brier scoring tracks calibration over time against actual outcomes and crowd odds. The record grows daily without retroactive edits, which means anyone can audit model performance by checking posted scores against Polymarket resolutions as events close.

Traders looking for an edge beyond raw prices can use Ember to spot potential mispricings when AI probability assessments diverge from current market odds. Developers building copy trading bots, aggregation dashboards, or execution tools can pull structured signals through the queryable API and feed them directly into their logic. Researchers tracking AI forecasting accuracy across hundreds of real-world instances get a growing public dataset that accumulates without interference.

The API delivers structured data suitable for bots and analytics pipelines, with rate limits tied to the chosen subscription tier. Plans run from a developer entry level suited to prototyping up through team and enterprise options with higher call volumes and priority support. Founding discounts are available for early adopters.

What separates Ember from generic AI chat tools or unverified opinion sources is the combination of model independence and a permanent public ledger. Because each model runs in isolation on the same question set, the outputs reflect varied reasoning paths rather than models reinforcing each other. The immutable forecast record means accountability is built into the structure, not added as a feature. For anyone serious about using machine intelligence for prediction market trading, that auditability is the core value.

Ember Key features

  • Multi-Model Daily Forecasts

    Claude, Grok, and Gemini each run independently on the same live market questions every day. Users see separate probability estimates from each model rather than a single blended output, which exposes where models agree or diverge.

  • Immutable Forecast Records

    Every probability assessment gets timestamped at generation before any market resolves. A public correction trail logs methodological changes, so anyone can verify posted forecasts against actual Polymarket outcomes.

  • Brier Score Tracking

    Each model's forecasts accumulate in a public performance ledger scored with Brier metrics against real resolutions and crowd consensus. The record grows without retroactive edits, giving researchers a dataset to compare machine versus market judgment over time.

  • Queryable API Access

    Developers can retrieve forecast data programmatically through a structured API suited for bots, aggregation dashboards, or analytics pipelines. Rate limits scale with the chosen subscription tier.

  • Tiered Subscription Plans

    Plans range from a developer entry tier for prototyping to team and enterprise options with higher call volumes and priority support. Early adopters receive founding discounts.

Ember Screenshots

Ember User Reviews

  • @xmayeth
    @xmayeth Mar 3, 2026

    My AI agent stole $30 from me and bet on the weather in London to make $50,000 on Polymarket. I'm not joking... Models know the answer with 80 90 percent probability a day before the event. The market at that moment is pricing completely different numbers... Right now the position is up +62 percent.

    View on X ↗
  • @0xkvro
    @0xkvro May 23, 2026

    Polymarket stopped feeling like a betting site the moment I realized the best traders weren't predicting news. They were predicting people... $280 to $52,900. No paid alpha. No Discord groups... wallet clusters ranked by expectancy Claude filtering emotional noise multiple agents confirming execution before entry... The real edge is learning how to make them think together.

    View on X ↗
  • @spacexbt
    @spacexbt Oct 17, 2025

    Polymarket is open... they literally hand you the API and say go build... there'll always be a market for something.

    View on X ↗
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Is Ember safe & legit?

Ember was built and is maintained by a solo founder who participates actively in prediction market builder communities. The project has no known red flags. It holds no user funds and does not execute trades, which limits risk, and its forecasts are publicly timestamped and auditable against real Polymarket outcomes. As an early-stage solo project, users should start with a lower tier and watch the track record develop before committing to heavier usage.

X account intel @emberfyi

  • Based in United States
  • Joined X April 2026 3 months ago
  • Username changes 1 rename last on Apr 7, 2026
  • Signup source United States App Store

Public profile signals from X. Use as one input alongside other due-diligence.

Wallet blacklist scan checked Jul 12, 2026

  • MetaMask Not flagged
  • Phantom Not flagged
  • ScamSniffer Not flagged
  • EtherAddressLookup Not flagged
  • Keplr Wallet Not flagged

Domain emberfyi.com checked against public crypto wallet blacklists.

Ember Updates

  1. Ember logo
    emberfyi
    “Full access” 😂
    • 6.7K replies
    • 17.6K reposts
    • 361.5K likes
    • 58.7M views
  2. Ember logo
    emberfyi
    https://startupsandgiants.com/markets/5-ai-forecasting-mistakes-that-hurt-prediction-market-traders-and-ember-s-fix
    • 1 likes
    • 74 views
  3. Ember logo
    emberfyi
    🆕 New project added to the prediction markets wiki
    Ember
    @emberfyi publishes locked AI forecasts for live prediction markets 📊
    It tracks model calls with Brier scores, divergence views, resolved outcomes, and a read-only API
    • 3 replies
    • 1 reposts
    • 11 likes
    • 440 views
  4. Ember logo
    emberfyi
    🤔
    • 2.2K replies
    • 297 reposts
    • 2.4K likes
    • 394.5K views
  5. Ember logo
    emberfyi
    Building on Polymarket? Added audited 3-model AI calibration + live CLOB context to my stack.
    http://emberfyi.com/api self-serve, generous free tier for testing.
    GitHub starter: EmberFYI/ember-agent-starter
    Divergences flagged daily. Full public Brier record (n=~650+ scored). 21 corrections published, 0 edits.
    Who’s integrating signal? Happy to hop on a 15-min call. [email protected] or dm us.
    • 1 replies
    • 3 likes
    • 108 views
  6. Ember logo
    emberfyi
    Audited AI for prediction markets, real scores, and tracked methodology with transparency for Polymarket. The intelligence layer.
    • 1 reposts
    • 11 likes
    • 56.4K views
  7. Ember logo
    emberfyi
    JUST IN: OpenAI announces it wants to give “everyone on Earth a personal AGI”
    • 338 replies
    • 221 reposts
    • 2.8K likes
    • 251.1K views
  8. Ember logo
    emberfyi
    built an agent on ember's audited signal for @Polymarket. it pulls the day's divergences audited model call vs the crowd, with order-book context flagging whether the crowd's price is firm or thin.
    here it is running. open-source starter below.
    https://github.com/EmberFYI/ember-agent-starter/tree/main
    @PolymarketDevs
    • 2 replies
    • 5 likes
    • 292 views

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