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Crypto & Insights

The wider view: where prediction markets sit in crypto, what a launch really means, and what we learned building and trading here. Opinionated and first hand, written as one trader talking to another rather than as coverage.

2 articles Updated Jul 29

The line between prediction markets and the rest of crypto keeps thinning. This is where we step back from the how-to guides and write about the wider picture: where things look to be heading, what a launch really amounts to once the thread is over, and the calls worth watching across Polymarket, Solana and elsewhere.

It is also the personal half of the blog. What we have run ourselves, what paid, what did not, and what we would do differently. Opinionated and first hand, written as one trader talking to another.

Crypto & Insights MoonPay PayBox Airdrop How-To for ChatGPT and Claude Crypto & Insights MoonPay PayBox Airdrop How-To for ChatGPT and Claude How to claim the MoonPay PayBox airdrop with ChatGPT or Claude. Numbered setup steps, wallet and X linking, approval modes, and fixes for failed claims. 6 min read Jul 29, 2026

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What this section covers

The ground this section walks over, so you know whether it is the right place to start.

  • The bigger picture

    Where prediction markets are heading and which of the current bets on that future look reasonable.

  • First-hand experience

    What actually happened when we traded or built something, including the experiments that did not work.

  • Beyond Polymarket

    Solana, cards, bots and the rest of the crypto surface that traders here end up touching.

  • Calls worth watching

    Things we think are mispriced or misunderstood, stated plainly enough to be wrong in public.

Frequently asked questions

Is this section opinion or reporting?

Opinion, and labelled as such. The guides and reviews stick to what can be checked; this is where we say what we think, which is a different promise.

Do you hold positions in what you write about?

Sometimes, and it is disclosed when it is relevant. A directory that pretends to have no view is less trustworthy than one that tells you what its view is.

Why cover things that are not Polymarket?

Because the traders here already use them. The line between prediction markets and the rest of crypto keeps blurring, and pretending otherwise would leave out half the tooling.

Can I write for this section?

Get in touch. First-hand accounts of trading or building are the only thing here worth reading, and we do not have a monopoly on them.