MentionMetrix
Mention-market traders use MentionMetrix to see how often a speaker said a word in past transcripts before they bet.
MentionMetrix Analytics for Polymarket and Kalshi Mentions
What is MentionMetrix?
MentionMetrix is a web-based transcript search and analytics tool that tells you how often a speaker said a word or phrase, built for traders on Polymarket and Kalshi mention markets.
Ready to try MentionMetrix?
Open the official site and get started in a few clicks.
MentionMetrix Overview
MentionMetrix is a web app for people who trade mention markets on Polymarket and Kalshi. Those are the contracts that pay out on whether a speaker says a certain word during a speech, a press briefing or an earnings call. The tool answers one question fast: how often has this person said this word before?
You type a term, pick a speaker and a date range, and the dashboard returns the numbers that matter. Average and median mentions per speech, the last time the word came up, a chart of mentions over time, and the share of past speeches where the word appeared at least once. Below that sits a list of matching transcripts with dates, durations and mention counts, each one clickable.
The filters do most of the work. You can narrow by speaker, category, location, Q&A versus no Q&A, speech length, and a minimum mention count. A "whole word only" toggle keeps "rate" from catching "rated". That last bit matters, because market rules differ on word forms and a near miss can change a payout.
It is built for mention market traders who would rather check a frequency than guess. Beginners use it to see whether a market is mispriced. The worked examples floating around the community follow the same shape. One trader looked up "Dog" before a Trump weekly market. The tool showed 6 of 409 speeches, about 1%, while Polymarket priced Yes at 30%. That gap is the whole idea.
Two things separate it from a plain search box. A word matrix compares several terms side by side, and a transcription view shows whether a word landed in prepared remarks or came out in the Q&A. Pro users get both. A markets calendar tracks open and upcoming mention markets, and saved searches re-run a frequent lookup in one click.
The transcript database is the other draw. Around 1,786 transcripts across 47 speakers and groups. Trump has the deepest set by far, about 1,080 speeches, with JD Vance, Zohran Mamdani, Kathy Hochul and Karoline Leavitt behind him. Powell pressers, UK Prime Minister's Questions and earnings calls from Nvidia, Apple, Tesla, Amazon and two dozen other companies round it out. Coverage is uneven. If the speaker you need is not in there, the tool will not help you.
Pricing runs Free at 5 searches a month, Starter at $35, Pro at $49. Pro adds the matrix, the transcription analysis and a live mention counter that still shows as coming soon. The free tier is enough to test whether the data matches how you already trade.
Historical frequency is not a forecast. A word said in 1% of past speeches can still come up twice next week. The tool tells you what a speaker's record looks like, and you decide what that record is worth at the current odds. I think that is the right split. The people getting value out of it seem to pair the numbers with their own read on the event, which is roughly what good trading looks like anyway.
MentionMetrix Key features
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Transcript search
Type a word or phrase and the tool counts how often each speaker said it across the transcript database. Results come back with the dates, categories and mention counts for every speech.
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Advanced filters
Narrow a search by date range, speaker, category, location, Q&A versus no Q&A, speech title, minimum mentions or speech length. A whole word toggle keeps partial matches out.
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Mentions dashboard
Shows average and median mentions per speech, the last time the term came up, and a chart of mentions over time. A donut chart gives the share of speeches with at least one mention.
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Matching speeches
Each hit lists the date, speaker, category, duration, title and mention count, with a link to the full transcript.
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Word matrix
Pro users can compare several terms side by side in one view. It helps when a market can resolve on more than one phrase.
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Transcription analysis
Opens a single speech so you can see whether a word came in the opening remarks or during the Q&A. That matters when a market counts only one part of the event.
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Markets calendar
Lists current and upcoming mention markets so you can line up research with events that are still open.
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Saved searches
Stores the term searches you run often, so you can rerun them without rebuilding the filters.
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Market odds panel
Links a Kalshi event to a speech and loads the strike prices next to the historical mention frequency. You get the market's price and the transcript record in the same place.
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Live mention counter
Announced for Pro, it transcribes an event as it happens and counts mentions for you. It has carried a coming soon label for about a year.
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Database coverage
About 1,786 transcripts across 47 speakers and groups, with deep sets for Trump and Vance, plus earnings calls from Apple, Tesla, Nvidia and others. Coverage thins out for less common speakers.
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Pricing tiers
Free gets five searches a month, Starter costs $35 and Pro $49. Paid plans renew automatically and the fees are non-refundable.
MentionMetrix Fees
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Free plan The Free tier gives you 5 searches per month, and the dashboard keeps a counter that reads "Free searches remaining: 5/5 this month".
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Starter plan Starter costs $35 per month and covers the basic dashboard, matching speeches and the Markets Calendar, with unlimited searches.
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Pro plan Pro costs $49 per month, is marked as the popular option, and adds word matrix analysis and Transcription Analysis on top of everything in Starter.
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Billing terms Paid plans renew automatically unless you cancel, fees are non-refundable except where the law requires it, and payments go through third-party processors.
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Black Friday code The promo code BLACKFRIDAY took $15 off any purchase during the Black Friday run.
How to use MentionMetrix
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Open the web app
Go to mentionmetrix.com in a browser. There is nothing to install, no app and no extension, so the site is the whole tool.
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Pick a mention market
Find the contract you want on Polymarket or Kalshi and write down the exact word or phrase, plus who has to say it. MentionMetrix does not place trades for you.
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Read the market rules
Check how the venue treats plurals, word forms and what counts as said. Rules differ between Polymarket and Kalshi, so a hit on your search may not be a hit under the contract.
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Sign up free
The free plan gives you 5 searches a month and the dashboard shows a counter so you know what is left. Starter runs $35 a month and Pro $49 if you need unlimited searches.
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Search the keyword
Type the term into the search bar. Flip on Whole word only when the market rules care about plurals or word forms.
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Choose the speaker
Use the Speakers filter to pick the person or group. Coverage leans heavy on Trump, Vance, Mamdani, Leavitt and the big earnings calls, so check your speaker is actually in there before you build a trade around it.
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Set the date range
Take a preset like Last 30 days, Last 3 months or YTD, or enter your own dates. Keep the window close to the period the market settles on.
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Tighten the filters
Set a minimum mention count to cut speeches where the term never came up. For Trump, drop Gaggles and Remarks if you want long speeches only, since those categories hold 30-second to 5-minute appearances, and you can also set a minimum speech duration in minutes.
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Read the dashboard
Look at mentions per speech (average and median), the last mention date, and the donut chart for the share of speeches with one or more mentions. That share is the number you carry to the market price.
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Open the matching speeches
The list gives date, speaker, category, duration, title and mention count for each hit. Click View Full Transcript and read the line in context, because a word pulled out by a reporter's question counts differently from one in the prepared remarks. Pro users can see the opening remarks versus Q&A split inside a single speech.
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Compare with the odds
Put the historical share next to the live price and look for a gap. One trader found Trump said Dog in 6 of 409 speeches, about 1%, while Polymarket had Yes at 30%.
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Save the search
Save the setup so you can re-run it in one click when the next market opens. Saved Searches and the Markets Calendar are part of the paid plans.
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Ask the Discord
The MentionMetrix Community Discord runs live threads during events and posts picks with reasoning. It is worth a look when a speaker is thin in the database or the transcript is fresh.
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Do your own event research
The team says data is not everything you need to succeed. Check what is actually on the calendar that day and size the trade yourself.
MentionMetrix Demo video
MentionMetrix Screenshots
MentionMetrix User Reviews
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MentionMetrix is the best tool for analysing large transcripts at once 🙏
View on X ↗ -
another W with the people @MentionMetrix - the tool is great, and community is even better :) hard to know the vibes of the diff kinds of trump appearances if you're not locked in. but we're locked in :)
View on X ↗ -
There are many ways to make money on @Polymarket - here's one using @MentionMetrix. Choose a mentions market, for example: "What will Trump say this week?" Keyword: "Dog". Go to MentionMetrix, Speaker: Trump, Word: Dog, Min mentions: 1. Result: 1% (6 out of 409 speeches). Check Polymarket odds: Yes: 30%. That's a clear misprice - you could set limit orders on NO and exit once it moves closer to fair value.
View on X ↗
MentionMetrix Review
Pros
- It searches about 1,786 transcripts across 47 speakers, so a keyword check takes seconds.
- The free plan gives you 5 searches a month and shows the counter on the dashboard.
- Filters for Q&A versus prepared remarks, speech length and minimum mentions let you mirror a market's exact rules.
- Trump coverage runs to about 1,080 speeches, with rally transcripts going back to July of the prior election cycle.
- Saved Searches re-run your usual keyword checks without retyping them.
- On the Pro plan, Transcription Analysis shows whether a word came in the opening remarks or in a Q&A answer.
- Starter costs $35 a month and allows unlimited searches.
Cons
- There is no mobile app or browser extension, so it only works in a web browser.
- Coverage is thin for less common speakers; the database had about 1,786 transcripts across 47 speakers or groups.
- The Pro live counter and AI odds tools still show "Coming soon" about a year after launch.
- Paid plans renew automatically and fees are non-refundable.
- A solo founder runs it, and no company or legal entity is disclosed.
- The public feed mostly shares personal trading P&L instead of product updates.
- Users still need to check each market's rules because word forms and what counts as said differ by venue.
Our verdict
MentionMetrix does one job well: you type a word, pick a speaker, and it shows how often that word turned up in past transcripts and in what share of speeches, which beats guessing when a Polymarket or Kalshi mention market sits far from the historical rate. The catch is coverage. About 1,080 of its 1,786 transcripts are Trump, so if your market is about someone outside the short list of Vance, Mamdani, Leavitt and the big earnings calls, you are paying $35 to $49 a month for a mostly empty page. The Live Counter and AI odds analysis promised at launch still say "coming soon" a year on, and this is a solo founder project with no company behind it. If you trade mention markets most weeks, the Pro tier earns its keep fast; if you are only curious, spend the five free searches and decide from there.
Is MentionMetrix safe & legit?
MentionMetrix is a transcript analytics tool for mention markets, built by a solo developer who goes by "Ave," a full-time prediction-market trader who posts his monthly profit and loss publicly and says he made the tool for his own trading first. Mention traders in its Discord and around Polymarket use it as a data source, and I found no scam reports or billing complaints. The known risks are milder than fraud: no company or legal entity is disclosed, subscriptions auto-renew and are non-refundable, several Pro features still sit at "coming soon" a year after launch, and there is no MentionMetrix token, so any coin trading under that name is a scam.
X account intel @MentionMetrix
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Based in Ukraine
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Joined X October 2025 1 year ago
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Username changes 1 rename last on Oct 4, 2025
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Signup source Ukraine App Store
Public profile signals from X. Use as one input alongside other due-diligence.
Security scan checked Nov 10, 2026
- Google Web Risk Not flagged
- MetaMask Not flagged
- Phantom Not flagged
- ScamSniffer Not flagged
- EtherAddressLookup Not flagged
- Keplr Wallet Not flagged
Domain www.mentionmetrix.com checked against Google's lists of unsafe sites and public crypto wallet blacklists.
This is an automated check, not a security audit. The summary is drafted from the project's own pages and public posts, and the domain is looked up on public blocklists. Nothing here is financial advice: only put in money you can afford to lose. How we review listings
MentionMetrix FAQ
What does MentionMetrix do?
How much does it cost?
Can I place a trade inside MentionMetrix?
Who is behind the tool?
Does a past mention rate actually predict the next speech?
MentionMetrix Updates
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One of the sharpest traders. I’m glad we got to know each other early this year!- 1 replies
- 25 likes
- 2K views
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Crazy election night with almost all my positions winning. Nearly flawles.
Overall, I'm going to end up with around $80k in profit.
I want to thank @bernardbulletin for the advice you gave and I congratulate you on your huge win.
Also want to thank my boys in @MentionMetrix community. Without them, I wouldn't be able to make it.
I'm also proud of the amount of research I did on Kansas, which built up my confidence to make it my 2nd largest win this election.
And I'm happy for all the other people who became much richer today.
- 10 replies
- 64 likes
- 3.8K views
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1 year of doing (not only) mention markets
Overall: +$242464
September: +$12995
August: +$5449
July: +$54258
June: +$22129
May: +$14116
April: +$17182
March: +$29853
February: +$51921
January: +$24204
December: +$7295
November: +$2035
October: +$1027
It's been a transformational year for me. I learned a lot about myself, got to know a lot of great people and earned quite a good amount of money which I'll try to use as a foundation for my future.
Somehow, I spent hundreds of hours creating a tool even though I'm a lazy person. Gathered a community of a lot of nice people, even though I'm an introvert. I guess you can do anything when you like what you're doing.
It's been mostly fun, especially in December - March period. Then it became routine and grind, but still with some great moments. Can't say that there were a lot of setbacks. But it's an emotional rollercoaster for sure.
Probably the last post about my journey. There're still midterms, but then we'll see what lies ahead. I'm grateful for everything that happened this year. And I hope I helped others on their journeys.
- 10 replies
- 1 reposts
- 46 likes
- 1.5K views
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I have finally reached 100k profit on @Kalshi !
After almost blowing my account (6k->950$) in late Decemeber of last year during Trump's Kennedy center honors, I managed to fully recover pretty quickly. I think that without that loss, I would not be where I am now. I would like to thank the @MentionMetrix community, could not have done this without them!
I am a 19yr old uni student going into second year, and with the current job market it feels very good to have money to fall back on if things get dicey when i finish my degree.
I'm going on holidays tomorrow for the entire month and I will later go on a 6 month exchange to CHYNA, so my growth will for sure stagnate but I'll still be around. Hopefully more to come!
- 15 replies
- 2 reposts
- 61 likes
- 4.4K views
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10th month of doing (not only) mention markets
July: +$54258
June: +$22129
May: +$14116
April: +$17182
March: +$29853
February: +$51921
January: +$24204
December: +$7295
November: +$2035
October: +$1027
Overall: +$224020 (across Kalshi and Poly)
My best month yet thanks to the World Cup. I’ll be missing it, but thankfully it brought a lot of new people to the category and politics mentions are back at good volume. So there’s a hope i can keep up with this pace.
Also i was able to grab my second 1c play during the Carvana call when they had issues with their webcast while the phone call was working.
And need to pay more attention to election markets. Midterms getting closer, ton of volume is going to be there.
- 5 replies
- 2 reposts
- 29 likes
- 2K views
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9th month of doing (not only) mention markets
June: +$22129
May: +$14116
April: +$17182
March: +$29853
February: +$51921
January: +$24204
December: +$7295
November: +$2035
October: +$1027
Overall: +$169762
It's been a good month as we have a lot of action with World Cup mentions. Also, I found some success with some WC sports bets and with elections. Mentions is still a big part of my winnings, but its share is getting lower.
Diversification and being able to adapt are key here, so I'm looking forward to developing my edge in those areas further.
- 1 replies
- 7 likes
- 792 views
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8th month of doing mention markets
May: +$14116
April: +$17182
March: +$29853
February: +$51921
January: +$24204
December: +$7295
November: +$2035
October: +$1027
Overall: +$147633
Pretty happy with the result I've shown, as I was able to stabilise my profit after it started plummeting.
First weeks of the month were pretty slow with only a few good markets, so I started researching other categories like sports, elections, culture, etc. Right now, the share of my mention gains is at 60-70% and I plan to diversify even further. There are opportunities in other categories, just not as interesting as mentions. But profit is profit.
- 4 replies
- 17 likes
- 808 views
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7th month of doing mention markets
April: +$17182
March: +$29853
February: +$51921
January: +$24204
December: +$7295
November: +$2035
October: +$1027
Overall: +$133517
Wasn't the best month for me. Usually, my main profit comes from secondary markets (Mamdani, Hochul, other new speakers...). For the past one-two months I've seen some issues with volume in mentions and that's a big hit for my main profit source as I couldn't play the strikes i like more and had to choose those that had some volume. So I'm trying to adjust, to find new tactics and strategies. Trying to look into new categories which i find interesting and liquid.
Also been kinda burned out after the previous months. Hopefully, I can rest a bit and come back stronger. Seeing my position on the leaderboard that hasn't changed makes me think that I'm not struggling alone.
- 3 replies
- 16 likes
- 897 views
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Yesterday was one of my best days so far | +$4426
I love the days after big events. Cause for some time you get enough volume to realize all your ideas and plays.
- 15 replies
- 1 reposts
- 43 likes
- 2.2K views
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Could've done better considering the volume, but I'm happy that I'm done almost perfectly well in terms of my predictions.
My positions were:
- Ballroom N
- Excursion N
- Withdraw N
- Uranium N
- Ceasefire N
- Hottest Y
- Stock market Y
- Regime change N (on poly) - the only one that I guessed wrong.
I wish we had more of such events, but I'm sure this one will bring attention to the category and we'll see good volume in the next couple of weeks.
- 5 replies
- 1 reposts
- 17 likes
- 1.9K views
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6th month of doing mention markets
March: +$29853
February: +$51921
January: +$24204
December: +$7295
November: +$2035
October: +$1027
Overall: +$116335
March has been a tough month. Everything felt harder. I think the issue is less people were interested in the category in general, but those who stayed became better and competition grew.
But anyway, I was able to find enough opportunities and take a spot in the top 20 of the monthly leaderboard and complete my $100k goal for this year.
I believe we still should be good throughout 2026 and then we'll see.
- 5 replies
- 39 likes
- 1.6K views
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I've seen quite some rulescucks on Kalshi. Most often, I've been on the winning side. And I want to share some thoughts on that.
Rules are often imperfect. And that's alright, considering how quickly the category grows, new speakers get added. Unexpected situations are inevitable.
What worked for me in these chaotic situations? Understanding how Kalshi's staff will act.
The easiest way is to remember how they acted in similar situations. It comes with time, but there's also @bernardbulletin, who compiled a Dispute Bible, which includes many of these situations.
Often, unclear rules are Kalshi’s fault. Unclear wording, dates, title, sources, or resolution criteria. And in those cases, resolutions tend to follow patterns:
– last traded price
– one side wins, the other gets refunded
- "common sense" outcome
They’re actually pretty consistent and I was able to understand which way the market will go logically. I can recall only one case that felt completely unfair.
If you’re not confident in the outcome — stay away.
If you are, still manage risk.
Because sometimes, there’s no logic. Only precedent.
- 2 replies
- 5 likes
- 575 views
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Today I finally hit $100k on @Kalshi
When I was setting it as a goal for the whole 2026, I didn't expect to hit it in 3 months.
This has been a crazy road, which has brought some insane opportunities. I always say that I'm just lucky, but there are hundreds, maybe even thousands of hours behind it. I'm lucky that I have such nice people in @MentionMetrix community. I think 1/4 of my profit was because of alpha shared by the community.
March is much harder, but not every month will be your best month. But with midterms coming up i think we'll see some more great months.
My new goal for 2026 is $500k and I hope I'll be lucky enough to reach it.
- 13 replies
- 2 reposts
- 48 likes
- 10.1K views
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Been missing here for some time. A lot of grind is happening in the MentionMetrix community.
Kinda got burned out after previous months of non-stop grind. But mention markets supercycle is an opportunity of a lifetime, so I still grind, just not being active here.
3k until the $100k all-time profit🚀
- 3 replies
- 23 likes
- 1.7K views
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Mentions P&L Leaderboard looking like the @MentionMetrix chat today......
- 3 replies
- 1 reposts
- 20 likes
- 1.4K views
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5th month of doing mention markets
February: +$51921
January: +$24204
December: +$7295
November: +$2035
October: +$1027
Overall: +$86482
Another crazy month when I was able to show significant growth. So many beautiful moments: Super Bowl, Bernie rug, Bernie rally, 1c play, SOTU. Only yesterday's Trump rally was a big loss. But i guess it saved me from being overconfident.
Learned a lot of new stuff. Got to know so many good people. Grew MentionMetrix community to 200+ people. Thanks to everyone with whom we spent all this time there. Wonderful place!
Shoutout to @radarmentions for launching a great tool. Also helped me make at least $10k this month)
$100k goal is close! I'll try to close it next week or two.
- 7 replies
- 1 reposts
- 44 likes
- 3.1K views
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My biggest loss ever | -$4756
I guess I was just too tired of winning😅
It disappoints me, but I understand that it still was an incredible month and I'll keep going forward.
- 5 replies
- 1 reposts
- 28 likes
- 1.6K views
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That's A LOT of green from the @MentionMetrix crew.
Crazy stuff going on in mentions on @Kalshi right now!
- 5 replies
- 2 reposts
- 14 likes
- 3K views
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Keep grinding | +$4711
Flawless day with many nice wins and as a cherry on top - Mamdani speech with good volume and crazy mispricings.
Proper research is a must!
- 7 replies
- 1 reposts
- 35 likes
- 2.2K views
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My first SOTU and I did gooood | +$8035
Started with -$2k as Somalian was leaked, but Ballroom N was a saviour.
Almost caught Olympic N during the mismog, bought only 200 shares and sold at 35c.
Almost did the same with Obama, but it was mogged only to 10c, I expected 5c. Should've acted riskier.
- 4 replies
- 2 reposts
- 35 likes
- 2K views
MentionMetrix Reviews & Comments
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