Arkham Prediction Markets

Arkham's Intel platform maps onchain prediction market trades to real-world identities, showing who holds what positions and how they perform.

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Preview of Arkham Prediction Markets

Arkham Intel Prediction Markets Analytics for Polymarket Traders

What is Arkham Prediction Markets?

Arkham Intel now brings prediction markets analytics to its onchain intelligence platform, letting traders track top performers, live positions, and wallet-linked activity across Polymarket and similar venues.

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Arkham Prediction Markets Overview

Arkham's prediction markets hub lives inside the Intel platform at intel.arkm.com/predictions and gives traders a clear view of who is buying and selling shares on Polymarket and similar venues. It pulls from a database of over 3.5 billion address labels and 800,000 verified entities to connect onchain trades to real-world accounts, so you can see which wallets belong to known participants and how they are performing.

The tool is built for anyone who takes prediction market trading seriously. Professional bettors can sort a live feed of top accounts by lifetime profit and loss, then drill into any profile to see every open and closed position, entry and exit prices, win rates, and return on investment figures. Researchers and institutional observers get actual capital flow data rather than polls or sentiment surveys. Developers can pull the same data through the Arkham API to build automated alerts or custom dashboards around whale activity.

At the core is a real-time trade tape that scrolls every buy and sell across tracked markets. You can filter by category such as politics, sports, or crypto, or sort by who currently holds yes or no shares on a given event. Clicking any labeled address overlays that trader's full entry and exit history directly onto the market's price chart, so you see the timing of their moves in context with price action. From the same view, you can follow links into their broader wallet history and portfolio flows without switching platforms.

What separates this from a generic blockchain explorer is the entity labeling layer. Most onchain tools show raw addresses. Arkham attributes those addresses to specific people or organizations, which means the prediction market analytics here come with identity context attached. You are not just watching anonymous capital move. You are watching known participants take positions, and you can track their full history across markets and time.

Access is open to all Arkham users, and the alert system connects to the existing Intel workflow, so you can set notifications for specific traders or markets and review everything in one place.

Arkham Prediction Markets Key features

  • Top Traders Leaderboard

    A ranked feed of the highest-performing prediction market accounts, sorted by lifetime profit and loss. Each profile shows total returns, win rate, and a full history of open and closed positions.

  • Per-Trader Position History

    For any selected account, the platform lists every individual trade with entry price, exit price, and profit or loss. Charts map performance over time and break down win rates by market category.

  • Live Trade Tape

    A real-time scrolling feed of every buy and sell across tracked prediction markets. Users filter by category such as politics, sports, or crypto, and sort by current position holders or active profit and loss.

  • Chart Entry and Exit Overlays

    Clicking a labeled wallet overlays that trader's full entry and exit history onto the prediction market's price chart. The view connects to Arkham's broader labeling system to surface related onchain activity.

  • Alerts and Wallet Tracking

    Users set notifications for transactions from specific traders or markets. The alerts tie into Arkham's existing Intel tools, so a single workflow covers a participant's wallet history, portfolio flows, and any verified entity tags.

Arkham Prediction Markets Demo video

Arkham Prediction Markets Screenshots

Arkham Prediction Markets User Reviews

  • @RolandoCryptos
    @RolandoCryptos May 7, 2026

    Honestly, this is one of the best things Arkham has released in recent months. Having all the data integrated into a single interface has always been Arkham's strength. Keep up the good work!

    View on X ↗
  • @decenterghost
    @decenterghost May 7, 2026

    prediction markets + onchain intel is a crazy combo congrats! ... This kind of integration finally gives serious traders the visibility they need to track smart money moves across events without jumping between platforms. The combo of PNL leaderboards and full wallet history is exactly what the space has been missing.

    View on X ↗
  • @PulsQuant_PM
    @PulsQuant_PM May 7, 2026

    Arkham just added the who. We track the what and the when. The full picture is finally coming together. ... Being able to overlay top traders' entries and exits directly on price action while seeing their broader verified activity elevates the entire analytics game for anyone serious about sports, politics, or crypto event betting.

    View on X ↗
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Is Arkham Prediction Markets safe & legit?

Arkham Prediction Markets is a feature built by Arkham Intelligence, a legitimate blockchain analytics company founded by Miguel Morel and backed by investors including Tim Draper. The platform has a public track record, a working product history, and no known security breaches or exit scam indicators. It operates as a read-only analytics dashboard, so no user funds are held or traded through it, and early community feedback from prediction market analysts has been positive.

X account intel @arkham

  • Based in United States
  • Joined X May 2019 7 years ago
  • Username changes 2 renames last on Nov 27, 2024
  • Signup source Web

Public profile signals from X. Use as one input alongside other due-diligence.

Wallet blacklist scan checked Aug 19, 2026

  • MetaMask Not flagged
  • Phantom Not flagged
  • ScamSniffer Not flagged
  • EtherAddressLookup Not flagged
  • Keplr Wallet Not flagged

Domain arkm.com checked against public crypto wallet blacklists.

Arkham Prediction Markets Updates

  1. Arkham Prediction Markets logo
    Arkham
    Find top-performing wallets on Robinhood Chain with the Arkham API.
    I asked Claude to scan CASHCAT holders and find the top traders on Robinhood. This is Trader 0x521, who achieved a 24,500x on CASHCAT.
    He bought $53 of CASHCAT, 18 minutes after launch - and turned it into $1.29 MILLION today.
    2 more in this thread
    Trader 0x521 was incredibly early to Robinhood Chain. He bought 0.02 ETH of CASHCAT on the day of launch, securing 1.9% of supply when CASHCAT was at only $2.8K market cap.
    He sold the majority of his tokens - over 1% supply - in early July, securing $436K. However, he’s still holding $728K of CASHCAT, which is approaching its ATH after a listing on Robinhood.
    Will he keep holding?
    Track Trader 0x521 on Arkham:
    https://arkm.com/explorer/address/0x5214eeD778FD780B270c47DD99600433cFdf7841
    • 22 replies
    • 16 reposts
    • 208 likes
    • 54.9K views
  2. Arkham Prediction Markets logo
    Arkham
    BLACKROCK’S BIGGEST WEEK SINCE ATH
    BlackRock’s clients bought $1.33B of Bitcoin last week, buying every single day. This was their biggest week since Bitcoin’s ATH on 6th October 2025.
    BlackRock has net bought a total of $2.17B since the July 1st bottom, with over half of that bought in the last week.
    1 more in this thread
    Track BlackRock on Arkham:
    https://arkm.com/explorer/entity/blackrock
    • 15 replies
    • 40 reposts
    • 310 likes
    • 50.8K views
  3. Arkham Prediction Markets logo
    Arkham
    MACHI - LARGEST ACCOUNT BALANCE SINCE 10/10
    Machi Big Brother is up to his largest balance on Hyperliquid since getting wiped out on 10/10 last year.
    He made over $10M in under 2 days last week, and his peak balance this year was $12.23M this morning.
    1 more in this thread
    Track Machi Big Brother on Arkham:
    https://arkm.com/explorer/entity/machibigbrother
    • 14 replies
    • 16 reposts
    • 262 likes
    • 54.9K views
  4. Arkham Prediction Markets logo
    Arkham
    *TOM LEE BOUGHT $80M ETH
    Tom Lee’s Bitmine purchased ~$79.17M of ETH over the past week - their largest weekly purchase in over a month and a half.
    Bitmine currently holds $14.72B of ETH, representing ~4.85% of the total ETH supply. Bitmine’s average purchase price is ~$3,400.
    1 more in this thread
    Track Bitmine on Arkham:
    https://arkm.com/explorer/entity/bitmine
    • 15 replies
    • 16 reposts
    • 298 likes
    • 51K views
  5. Arkham Prediction Markets logo
    Arkham
    SAYLOR NOW HOLDS $6.7 BILLION USD
    Saylor sold $2B of MSTR and is now holding $66.2B of BTC and $6.7 BILLION USD. He also repurchased $136M of STRC.
    Strategy holds $1.6B of its USD as ‘USD Cash’, which may be used for future Bitcoin purchases.
    1 more in this thread
    Track Strategy on Arkham:
    https://arkm.com/explorer/entity/microstrategy
    • 14 replies
    • 11 reposts
    • 179 likes
    • 49.7K views
  6. Arkham Prediction Markets logo
    Arkham
    As of today, Saylor is back in profit.
    Strategy holds $63.36B of BTC, bought at an average price of $75,385.
    Saylor is now up $1.72 BILLION.
    1 more in this thread
    Track Strategy on Arkham:
    https://arkm.com/explorer/entity/microstrategy
    • 23 replies
    • 38 reposts
    • 312 likes
    • 56.4K views
  7. Arkham Prediction Markets logo
    Arkham
    BLACKROCK IS BUYING
    BlackRock’s clients just bought over HALF A BILLION BTC.
    That’s their biggest buy in over half a year.
    1 more in this thread
    Track BlackRock on Arkham:
    https://arkm.com/explorer/entity/blackrock
    • 49 replies
    • 141 reposts
    • 1K likes
    • 100.1K views
  8. Arkham Prediction Markets logo
    Arkham
    MACHI BIG BROTHER JUST RAN $100K TO $9.5 MILLION
    Last week, Machi Big Brother was selling off his last bored apes to long ETH on Hyperliquid. Now, he’s up almost 100x on his entire perps account, gaining $9M in only 2 days.
    MACHI IS BACK.
    1 more in this thread
    Track Machi Big Brother on Arkham:
    https://arkm.com/explorer/entity/machibigbrother
    • 233 replies
    • 149 reposts
    • 2.6K likes
    • 431.6K views
  9. Arkham Prediction Markets logo
    Arkham
    Garrett Bullish is BACK IN PROFIT.
    Garrett Bullish longed $96.5M of BTC at $76K. At the lows he was down over $22 MILLION. But he kept holding.
    Now he’s up $16M in 3 days on his BTC long and back in profit. Will he sell now, or keep holding?
    1 more in this thread
    Track Garrett Bullish on Arkham:
    https://arkm.com/explorer/entity/garrett-jin
    • 9 replies
    • 9 reposts
    • 132 likes
    • 54.1K views
  10. Arkham Prediction Markets logo
    Arkham
    HE STOLE $100M BTC.
    Thanks to BTC pumping, he’s now up over $20M.
    People sent the Coldcard hacker encrypted messages on-chain. Here’s what they had to say:
    • 14 replies
    • 25 reposts
    • 177 likes
    • 64.2K views

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Ready to try Arkham Prediction Markets?

Open the official site and get started in a few clicks.

Launch Arkham Prediction Markets