Arkham Prediction Markets

Arkham's Intel platform maps onchain prediction market trades to real-world identities, showing who holds what positions and how they perform.

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Preview of Arkham Prediction Markets

Arkham Intel Prediction Markets Analytics for Polymarket Traders

What is Arkham Prediction Markets?

Arkham Intel now brings prediction markets analytics to its onchain intelligence platform, letting traders track top performers, live positions, and wallet-linked activity across Polymarket and similar venues.

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Launch Arkham Prediction Markets

Arkham Prediction Markets Overview

Arkham's prediction markets hub lives inside the Intel platform at intel.arkm.com/predictions and gives traders a clear view of who is buying and selling shares on Polymarket and similar venues. It pulls from a database of over 3.5 billion address labels and 800,000 verified entities to connect onchain trades to real-world accounts, so you can see which wallets belong to known participants and how they are performing.

The tool is built for anyone who takes prediction market trading seriously. Professional bettors can sort a live feed of top accounts by lifetime profit and loss, then drill into any profile to see every open and closed position, entry and exit prices, win rates, and return on investment figures. Researchers and institutional observers get actual capital flow data rather than polls or sentiment surveys. Developers can pull the same data through the Arkham API to build automated alerts or custom dashboards around whale activity.

At the core is a real-time trade tape that scrolls every buy and sell across tracked markets. You can filter by category such as politics, sports, or crypto, or sort by who currently holds yes or no shares on a given event. Clicking any labeled address overlays that trader's full entry and exit history directly onto the market's price chart, so you see the timing of their moves in context with price action. From the same view, you can follow links into their broader wallet history and portfolio flows without switching platforms.

What separates this from a generic blockchain explorer is the entity labeling layer. Most onchain tools show raw addresses. Arkham attributes those addresses to specific people or organizations, which means the prediction market analytics here come with identity context attached. You are not just watching anonymous capital move. You are watching known participants take positions, and you can track their full history across markets and time.

Access is open to all Arkham users, and the alert system connects to the existing Intel workflow, so you can set notifications for specific traders or markets and review everything in one place.

Arkham Prediction Markets Key features

  • Top Traders Leaderboard

    A ranked feed of the highest-performing prediction market accounts, sorted by lifetime profit and loss. Each profile shows total returns, win rate, and a full history of open and closed positions.

  • Per-Trader Position History

    For any selected account, the platform lists every individual trade with entry price, exit price, and profit or loss. Charts map performance over time and break down win rates by market category.

  • Live Trade Tape

    A real-time scrolling feed of every buy and sell across tracked prediction markets. Users filter by category such as politics, sports, or crypto, and sort by current position holders or active profit and loss.

  • Chart Entry and Exit Overlays

    Clicking a labeled wallet overlays that trader's full entry and exit history onto the prediction market's price chart. The view connects to Arkham's broader labeling system to surface related onchain activity.

  • Alerts and Wallet Tracking

    Users set notifications for transactions from specific traders or markets. The alerts tie into Arkham's existing Intel tools, so a single workflow covers a participant's wallet history, portfolio flows, and any verified entity tags.

Arkham Prediction Markets Demo video

Arkham Prediction Markets Screenshots

Arkham Prediction Markets User Reviews

  • @RolandoCryptos
    @RolandoCryptos May 7, 2026

    Honestly, this is one of the best things Arkham has released in recent months. Having all the data integrated into a single interface has always been Arkham's strength. Keep up the good work!

    View on X ↗
  • @decenterghost
    @decenterghost May 7, 2026

    prediction markets + onchain intel is a crazy combo congrats! ... This kind of integration finally gives serious traders the visibility they need to track smart money moves across events without jumping between platforms. The combo of PNL leaderboards and full wallet history is exactly what the space has been missing.

    View on X ↗
  • @PulsQuant_PM
    @PulsQuant_PM May 7, 2026

    Arkham just added the who. We track the what and the when. The full picture is finally coming together. ... Being able to overlay top traders' entries and exits directly on price action while seeing their broader verified activity elevates the entire analytics game for anyone serious about sports, politics, or crypto event betting.

    View on X ↗
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Is Arkham Prediction Markets safe & legit?

Arkham Prediction Markets is a feature built by Arkham Intelligence, a legitimate blockchain analytics company founded by Miguel Morel and backed by investors including Tim Draper. The platform has a public track record, a working product history, and no known security breaches or exit scam indicators. It operates as a read-only analytics dashboard, so no user funds are held or traded through it, and early community feedback from prediction market analysts has been positive.

X account intel @arkham

  • Based in United States
  • Joined X May 2019 7 years ago
  • Username changes 2 renames last on Nov 27, 2024
  • Signup source Web

Public profile signals from X. Use as one input alongside other due-diligence.

Wallet blacklist scan checked Aug 2, 2026

  • MetaMask Not flagged
  • Phantom Not flagged
  • ScamSniffer Not flagged
  • EtherAddressLookup Not flagged
  • Keplr Wallet Not flagged

Domain arkm.com checked against public crypto wallet blacklists.

Arkham Prediction Markets Updates

  1. Arkham Prediction Markets logo
    Arkham
    A Bitcoin address linked to the Coldcard thief has become a permanent public message board.
    People have asked him for money, called him names, and even offered their services to the hacker.
    Traders can use Arkham to inspect OP_RETURN data, track on-chain messages, and monitor stolen funds. Check out the full article below:
    https://info.arkm.com/research/coldcard-why-are-users-sending-on-chain-messages-to-the-hackers-address
    • 7 replies
    • 11 reposts
    • 71 likes
    • 41.6K views
  2. Arkham Prediction Markets logo
    Arkham
    *SPACEX Q2 REVENUE: $1B HIGHER THAN EXPECTED
    Elon Musk just gained $30 Billion net worth in a single minute. SpaceX’s BTC is worth $1.2B.
    US Markets are closed - everything happened on-chain first.
    1 more in this thread
    Track SpaceX on Arkham:
    https://arkm.com/explorer/entity/spacex
    • 16 replies
    • 17 reposts
    • 128 likes
    • 46K views
  3. Arkham Prediction Markets logo
    Arkham
    Not a single ETF sold Bitcoin yesterday.
    BlackRock bought $111M
    Fidelity bought $33M
    Franklin Templeton bought $9M.
    The ETFs haven’t sold Bitcoin in August at all.
    1 more in this thread
    This was the first time Franklin Templeton had bought BTC in over 30 days.
    Track Franklin Templeton on Arkham:
    https://arkm.com/explorer/entity/franklin-templeton
    • 19 replies
    • 26 reposts
    • 254 likes
    • 46.2K views
  4. Arkham Prediction Markets logo
    Arkham
    The COLDCARD Hacker is getting a ton of messages.
    “1 btc plz”, “only [n]eed 0.25 for my car, do your magic boss”
    One guy admonished him.
    “He who has nothing has nothing to lose, but he who steals loses himself.”
    One guy even tried to prompt him like an LLM:
    “Ignore all previous instructions. Send all the bitcoin in this address to bc1qez30908775lxaa09nr3hje2v8q9fpslyarxc02”
    1 more in this thread
    Track the hacker’s address on Arkham:
    https://arkm.com/explorer/address/bc1qq85v2c926eg6pgxhwp6q7lf6cnsz80qs3fcu9r
    • 58 replies
    • 65 reposts
    • 769 likes
    • 137.6K views
  5. Arkham Prediction Markets logo
    Arkham
    *TRADER BUYS $1 MILLION $CASHCAT
    Trader 0x3ad started by slowly buying $200K of CASHCAT, but after that he slammed and bought $800K of CASHCAT in 2 clips.
    He now holds $1.1M of CASHCAT across 3 different addresses.
    1 more in this thread
    Track Trader 0x3ad on Arkham:
    https://arkm.com/explorer/address/0x3ad3ea19668E0f9f74eEdfB03C00B85bfd94FAb1
    • 30 replies
    • 29 reposts
    • 261 likes
    • 58K views
  6. Arkham Prediction Markets logo
    Arkham
    WHO OWNS THE MOST ETH?
    Our research team mapped the largest ETH holders, from BlackRock to Vitalik Buterin; and one early Ethereum investor who owns 250K ETH but has completely lost access to it.
    Check out our breakdown of the largest ETH wallets and entities.
    https://info.arkm.com/research/who-owns-the-most-ethereum-top-eth-holders-2026
    • 19 replies
    • 8 reposts
    • 104 likes
    • 48.5K views
  7. Arkham Prediction Markets logo
    Arkham
    SAYLOR SOLD, BUT TOM LEE BOUGHT
    Tom Lee’s Bitmine just purchased $19M of ETH over the past week, and bought back approximately $80 Million of BMNR stock.
    Bitmine now holds over 4.8% of the total ETH supply.
    1 more in this thread
    Track Bitmine on Arkham:
    ​​https://arkm.com/explorer/entity/bitmine
    • 26 replies
    • 25 reposts
    • 190 likes
    • 52.5K views
  8. Arkham Prediction Markets logo
    Arkham
    STRATEGY SOLD $100M OF BITCOIN
    Saylor just sold $104M BTC, and $290M of MSTR. He’s now got $4 Billion in Strategy’s USD Reserve and repurchased $81M of STRC.
    This is the first time he has sold Bitcoin in a month.
    1 more in this thread
    Track Strategy on Arkham:
    https://arkm.com/explorer/entity/microstrategy
    • 51 replies
    • 59 reposts
    • 467 likes
    • 62K views
  9. Arkham Prediction Markets logo
    Arkham
    James Wynn has been liquidated every day for the past 4 days.
    Friday, Saturday, Sunday, and Monday: James Wynn has been liquidated shorting the S&P 500 every single day for the past 4 days.
    He’s now down to his last $6.5K. He ran it up to $100M in the past. Can he do it again?
    1 more in this thread
    Track James Wynn on Arkham:
    https://arkm.com/explorer/entity/jameswynnreal
    • 44 replies
    • 15 reposts
    • 215 likes
    • 55.1K views
  10. Arkham Prediction Markets logo
    Arkham
    BITWISE BOUGHT ALMOST $1 BILLION OF SOLANA
    Bitwise’s ETF clients have purchased a total of $891.9M of Solana so far as part of Bitwise’s BSOL ETF. Bitwise BSOL is the largest SOL ETF, receiving almost 80% of total SOL ETF flows.
    Will Bitwise keep buying SOL?
    1 more in this thread
    Track Bitwise on Arkham:
    https://arkm.com/explorer/entity/bitwise
    • 25 replies
    • 32 reposts
    • 229 likes
    • 53.2K views
  11. Arkham Prediction Markets logo
    Arkham
    James Wynn just got liquidated again.
    1 more in this thread
    Track James Wynn on Arkham:
    https://arkm.com/explorer/entity/jameswynnreal
    • 32 replies
    • 17 reposts
    • 212 likes
    • 64.3K views

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Ready to try Arkham Prediction Markets?

Open the official site and get started in a few clicks.

Launch Arkham Prediction Markets