Arkham Prediction Markets
Arkham's Intel platform maps onchain prediction market trades to real-world identities, showing who holds what positions and how they perform.
Arkham Intel Prediction Markets Analytics for Polymarket Traders
What is Arkham Prediction Markets?
Arkham Intel now brings prediction markets analytics to its onchain intelligence platform, letting traders track top performers, live positions, and wallet-linked activity across Polymarket and similar venues.
Ready to try Arkham Prediction Markets?
Open the official site and get started in a few clicks.
Arkham Prediction Markets Overview
Arkham's prediction markets hub lives inside the Intel platform at intel.arkm.com/predictions and gives traders a clear view of who is buying and selling shares on Polymarket and similar venues. It pulls from a database of over 3.5 billion address labels and 800,000 verified entities to connect onchain trades to real-world accounts, so you can see which wallets belong to known participants and how they are performing.
The tool is built for anyone who takes prediction market trading seriously. Professional bettors can sort a live feed of top accounts by lifetime profit and loss, then drill into any profile to see every open and closed position, entry and exit prices, win rates, and return on investment figures. Researchers and institutional observers get actual capital flow data rather than polls or sentiment surveys. Developers can pull the same data through the Arkham API to build automated alerts or custom dashboards around whale activity.
At the core is a real-time trade tape that scrolls every buy and sell across tracked markets. You can filter by category such as politics, sports, or crypto, or sort by who currently holds yes or no shares on a given event. Clicking any labeled address overlays that trader's full entry and exit history directly onto the market's price chart, so you see the timing of their moves in context with price action. From the same view, you can follow links into their broader wallet history and portfolio flows without switching platforms.
What separates this from a generic blockchain explorer is the entity labeling layer. Most onchain tools show raw addresses. Arkham attributes those addresses to specific people or organizations, which means the prediction market analytics here come with identity context attached. You are not just watching anonymous capital move. You are watching known participants take positions, and you can track their full history across markets and time.
Access is open to all Arkham users, and the alert system connects to the existing Intel workflow, so you can set notifications for specific traders or markets and review everything in one place.
Arkham Prediction Markets Key features
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Top Traders Leaderboard
A ranked feed of the highest-performing prediction market accounts, sorted by lifetime profit and loss. Each profile shows total returns, win rate, and a full history of open and closed positions.
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Per-Trader Position History
For any selected account, the platform lists every individual trade with entry price, exit price, and profit or loss. Charts map performance over time and break down win rates by market category.
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Live Trade Tape
A real-time scrolling feed of every buy and sell across tracked prediction markets. Users filter by category such as politics, sports, or crypto, and sort by current position holders or active profit and loss.
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Chart Entry and Exit Overlays
Clicking a labeled wallet overlays that trader's full entry and exit history onto the prediction market's price chart. The view connects to Arkham's broader labeling system to surface related onchain activity.
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Alerts and Wallet Tracking
Users set notifications for transactions from specific traders or markets. The alerts tie into Arkham's existing Intel tools, so a single workflow covers a participant's wallet history, portfolio flows, and any verified entity tags.
Arkham Prediction Markets Demo video
Arkham Prediction Markets Screenshots
Arkham Prediction Markets User Reviews
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Honestly, this is one of the best things Arkham has released in recent months. Having all the data integrated into a single interface has always been Arkham's strength. Keep up the good work!
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prediction markets + onchain intel is a crazy combo congrats! ... This kind of integration finally gives serious traders the visibility they need to track smart money moves across events without jumping between platforms. The combo of PNL leaderboards and full wallet history is exactly what the space has been missing.
View on X ↗ -
Arkham just added the who. We track the what and the when. The full picture is finally coming together. ... Being able to overlay top traders' entries and exits directly on price action while seeing their broader verified activity elevates the entire analytics game for anyone serious about sports, politics, or crypto event betting.
View on X ↗
Is Arkham Prediction Markets safe & legit?
Arkham Prediction Markets is a feature built by Arkham Intelligence, a legitimate blockchain analytics company founded by Miguel Morel and backed by investors including Tim Draper. The platform has a public track record, a working product history, and no known security breaches or exit scam indicators. It operates as a read-only analytics dashboard, so no user funds are held or traded through it, and early community feedback from prediction market analysts has been positive.
X account intel @arkham
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Based in United States
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Joined X May 2019 7 years ago
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Username changes 2 renames last on Nov 27, 2024
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Signup source Web
Public profile signals from X. Use as one input alongside other due-diligence.
Security scan checked Nov 5, 2026
- Google Web Risk Not flagged
- MetaMask Not flagged
- Phantom Not flagged
- ScamSniffer Not flagged
- EtherAddressLookup Not flagged
- Keplr Wallet Not flagged
Domain arkm.com checked against Google's lists of unsafe sites and public crypto wallet blacklists.
This is an automated check, not a security audit. The summary is drafted from the project's own pages and public posts, and the domain is looked up on public blocklists. Nothing here is financial advice: only put in money you can afford to lose. How we review listings
Arkham Prediction Markets Updates
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The Mercado Bitcoin Hacker has now moved 31 different alts to 0x848, and sold them all for $316K in ETH.
He is continuing to move and sell altcoins at this address.
Address: 0x84827Db93E1065Ff7CF192b4cb57ceC364d4317e
1 more in this thread
Track the Mercado Bitcoin Hacker on Arkham:
https://arkm.com/explorer/entity/mercado-bitcoin-hacker- 29 replies
- 10 reposts
- 111 likes
- 37.3K views
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The Mercado Bitcoin Hacker just moved $1.1M VIRTUALS to a new address and is selling it off in $20K clips.
He still holds $1M VIRTUALS.
Address: 0xbaa512541a232068E694a4cBA7c03f8989a8E896
1 more in this thread
Track the Mercado Bitcoin Hacker on Arkham:
https://arkm.com/explorer/entity/mercado-bitcoin-hacker- 17 replies
- 5 reposts
- 102 likes
- 37K views
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The Mercado Bitcoin Hacker is selling off the stolen funds.
He has currently moved $11.45M of alts out to different addresses to be sold.
The hacker appears to be collecting ETH at this address: 0x469189223f286b51198163b4Eb5a1e532669523d
1 more in this thread
Track the Mercado Bitcoin Hacker on Arkham:
https://arkm.com/explorer/entity/mercado-bitcoin-hacker- 19 replies
- 19 reposts
- 123 likes
- 43K views
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Strategy Is Up $919M on Its Bitcoin Stack
Strategy's $65B of BTC was purchased at an average of $75,451. They are currently up $919.84M.
Last week Strategy added 811 BTC for $65.5M (funded using MSTR sales), and repurchased $208.2M of STRC. Strategy still holds $4.92B of USD.
1 more in this thread
Track Strategy on Arkham:
https://arkm.com/explorer/entity/microstrategy- 44 replies
- 25 reposts
- 247 likes
- 48.4K views
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The Mercado Bitcoin hacker just moved $8M of ETH to new wallets.
Will he deposit this ETH into Tornado Cash?
The hacker holds $46M of crypto. Set alerts for his new transfers on Arkham:
1 more in this thread
Track the Mercado Bitcoin Hacker on Arkham:
https://arkm.com/explorer/entity/mercado-bitcoin-hacker- 30 replies
- 11 reposts
- 227 likes
- 49.7K views
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The Mercado Bitcoin Hacker is still sweeping thousands old deposit addresses.
Not leaving a dollar behind.
- 8 replies
- 10 reposts
- 90 likes
- 22.7K views
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The Mercado Bitcoin Hacker holds $46M of crypto.
This includes $8.37M ETH, $8.24M BTC, and $1.76M PEPE.
Track him using this custom entity on Arkham:
1 more in this thread
Track the Mercado Bitcoin Hacker on Arkham:
https://arkm.com/explorer/entity/e0cd1708-9530-4522-9a85-cf46c53a50e4- 33 replies
- 28 reposts
- 313 likes
- 65.7K views
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Tracking the Mercado Bitcoin hacker here, $46M stolen and growing.
Lots of old deposit addresses are being swept by the hacker currently, while they sell off memecoins and altcoins.
https://arkm.com/explorer/entity/mercado-bitcoin-hacker
- 5 replies
- 5 reposts
- 65 likes
- 13.2K views
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Track the Binance Hacker on Arkham:
https://arkm.com/explorer/entity/binance-hacker-2- 1 replies
- 4 reposts
- 46 likes
- 16.8K views
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We're hosting drinks with @GSR_io at Solana Breakpoint in London on November 16th. Secured the best venue near the conference.
Request to join here: https://luma.com/gsrcrypto-jmyt- 16 replies
- 5 reposts
- 59 likes
- 37.7K views
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So @binance got hacked causing $6B worth of assets to move out of their Hot Wallets (hacked amount ended up being around 3-4B due to frozen funds).
This is their balance history for all time. I circled the hack so you can see it on their all time balance history... doesn't look so bad when you zoom out.
- 12 replies
- 8 reposts
- 76 likes
- 11.4K views
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Both LCX Liberty DEX routers are now labeled on @arkham
Swaps through our routers show up on Arkham as Liberty DEX Router under LCX Liberty Labs Inc, so anyone tracing a trade sees exactly where it went.
Router addresses and a free API key http://dex.lcx.com/docs/introduction
LCX Liberty. American DeFi.
- 4 replies
- 7 reposts
- 62 likes
- 8.8K views
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North Korean hackers steal $6.3B from Binance in 'largest bank heist in human history' https://trib.al/EnDos9b
- 145 replies
- 406 reposts
- 1.8K likes
- 162.4K views
Arkham Prediction Markets Reviews & Comments
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Open the official site and get started in a few clicks.
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