Merlin trade Polymarket Copy Trading Bot and Leaderboard

Merlin Trade Overview

Merlin Trade Key features

• Trader Leaderboard

  A ranked list of Polymarket wallets sorted by profit and loss, win rate, and a proprietary Merlin score. Filters by category and time period let you find specialists, such as traders who focus only on NBA markets or long-term tournament outcomes.

• Telegram Copy Bot

  A Telegram bot that watches your chosen trader's on-chain activity and mirrors their positions into your own wallet automatically. You set allocation size, maximum exposure per position, and optional market filters before it goes live.

• Trader Profile Pages

  Each leaderboard wallet has a full breakdown covering trade history, open positions, and performance charts. This lets you see whether a trader wins through high volume on short-term markets or concentrated bets on single long-duration events.

• Portfolio Dashboard

  An aggregated view of every copy trade running in parallel, with real-time equity tracking and combined profit and loss split by source trader. Users running multiple copied profiles can see how their selections interact without manual tracking.

• AI Market Summaries

  Built-in analysis tools use AI to explain the context behind highlighted trades, such as structural mispricings in preseason competitions or mean reversion setups after sharp odds moves. This gives you a reason behind a position, not just the position itself.

Merlin Trade Videos

Merlin Trade Screenshots

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Merlin Trade User Reviews

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  @Marko_Poly Apr 28, 2026

  Trump/Iran Polymarket feels like a casino until you see who keeps leaving with money. [...] This Merlin profile is sitting at +$617k across 277 positions. [...] I want to copy the people who stay calm when the market gets stupid.

  View on X ↗
• 

  @recogard Apr 27, 2026

  This weather trader made over 2,100 predictions with an 89% win rate on Polymarket... He started with only $77 and quietly turned it into $41,000. I personally copy trade him via [Merlin link]. [...] instead I just copy his trades via @merlin_future and collect each day.

  View on X ↗
• 

  @0xbobaaa Apr 26, 2026

  This trader showed up on polymarket in march and already pulled $4.4M. 3026 predictions and zero politics, crypto, weather sports only. put him on copytrade through @merlin_future, catching his entries automatically.

  View on X ↗

Merlin Trade Updates

1. 

   Merlin Nov 2, 2026 · 10:12
   $846K to win $54K. A wallet bought a blue House at 94c, then started selling ☎️
   Account rdba paid 94c for 900,000 Democratic shares on Oct 30. The max payout is $900K, so the best case is a 6.4% profit. The cash largely came from a $679,650 payout on a bet against Flávio Bolsonaro in Brazil, redeemed five days earlier. By Sunday the wallet had switched sides of the board and sold about 158,500 shares near 95c. Lifetime P&L: $435K on $47.2M traded, under 1% a turn. Pros do not wait for the last nickel.
   The other side showed up the same week. Someone put $32,253 on Republicans at 7c, a 13x ticket worth about $428K if it lands.
   Worth knowing who sets the 95: an August study found the top 1% of Polymarket wallets drive 68% of volume on 2026 congressional markets, and 80% of those markets have fewer than 100 wallets. Polymarket itself says it has looked at “dozens” of midterm bets for insider trading or manipulation, with at least two referred to the CFTC.
   The fundamentals are lopsided. Cook rates 220 seats at least lean Democratic, the ceiling is 240, the generic ballot is D+10 to D+11 and Trump sat at 31% in AP NORC. Maps hand Republicans about 4 net seats. 2022 is the counterweight: Biden at 43% and 8.2% inflation gave Republicans +9, not the usual 28.
   The odd part is how much the board already prices. Republicans holding 190 or more seats trades at 58%, which puts Democrats in the low 240s, right at Cook’s ceiling. Kalshi has D+8 to 10 popular vote at 30c and D+10 to 12 at 25c. Control at 95% is really a bet on a blowout.
   Sell the nickel like the 94c wallet or hold the 6c ticket at 16.7x? Pick your side.

   
   • 1 replies
   • 1 reposts
   • 2 likes
   • 56 views
2. 

   Merlin Oct 28, 2026 · 10:38
   Paxton sits at 34% to win Texas, so Trump flew to Lubbock to talk about methane 🛢️
   WTI is $101, Brent $115, and the rally pitch was cheaper drilling. Voters paying for the Iran war at the pump got a promise of 210M barrels, about 10 days of US demand spread over years. Trump says $45B saved, EPA chief Zeldin’s own number is $18B.
   The real winners are small operators. Small wells make 6% of US oil and up to half of the field methane, and Texas has thousands of them. The rule works as a turnout play more than a supply play.
   Fox poll, Oct 15 to 19: Talarico 49, Paxton 49. On this board oil under $80 sits at 1.1% for R and under 1% for D, so the market is a pure Senate bet: D 65.1%, R 32.0%.
   Texas flips and drags the Senate with it, or Lubbock saves Paxton? Pick a side.

   
   • 47 views
3. 

   Merlin Oct 21, 2026 · 11:56
   3% for a GTA VI delay. Cyberpunk got pushed 23 days before launch after going gold. Is 97c No free money?
   GTA VI launches November 19 and Polymarket gives a second delay a 3% chance. The viral $1B day one productivity hit is one economist’s projection, so the real trade is the contract, not the sick days.
   The 97c No is a short bond with one catalyst. Take Two reports on November 9, ten days before launch, the last scheduled moment management can speak. The previous delay landed with an earnings release in November 2025. Cyberpunk 2077 slipped from November 19 to December 10 in 2020, announced October 27, after the game was already gold. A finished build and open preorders do not lock a date.
   The case for No is just as concrete. Take Two reaffirmed November 19 on two straight calls and in a July filing, and a slip now means refunds plus a reset of the $8.0B to $8.2B fiscal year forecast. The case against is the tape: 3c on $875K volume is thin, so one loud leak can move it, and break even is a 3% delay chance for a studio that already moved the date twice.
   97c on the date holding, or 3c on one more slip. Which side gets paid on November 9?

   
   • 1 replies
   • 1 likes
   • 396 views
4. 

   Merlin Oct 16, 2026 · 13:25
   The flying Roadster ships in 2028. Polymarket prices the Tesla and SpaceX merger to land first, at 63%.
   Tesla flew its new Roadster off a SpaceX pad in Waco last night: flips, thrusters, a jump over a semi. Production starts in 2028, eight years after the 2020 date Tesla promised.
   The venue is the tell. Tesla is worth about $1.47T, SpaceX about $1.21T. In July Musk said companies cannot talk about combining. In September he said “who can imagine what action one might take.”
   Polymarket odds on a merger announcement: 25% by Dec 31 2026, 50% by Jun 30 2027, 63% by Dec 31 2027. Today the deal has zero filings and zero terms.
   Flying car for 2028, merger for 2027. Which one shows up first?

   

   1 more in this thread

   Find the traders sizing up the 2027 deal on Merlin and follow their next position 👇
   https://t.me/merlin0_bot?start=ref_bio
   • 1 replies
   • 2 likes
   • 104 views
5. 

   Merlin Oct 14, 2026 · 10:58
   Is $POLY about to lose to an IPO? 🚨
   Bloomberg reports Polymarket is weighing a traditional equity route against a token launch. The company's own line is that it "has not announced any plans for an airdrop or a token generation event."
   The equity case is getting stronger every month. Taker fees went live on March 30 for 10 of 11 categories, and geopolitics is the only fee free one. Perps launched in September with 67 markets and up to 20x leverage. ICE committed about $2.6B in total and holds roughly 22%, per Blockhead.
   Token appetite is cooling at the same time. Per CoinGecko cited by Bloomberg, fewer than 10% of tokens on major exchanges rose between Jan 2025 and Feb 2026. Across is already winding down its token in exchange for equity.
   Fees, perps and a NYSE parent on the cap table read like an IPO story. A token needs a reason to exist next to all that revenue. Token or IPO, which one is Polymarket picking? 👇

   1 more in this thread

   Whatever Polymarket picks, Merlin lets you farm ahead of the drop 👇https://t.me/merlin0_bot?start=ref_bio
   • 1 replies
   • 184 views
6. 

   Merlin Oct 12, 2026 · 12:37
   3 events on Polymarket this week where one print can flip a whole book 🚨
   1. US CPI, Wednesday. Kalshi prices 0.5% or higher monthly at 60% and annual above 3.6% at 42%, after 3.4% in August. Continuum Economics calls 0.6%, about 3.7% annual.
   2. Democratic Senate odds, Friday. Polymarket 63.5%, Kalshi 61.3%. Same market, 2 points apart. House sits near 90% on both.
   3. Bank earnings Tuesday, PPI Thursday, BC and Yokohama elections on the weekend.
   Nobody watches all of them. Pick a whale who already trades these markets, mirror their wallet through Merlin, and their entries become yours 👇

   1 more in this thread

   https://t.me/merlin0_bot?start=ref_bio
   • 1 replies
   • 91 views
7. 

   Merlin Oct 7, 2026 · 11:19
   Coplan just spoke at Token2049. ICE, on-chain equity, and no POLY date in the reports so far 🚨
   Update on this post: Polymarket's CEO said ICE, the owner of the NYSE, is one of Polymarket's largest shareholders and is thinking hard about on-chain equity with regulators. ICE announced its investment of up to $2B exactly one year ago today.
   He also said Polymarket is exploring an on-chain asset tied to its economy, "what stocks should have been", and added it is not investment advice.
   Still missing: a POLY announcement and TGE date. The CMO said "There will be a token, there will be an airdrop" a year ago, and Polymarket's docs page still says no airdrop or token plans have been announced.
   Rules are still unwritten, so farm early with Merlin 👇
   • 59 views
8. 

   Merlin Oct 5, 2026 · 09:52
   Is the $POLY date about to drop? 🚨
   Polymarket out-earned Hyperliquid 3.75x last weekend ($9.9M vs $2.64M), and Coplan has "something to say" at Token2049. The one thing Hyperliquid has and Polymarket still does not: a token.
   In October 2025 the CMO said on record: "There will be a token, there will be an airdrop." The US app came first and it is live now. Parent company Blockratize also reportedly filed POLY and $POLY trademarks.
   Now the rumors. Airdrop sized at 5 to 10% of supply, weighted by trading volume. Pre-access pPOLY on Binance Wallet trades near a $17B implied valuation. It is not POLY and not official.
   Token2049 starts in 2 days. Date and rules can drop any time, so farm early with Merlin 👇

   

   1 more in this thread

   https://t.me/merlin0_bot?start=ref_bio
   • 1 replies
   • 220 views
9. 

   Merlin Oct 1, 2026 · 12:29
   This wallet made $84K on sports in a year 🪃
   Parkan312 joined in October 2025 and now sits at +$84.1K on $1.7M volume across 2,013 predictions. His biggest win turned $8K into $17K on a UFC fight, bought at 45¢.
   He spreads bets thin: Dota 2, LoL, tennis, soccer, college football, around 24 trades a day at roughly $85 per position. Right now he holds Lebanon on the Maldives spread, bought at 64¢ and trading at 83¢.
   Win rate is 79.9% across his last 134 closed positions.

   

   1 more in this thread

   Mirror Parkan312's next bet the second he places it 👇https://merlin.trade/s/kruto2027-pc45k
   • 1 replies
   • 144 views
10. 

    Merlin Sep 28, 2026 · 10:41
    This wallet holds NO on 16 of its 20 biggest positions and sits at +$148.6K. What does it know?
    Top position: NO on Bab el-Mandeb Strait closed by Sept 30, bought at 86.8¢, now 99.5¢, +$2,043. Same play on crude oil hitting a new all-time high by Sept 30: NO from 83.8¢ to 99.9¢, up 19%.
    17 of the 20 biggest positions are green. The worst is a YES on the Iran blockade ending by Oct 31, down 41%. The YES that paid: S&P 500 as 2026's best performer, bought at 15.6¢, now 57.5¢, up 269%.
    Biggest single win is $19.2K, about 13% of total profit, spread across 532 predictions.

    

    1 more in this thread

    You can mirror this exact wallet on Merlin 👇
    https://merlin.trade/s/groth-pc79k
    • 1 replies
    • 1 likes
    • 77 views
11. 

    Merlin Sep 25, 2026 · 10:25
    Polymarket's own Senate odds for Democrats jumped from 54% to 63% in about a week. Nate Silver's model, built on actual polling, still has them at 58.6%.
    Silver's probability moved from 50.6% to 58.6% between September 6 and 14, the fastest swing his model has logged this cycle. Kalshi's Senate market sits at 53%, ten points behind where Polymarket is pricing it right now.
    One driver barely makes headlines: a pipeline attack in Saudi Arabia tied to the Iran war kept gas prices elevated right when Republicans needed relief before November, the same week Trump was telling voters prices were "coming down."
    Democrats still need four seats to flip the chamber. This week alone Iowa moved from lean Republican to toss up, Michigan from toss up to lean Democrat. The odds moved faster than the map did.

    

    1 more in this thread

    Check on Merlin who made the move 👇https://t.me/merlin0_bot?start=ref_bio
    • 1 replies
    • 109 views
12. 

    Merlin Sep 23, 2026 · 11:02
    Musk just told AI's most prominent skeptic that AGI arrives by 2027, maybe 2028 "at the latest." His own company's model has a 2.7% chance of even being the best one running by then.
    Chollet built ARC-AGI, the benchmark still unbeaten five years later specifically because it resists brute-force LLM scaling. As of March, his own timeline for AGI was "early 2030s," and his career case has been that current LLMs, the exact approach Musk is betting on, are pattern matching, not real reasoning.
    This Polymarket question isn't even about AGI, just which company has the best model by year end. Anthropic sits at 73%, up 14 points. OpenAI is at 13%, Google 10%. xAI, Musk's own lab, is last at 2.7%.

    

    1 more in this thread

    $1.4 million already says someone's reading this correctly. Check Merlin to see who 👇
    https://t.me/merlin0_bot?start=ref_bio
    • 1 replies
    • 95 views

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