Merlin trade Polymarket Copy Trading Bot and Leaderboard

Merlin Trade Overview

Merlin Trade Key features

• Trader Leaderboard

  A ranked list of Polymarket wallets sorted by profit and loss, win rate, and a proprietary Merlin score. Filters by category and time period let you find specialists, such as traders who focus only on NBA markets or long-term tournament outcomes.

• Telegram Copy Bot

  A Telegram bot that watches your chosen trader's on-chain activity and mirrors their positions into your own wallet automatically. You set allocation size, maximum exposure per position, and optional market filters before it goes live.

• Trader Profile Pages

  Each leaderboard wallet has a full breakdown covering trade history, open positions, and performance charts. This lets you see whether a trader wins through high volume on short-term markets or concentrated bets on single long-duration events.

• Portfolio Dashboard

  An aggregated view of every copy trade running in parallel, with real-time equity tracking and combined profit and loss split by source trader. Users running multiple copied profiles can see how their selections interact without manual tracking.

• AI Market Summaries

  Built-in analysis tools use AI to explain the context behind highlighted trades, such as structural mispricings in preseason competitions or mean reversion setups after sharp odds moves. This gives you a reason behind a position, not just the position itself.

Merlin Trade Videos

Merlin Trade Screenshots

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Merlin Trade User Reviews

• 

  @Marko_Poly Apr 28, 2026

  Trump/Iran Polymarket feels like a casino until you see who keeps leaving with money. [...] This Merlin profile is sitting at +$617k across 277 positions. [...] I want to copy the people who stay calm when the market gets stupid.

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• 

  @recogard Apr 27, 2026

  This weather trader made over 2,100 predictions with an 89% win rate on Polymarket… He started with only $77 and quietly turned it into $41,000. I personally copy trade him via [Merlin link]. [...] instead I just copy his trades via @merlin_future and collect each day.

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• 

  @0xbobaaa Apr 26, 2026

  This trader showed up on polymarket in march and already pulled $4.4M. 3026 predictions and zero politics, crypto, weather sports only. put him on copytrade through @merlin_future, catching his entries automatically.

  View on X ↗

Merlin Trade Updates

1. 

   Merlin Aug 2, 2026 · 15:04
   Leaderboard Number 1 Today Went To A Grinder, Not A Gambler 🏆
   Talvez10 closed the first day of August with +$188,474. All-time profit now sits at $1,536,962 across 1,196 predictions
   No jackpot bet. Just size on repeat
   🥊 Navajo Stirling in at 74.9c, $72,275 position, +$18,136
   ⚾️ Braves vs White Sox Over in at 51c, $62,999 position, +$11,999
   Biggest single win on record: $295,000. Account opened Feb 2026, live positions worth $164.8K
   Would you rather copy a moonshot hunter or a grinder who never leaves the table?
   • 28 views
2. 

   Merlin Aug 1, 2026 · 14:57
   🐋 Cheap predictions on geopolitics paid better than anything else this month.
   LlamaLoco00 bought Yes at 17.3c on China x Philippines military action and walked out with $709,628, a gain of $586,582 (476%).
   That was not the only one:
   Russia x Ukraine ceasefire, Yes in at 33.8c, +$202,220 (196%)
   Iran airspace closed by July 15, Yes in at 19.5c, +$71,168 (356%)
   Iran ceasefire continuing, No in at 9.1c, +$68,563 (857%)
   Khamenei out as Supreme Leader, Yes in at 29.7c, +$64,631 (105%)
   Israel x Iran ceasefire broken, Yes in at 24.3c, +$55,622 (290%)
   📊 418 predictions since 2022, $353,585 all time PnL, $615.9K sitting in open positions right now.
   The setup repeats: buy the outcome the book treats as almost impossible, wait for the headline to catch up.
   Would you have held Yes at 17c on a China clash?
   • 1 likes
   • 45 views
3. 

   Merlin Jul 31, 2026 · 14:58
   Betting against every crypto dip and getting paid for it
   JnStTrdrBnusFnd is running one of the cleanest crypto books on Polymarket right now📈
   $3.2M in open positions, almost entirely "No" bets that Bitcoin and Ethereum crash to lower targets
   Currently sitting on $198,697.44 all-time PnL across 88 predictions, with a single position banking $25,300 profit
   Every live position is green, from BTC holding above $45K to ETH holding above $800
   Think the dips aren't coming either? 🤔
   • 1 likes
   • 49 views
4. 

   Merlin Jul 30, 2026 · 15:06
   🏆 Top spot on the all time PnL board now belongs to a trader whose bio is a Douglas Adams joke
   swisstony joined Polymarket in July 2025. All time PnL: $22,328,176
   Biggest single win: $1.2M
   His book right now is almost entirely football, and mostly not on who wins
   Under 44.1c on Górnik Zabrze vs Fenerbahçe totals, up $13,336 Under 73.4c on Barracas Central vs Aldosivi totals, up $4,136
   No 63.3c on Fenerbahçe to win, up $5,255
   📊 $503.2K sitting in live positions, spread across leagues most books barely price properly. Champions League qualifiers, Argentine Primera, first half lines. Markets where nobody is watching closely
   Notice what is missing. No long dated politics, no macro bets, no election exposure. Football totals, over and over, sized in the tens of thousands
   So which is the harder call, picking a winner or picking a scoreline?
   • 1 likes
   • 34 views
5. 

   Merlin Jul 29, 2026 · 15:23
   The Market Is Betting On No Change. One Trader Is Betting Against Everyone 📊
   wan123 Is Holding A Position On A Fed Rate Hike After The July 2026 Meeting. Entry At 14.6c
   While Most Money Leans "No Change," His Position Is Already Up 38.51% - That's +$69,399 On Top
   Position Size In This Market: $249,619.86. Total Portfolio Value: $851.7K. Biggest Single Win: $1.2M
   421 Predictions Since December 2025. All Time PnL: $1,586,283.50 📈
   The Odds Of A Hike Are Climbing Right Along With His Position. Is The Market Starting To Agree?
   Are You With The Crowd Or With wan123? 👀
   • 1 likes
   • 54 views
6. 

   Merlin Jul 28, 2026 · 15:13
   ⏰ It's been 4 days since the deadline. The market's still just... sitting there
   "US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by...? (2 week pause)" on Polymarket. Traders picked apart the timeline into checkpoints, July 24, July 31, August 14, August 31, each one its own bet on whether the ceasefire actually sticks.
   Today is July 28. The July 24 branch never resolved. It's still live at 52%, Yes trading 51.6c, No 48.5c, with $2,107,102 already stacked into it.
   So what's the holdup?
   UMA's oracle might still be sitting in its verification window before it can settle anything.
   "2 week pause" is a brutal condition to confirm fast, you need the ceasefire to survive 14 straight days, not just get announced.
   Or the situation on the ground genuinely hasn't given anyone a clean yes or no yet.
   Stale resolution, or a market that was worded too loose from the start?
   • 2 likes
   • 66 views
7. 

   Merlin Jul 27, 2026 · 15:02
   Only 2 points separate the top two contenders for 2027
   🏀 NBA: 2027 Champion odds right now:
   Oklahoma City Thunder 22%
   San Antonio Spurs 20%
   Philadelphia 76ers 14.3%
   New York Knicks 9%
   Thunder led most of the summer. Spurs closed the gap hard and now sit right behind them
   76ers and Knicks both spiked in July, jumping from single digits into double digits within weeks
   📈 $12.4M already traded on this market a full year out from the Finals
   Back the favorite or fade the hype?
   • 1 likes
   • 73 views
8. 

   Merlin Jul 26, 2026 · 15:20
   🚨 Crypto's most watched bill just lost a third of its believers
   The Clarity Act would finally settle which US regulator has jurisdiction over exchanges, DeFi platforms and token issuers. Right now the answer depends on which lawyer you ask
   House passed it in July 2025, 294-134, genuine bipartisan support. Senate Banking cleared it 15-9 in May. Then it hit a wall
   The July 4 signing target got missed. No cloture motion filed. Majority Leader Thune hasn't given it floor time. Congress leaves for recess on August 7
   📉 Traders noticed first. Odds on this exact market dropped from 65% to 34% in weeks. $2.67M already wagered. YES sits at 34c, NO at 67c
   Miss this window and the next shot is mid-September, with some analysts warning a delay here could push US crypto regulation years down the road
   ⚡ Does Washington finally give crypto a rulebook, or does the moment slip again
   • 1 likes
   • 170 views
9. 

   Merlin Jul 25, 2026 · 15:20
   Bitcoin just slid out of its July highs, and Polymarket is pricing three different endings
   👀 bitcoin:native trades at $64,036 right now, down 1.67% today
   📊 22% odds it reclaims $67,500 before August 1
   54% odds it settles near $62,500
   15% odds it slides to $60,000
   ⏳ $3.13M already wagered, 6 days left on the clock
   Which line does BTC touch first?
   • 1 likes
   • 37 views
10. 

    Merlin Jul 24, 2026 · 15:47
    Oil doesn't move on headlines. It moves on barrels, and right now the barrels are sending mixed signals
    OPEC+ keeps adjusting output quotas, Middle East supply risk stays on the table, and weekly US inventory draws swing sentiment fast. Add a stronger dollar pressuring demand and the market sits stuck between bullish shocks and bearish fundamentals
    🛢️ Polymarket's WTI July 2026 ladder shows where traders actually stand
    $90: 85% probability
    $95: 69% probability
    $100: drops to 42%
    📊 The real range priced in is $90-95, well short of the headline spikes people expect
    Traders are betting on grinding stability over a supply shock rerun
    👀 $90 floor or $100 ceiling, where does WTI land in July
    • 1 likes
    • 43 views
11. 

    Merlin Jul 23, 2026 · 15:12
    Is the Fed actually about to hike?
    Polymarket's "Fed decision in July" market just crossed $84M in combined volume across every outcome
    No change leads at 77%, backed by $24.6M
    A 25bp hike sits at 22% with $17.5M behind it, the second most active outcome in the whole market
    Even the 50bp+ hike bracket, priced near 1%, has pulled in $16.4M
    📈 May CPI came in at 4.2% YoY, driven largely by an energy price spike tied to Middle East tensions. Fed Governor Waller warned the central bank can't repeat 2021, when it waited too long to act on inflation. The latest dot plot backs him up, with 9 of 19 officials now projecting at least one hike before year end
    Hold or hike, where do you land?
    • 1 likes
    • 61 views
12. 

    Merlin Jul 22, 2026 · 15:12
    🏀 LeBron is stirring up trade drama again
    Polymarket traders are already deciding where he plays next season.
    Miami Heat 36.1%
    Cleveland Cavaliers 35.5%
    Golden State Warriors 14.6%
    Philadelphia 76ers 10.4%
    Less than a point separates the top two, and the chart looks like a heart monitor, sharp swings through July as traders kept flipping positions.
    Volume already crossed $33.5M and the market is still moving.
    Does Miami hold the lead it's carried for months, or does Cleveland's late surge take over?
    Where do you think LeBron ends up?
    • 1 reposts
    • 3 likes
    • 364 views
13. 

    Merlin Jul 21, 2026 · 15:53
    The World Cup is over. The Ballon d'Or race is far from settled
    Golden Ball 2026 odds right now:
    Harry Kane 39.5%
    Lamin Yamal 25.6%
    Rodri 14%
    Kylian Mbappe 8.5%
    ⚡ Kane leads but can't break 40%, no one has pulled away
    🔄 Yamal and Mbappe have swapped places more than once this month
    📊 $14.6M already traded on this market
    Four names in range. One trophy. Zero consensus
    Who's walking away with it?
    • 1 likes
    • 91 views
14. 

    Merlin Jul 20, 2026 · 15:31
    Extra time. A red card. Then one strike changed everything.
    Spain are 2026 World Cup champions.
    Ferran Torres buried the winner in the 106th minute after Argentina's Enzo Fernandez saw red in stoppage time. Final score: 1-0.
    🏆 Second World Cup title for Spain, first since 2010
    ⚽ Unbeaten through the entire tournament, conceding just 1 goal in 7 matches
    🔥 Rodri lifted the trophy in New Jersey as Messi's World Cup run likely comes to a close
    The Polymarket "Spain to win" market just resolved YES. Traders who positioned early are cashing out right now.
    Copy the wallets that called it before kickoff
    • 2 reposts
    • 6 likes
    • 156 views
15. 

    Merlin Jul 19, 2026 · 15:31
    🏆 The World Cup Ends Today. Only One Team Walks Away Immortal
    Spain vs Argentina. July 19, 19:00 UTC. New York New Jersey Stadium
    First ever World Cup Final between these two nations
    ⚽ Messi, 39, against Yamal, 19. Legend against the future
    Argentina fought back to beat England 2-1 in the semifinal. Spain dismantled France 2-0, conceding just 1 goal all tournament
    Argentina chases a 4th title and the 1st back to back champion since Brazil in 1958 and 1962. Spain chases its 2nd
    🔥 $6.03M already in the market. ESP 59.75c vs ARG 40.5c
    In a few hours one lifts the trophy, the other lives with today forever
    Who wins the final?
    • 1 likes
    • 115 views
16. 

    Merlin Jul 18, 2026 · 15:22
    🔥 Both walked in as favorites for gold. Neither made the final. Who leaves with bronze
    France was expected to reach the final and got shut out by Spain. England was one win away and blew a lead to Argentina in the 90th minute
    Today it is not a medal on the line. It is $29M in prize money and a shot at history
    Mbappe is chasing the Golden Boot with 8 goals, tied with Messi. Kane and Bellingham sit 2 goals back
    ⚡ Polymarket: FRA 67c, ENG 34c
    Volume already at $5.26M
    The market is leaning France, but England has not lost once in regulation through this entire knockout run
    Kickoff 21:00 UTC, Miami Stadium
    Who takes bronze?
    • 1 likes
    • 147 views
17. 

    Merlin Jul 17, 2026 · 15:06
    Messi Is Back On Top
    The 2026 Ballon d'Or race just flipped
    Messi 41.9c
    Yamal 26.8c
    Kane 18.1c
    Dembele 4.7c
    Six months ago Yamal and Kane were trading the lead every week
    Now Messi is pulling away with a real margin
    Is this his last big peak or is the market wrong
    • 2 likes
    • 57 views
18. 

    Merlin Jul 16, 2026 · 16:52
    🔥 Only two teams are left in the race to lift the trophy
    Argentina just punched their ticket, and the market moved instantly
    Spain sits at 58 percent, still the clear favorite
    Argentina jumped to 44 percent after taking down England
    The gap is close enough that one bad half could flip this
    $4.26B already sitting in this market
    Does Spain hold the line, or does Argentina have one more run in them?
    • 49 views
19. 

    Merlin Jul 15, 2026 · 15:50
    🔥 The match that could shape the entire group is tonight
    England vs Argentina. 22:00. Volume already past $3.12M
    England walk in as one of the tournament favorites. Kane and Bellingham lead the attack, Tuchel's defense looks like one of the tightest units at this World Cup
    Argentina defend their title. Messi isn't the same player he was four years ago, but this squad's composure in big moments hasn't gone anywhere
    👀 Market has it razor close: ENG 35c - DRAW 33c - ARG 32c
    Basically a coin flip
    From Maradona to Beckham, every meeting between these two has written its own chapter. Tonight adds another
    Experience or depth, who wins it tonight?
    • 92 views
20. 

    Merlin Jul 14, 2026 · 15:24
    ⚡ Group of death rematch, or a statement game?
    France vs Spain. Tomorrow, 10pm ET
    France arrives banged up but stacked. Mbappe, Griezmann, Tchouameni. Even at 80% this front line breaks defenses
    Spain is the form team of the tournament. Pedri and Gavi control tempo like nobody left in the draw. Unbeaten in every competitive match this year
    Whoever wins midfield wins this. If France's press collapses early, Spain passes them into the ground
    📊 Polymarket: FRA 41.25c - DRAW 30.00c - ESP 29.75c
    $10.63M already traded and climbing fast. Sharp money keeps nudging toward France despite Spain's form
    Prediction: France 2-1. Ugly, chaotic, decided late
    🤔 Favorites or form team, who takes this one?
    • 2 reposts
    • 3 likes
    • 220 views

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