Merlin trade Polymarket Copy Trading Bot and Leaderboard

Merlin Trade Overview

Merlin Trade Key features

• Trader Leaderboard

  A ranked list of Polymarket wallets sorted by profit and loss, win rate, and a proprietary Merlin score. Filters by category and time period let you find specialists, such as traders who focus only on NBA markets or long-term tournament outcomes.

• Telegram Copy Bot

  A Telegram bot that watches your chosen trader's on-chain activity and mirrors their positions into your own wallet automatically. You set allocation size, maximum exposure per position, and optional market filters before it goes live.

• Trader Profile Pages

  Each leaderboard wallet has a full breakdown covering trade history, open positions, and performance charts. This lets you see whether a trader wins through high volume on short-term markets or concentrated bets on single long-duration events.

• Portfolio Dashboard

  An aggregated view of every copy trade running in parallel, with real-time equity tracking and combined profit and loss split by source trader. Users running multiple copied profiles can see how their selections interact without manual tracking.

• AI Market Summaries

  Built-in analysis tools use AI to explain the context behind highlighted trades, such as structural mispricings in preseason competitions or mean reversion setups after sharp odds moves. This gives you a reason behind a position, not just the position itself.

Merlin Trade Videos

Merlin Trade Screenshots

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Merlin Trade User Reviews

• 

  @Marko_Poly Apr 28, 2026

  Trump/Iran Polymarket feels like a casino until you see who keeps leaving with money. [...] This Merlin profile is sitting at +$617k across 277 positions. [...] I want to copy the people who stay calm when the market gets stupid.

  View on X ↗
• 

  @recogard Apr 27, 2026

  This weather trader made over 2,100 predictions with an 89% win rate on Polymarket... He started with only $77 and quietly turned it into $41,000. I personally copy trade him via [Merlin link]. [...] instead I just copy his trades via @merlin_future and collect each day.

  View on X ↗
• 

  @0xbobaaa Apr 26, 2026

  This trader showed up on polymarket in march and already pulled $4.4M. 3026 predictions and zero politics, crypto, weather sports only. put him on copytrade through @merlin_future, catching his entries automatically.

  View on X ↗

Merlin Trade Updates

1. 

   Merlin Aug 21, 2026 · 14:50
   Nobody wanted a Bitcoin market at 16.9c in August
   One anon bought 72,362 Yes shares anyway.
   📈 Resolved won, +$49,446, up 403%
   Still open and already green:
   Bitcoin to $80,000, in at 35.9c, +$42,633
   Ethereum to $2,500, in at 16.6c, +348%
   💰 +$342,971 in 1 week. Book sitting at $989.4K
   Edge or luck? Reply with your read, in words.
   Send this to whoever called the top in August
   • 20 views
2. 

   Merlin Aug 20, 2026 · 15:09
   Rockstar confirmed the date 2 weeks ago and the No side still went up
   anoin123 holds 11,883 shares of No on "Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31?"
   In at 59.7c, now trading near 69.5c
   Position $8,258.80, up 16.38%
   The Extended Look premieres on Netflix August 27 at 3 PM ET, YouTube 6 hours later. Everyone knows this. The market knows this. No got more expensive anyway
   🎮 Which means the bet is not about Rockstar showing up
   It is about whether an "Extended Look" resolves as a "trailer"
   The profile behind it
   $2.0M in positions
   $348.6K biggest win
   $108,346 profit in the last 30 days
   735 predictions since December 2025
   Most people read the headline. He read the resolution rules
   http://merlin.trade shows you positions like this while they are still open
   So what happens on September 1, does gameplay footage count as a trailer or not? Reply with yes or no and your reasoning
   Send this to whoever bought Yes the day the Netflix deal was announced
   • 1 likes
   • 329 views
3. 

   Merlin Aug 19, 2026 · 15:06
   Every doom call on Ethereum this year has had the same counterparty on the other side.
   One wallet on Polymarket does nothing but sell fear. $289,143 in total profit, $3.3M in open positions, not a single red card on the board.
   📉 No on ETH to $1,800, in at 72.1c, +$65,548
   💸 No on ETH to $1,000 by December, in at 77.9c, +$68,493
   643,300 shares on that one line. Nobody sizes like that on a hunch.
   Which December dip level would you actually buy Yes on, drop the number
   Send this to whoever keeps buying the crash
   • 46 views
4. 

   Merlin Aug 18, 2026 · 15:50
   Betting on nothing happening turned out to be the most profitable idea on Polymarket this month
   📈 One account is up $183,772.67 in 30 days on a book built almost entirely around the Fed sitting still
   The core leg: 389,715 shares of no change in Fed rates, in at 50.7c
   Now worth $274,749, up $77,302
   Around it:
   Pause Pause Pause Yes in at 61.2c, up $7,150
   A second Pause leg in at 29.4c, up 100.71%
   No on a 25 bp hike in at 70c
   No on a hike by the September 2026 meeting in at 66c
   Every position green. Biggest single win to date $96.3K, total book $358.4K across 32 predictions since Feb 2025
   Everyone spent the month arguing about cuts. Somebody just sized up on the boring outcome and let the calendar do the work
   What is your number for the September meeting, hold, cut or hike? Reply with it
   Send this to whoever in your group chat keeps calling a hike
   • 2 likes
   • 39 views
5. 

   Merlin Aug 17, 2026 · 15:04
   Nobody wants to admit the softest money on Polymarket is in esports
   🎯 $531,299 profit in one month, almost all of it Counter-Strike
   One entry says everything:
   143,718 shares on B8 in at 41c, +$84,666
   That is not a fan bet. That is map veto and roster form priced before the book woke up
   🔥 Biggest single win on the account: $571.9K
   Copy trading esports whales runs on merlin
   Which esports market is mispriced right now, name the team and the price in a reply
   Send this to whoever still calls CS markets a coin flip
   • 47 views
6. 

   Merlin Aug 16, 2026 · 14:26
   🏆 The World Cup ended in July and the sharpest sports book on Polymarket just closed the month at 4,077,568 dollars in profit
   swisstony skipped the tournament noise and went hunting in leagues nobody screenshots
   No on Trabzonspor, in at 64.8c, +6,479
   Under 2.5 in Kasımpaşa vs Trabzonspor, in at 59.1c, +4,327
   No on Sevilla, in at 66.3c, 34,358 shares, +4,196
   Under in Sheffield United vs Birmingham, in at 36.9c, +3,509 on a 170.94% move
   Süper Lig, LaLiga, Liga Portugal, EFL Championship. Nine of his ten biggest positions are Under or No. He sells other people's optimism back to them at a markup, 183,198 predictions deep.
   📊 1.1M dollars sitting in live positions right now
   Which league do you think is the softest to fade in August, and what makes you say that?
   • 72 views
7. 

   Merlin Aug 15, 2026 · 14:38
   Six contracts at 17 cents. One local UK by-election nobody had open
   Payout: $60,357.70
   🔍 The account behind it was created in August 2026. Thirty days old, up $273,513.94
   No leverage, no edge on British politics. Just the only person willing to open a market with 4 figures of volume while everyone else fought over the same 3 crypto tickers
   Those markets are still sitting there. Most people reading this will scroll past the next one too
   What is the last market you passed on that resolved without you? Write the name below
   💬 Send this to whoever swears politics markets are dead money
   Copy the trades on Merlin
   • 40 views
8. 

   Merlin Aug 14, 2026 · 15:02
   🏦 One account turned "the Fed does nothing" into six figures
   gaven-willwin is up $164,599 over the past month on Polymarket
   Closed positions:
   +$91,297 on no change in Fed rates, Yes at 78.7c
   +$31,185 on no US x Iran peace deal, No at 82.4c
   +$5,016 on Mexico to win, Yes at 69.6c
   Open positions keep the same thesis running:
   +$77,302 on rates staying flat, Yes at 50.7c
   +$8,873 on the Fed pause, Yes at 61.2c
   He is not calling moves, he is betting that nothing happens
   Do boring markets really pay better?
   • 1 reposts
   • 1 likes
   • 41 views
9. 

   Merlin Aug 13, 2026 · 17:03
   🎾 Someone turned the Toronto draw into a paycheck
   VeryLucky888 is sitting on $604,614 in all-time PnL on Polymarket
   Recent closed positions:
   +$9,684 on Juncheng Shang, entry at 22.9c
   +$4,880 on Mariano Navone, entry at 39.3c
   He now holds 4 positions on the National Bank Open semifinals: Nakashima, Tien, Swiatek, Rybakina
   Total stake $4,500, payout around $12,200 if every leg lands
   Which of the 4 breaks first?
   Copy traders like this on merlin
   • 1 likes
   • 72 views
10. 

    Merlin Aug 12, 2026 · 14:57
    Someone bought both players in the same tennis match and it was not a mistake
    riverskew holds Rafael Jodar in at 53c and Arthur Fils in at 41c on the exact same National Bank Open match
    🎾 Jodar: 9,144.7 shares, +$502.97
    Fils: 12,030.9 shares, +$60.15
    94c total on a market that pays out $1 whichever name wins
    Most people scrolled straight past this matchup to trade headlines instead
    Same approach on UFC 330 prelims: Myktybek Orolbai in at 85c, 4,000 shares, +$60.00
    📈 $411,500.22 PnL, 1,678 predictions, biggest win $73.2K
    Copy riverskew on merlin before the next slate goes live
    • 2 likes
    • 113 views
11. 

    Merlin Aug 11, 2026 · 15:30
    The World Cup ended weeks ago, and the biggest sports money on Polymarket walked straight into Swedish league football
    ⚽ swisstony is up 5.4M over the last month, sitting on 174,494 predictions and a 1.2M biggest win
    The current book is almost entirely Allsvenskan totals and spreads. Under at 36.2¢ on Sirius vs Brommapojkarna is already +176%, a second under at 49.7¢ is +101%, and a No at 88.9¢ on Brommapojkarna is up 12.4%
    📈 No headline markets, no majors. Small leagues, thin lines, repeated until they pay
    Where are the softest lines right now, Allsvenskan or Liga Portugal?
    • 1 likes
    • 42 views
12. 

    Merlin Aug 10, 2026 · 15:00
    Trader made $2,745 from shares he bought at 8c on Polymarket
    11,753 predictions, $38,117 in all-time profit, and he still refuses to pay more than 20 cents
    gghff trades like an insurance company. Tiny premiums, hundreds of tickets, one payout covers the whole book
    🎯 His strategy is simple:
    - Buys YES only when it sits under 20c
    - Buys NO only when the crowd overpays above 65c
    - Nearly identical size in every position
    - Weather markets almost every single day
    Best closed bets:
    - Israel x Hamas ceasefire, in at 8c -> +$2,745
    - Cape Town heat, in at 12.3c -> +$2,325
    - Kuala Lumpur heat, in at 17.9c -> +$2,230
    - Busan heat, in at 11.7c -> +$2,176
    📈 Still open and green:
    - Cape Town YES, in at 16.3c -> +514%
    - Ankara YES, in at 28c -> +257%
    - Munich NO, in at 66.8c -> +49%
    Cheap entry plus volume beats one perfect call
    • 1 likes
    • 64 views
13. 

    Merlin Aug 9, 2026 · 15:59
    The laziest strategy on Polymarket is quietly outperforming most of CT
    📊 A trader going by 2B9S has placed 35,974 predictions since July 2025 and sits on $138,384 in all time profit
    No edge, no alpha, no thesis. He scrolls for markets where the outcome is already obvious, waits for the crowd to bid up the longshot side like a lottery ticket, then buys the boring side at a discount and holds to resolution. Every share settles at $1
    His book right now:
    Yes on Vance 2028 at 0.8c, up 5,500%
    Yes on Rubio 2028 at 0.8c, up 2,888%
    Position value sitting at $57.4K
    He is not predicting anything. He is just letting everyone else be wrong at scale
    Would you run a strategy this boring if it paid this well?
    • 35 views
14. 

    Merlin Aug 8, 2026 · 14:42
    The market stopped waiting for a cut. It is pricing a hike
    📈 On Polymarket, the odds of a Fed rate hike in 2026 sit at 63%. Yes at 63c, No at 38c, up 34% over the period
    Why traders flipped right now:
    The rate has not moved for five straight meetings, range 3.50 to 3.75%. There have been zero cuts in 2026, and futures have basically wiped that scenario off the board
    Inflation is running above the 2% target for a fifth year. June cooled to 3.5%, but that was the first decline in five months. One print is not a trend
    The June dot plot exposed a split inside the FOMC: nine of eighteen participants penciled in at least one hike before year end
    New Fed Chair Kevin Warsh is leaning on price stability rather than propping up the labor market. With unemployment near 4.2%, the committee has no reason to rush into easing
    On top of that sits the energy shock and expensive oil against the Iran tensions. That is exactly the kind of pressure that pushes central banks to tighten, not loosen
    Next real test: the September 16 meeting
    The crowd already picked a side. Where are you: Yes at 63c or No at 38c?
    • 52 views
15. 

    Merlin Aug 7, 2026 · 15:33
    His biggest single win is just $25.3K
    Yet he cleared $186,770.99 in 30 days 📈
    JnStTrdrBnusFnd joined Polymarket in March 2026 and now runs $3.0M across 91 predictions, currently the top crypto trader of the month
    The whole strategy fits in one line of math
    He never bets on crashes
    He sells them
    NO at 62.6c on "Bitcoin dips to $50,000"
    Payout at resolution = $1.00
    ROI = (1 - 0.626) / 0.626 = 59.7%
    NO at 77.9c on "Ethereum dips to $1,000"
    ROI = (1 - 0.779) / 0.779 = 28.4%
    Every NO price is also a probability
    77.9c means the market pays for a 22.1% chance of ETH collapsing
    He thinks that fear is mispriced, and he collects the spread
    12 open positions, 11 of them NO, every single one green
    ETH $1,000 NO: +$60,607.95
    ETH $800 NO: +$38,830.33
    ETH $1,250 NO: +$20,271.42
    Open gains right now: $182,591.84
    No moonshots, no leverage, just selling panic at retail prices 🧠
    Who is overpaying for fear this month, buyers or sellers?
    • 1 likes
    • 41 views
16. 

    Merlin Aug 6, 2026 · 15:29
    Somebody is paying 92c for an outcome the market thinks is nearly certain, and that tells you everything 🚢
    Polymarket split one question into 4 deadlines: when do the US announce an end to the Iranian blockade
    Aug 15: 67%, volume 848,256 dollars
    Aug 31: 80%, volume 401,709 dollars
    Sep 30: 90%, volume 203,443 dollars
    Oct 31: 92%, volume 81,939 dollars
    Read the ladder, not the headline
    Nobody here is betting on IF. 92% by October means the resolution is already priced as done. The only live argument is WHEN, and that argument is worth 848,256 dollars on the nearest date alone
    The jump from Aug 15 to Aug 31 is 13 points. That gap is the entire trade. Everything after September is flat, 90 to 92, which is just capital parked for 8% and a prayer
    Our call 📌
    Base case: second half of August
    YES at 68c on Aug 15 is expensive. 10 days for an official announcement is thin, and a 68/35 spread on a book that size is screaming at you
    We fade the near deadline and hold the next one. NO on Aug 15 at 35c, YES on Aug 31 at 80c
    If we are wrong, we are wrong by 16 days, not by direction
    The traders who actually cleared 6 figures on setups like this are public. Copy their positions on merlin
    Which deadline are you taking, and why is everyone else wrong?
    • 1 likes
    • 45 views
17. 

    Merlin Aug 5, 2026 · 15:45
    Weather markets look like noise until someone turns them into a printer
    opopv. joined Polymarket in March 2026 and is already at 46,028 USD all time PnL across 16,847 predictions
    The book is almost pure temperature markets:
    🌡 Beijing Yes in at 21.4c, now 605 USD, +360%
    Dallas Yes in at 21.4c, +21.66%
    Denver No in at 69.9c, +16.63%
    Munich No in at 74.8c, +9.65%
    Biggest single win: 4,228 USD
    The edge is not forecasting weather, it is repetition. Same market type, every day, dozens of cities, thousands of small entries where the crowd overpays for extremes
    That is flow you should never be clicking by hand
    Build a bot for weather markets on Merlin
    • 59 views
18. 

    Merlin Aug 4, 2026 · 15:17
    🔍 Nobody buys a contract at 97 cents hoping to get rich
    That is a 3% ceiling before fees. Yet an anonymous Polymarket wallet has stacked eight of those trades side by side, and they all say the same thing
    Yes on Bitcoin above 62k, above 60k, above 58k four separate times. No on the August dips to 50k and 47.5k. Strip the labels off and it is one view expressed eight ways: Bitcoin stays in its range through August
    The margins are too thin to matter individually. 40,222 shares on the 62k leg alone is what makes them matter. Position value $770K
    📊 One leg stands apart. The 62k Yes went in at 89.8c, the only entry under 90, and it is carrying the biggest move at 8.04%. That is where the actual risk lives. The 95c and 97c legs behave more like a yield line than a bet
    All time PnL $553,128 since the account opened in March 2026. Largest single win $146.7K
    Ladder like this, or take one clean position and wait?
    • 1 likes
    • 81 views
19. 

    Merlin Aug 3, 2026 · 15:04
    Polymarket traders have flipped the script on the Fed in just two months.
    Not long ago the odds were close to a coin flip between a hike and no change in September. Now the picture looks different: 📊
    25 bps increase - 56%
    No change - 42%
    50+ bps increase - 1.3%
    25 bps decrease - 1.1%
    The chart tells the story - "no change" used to be the favorite, now a hike is leading. Traders are reading the macro data as a green light for the Fed to act instead of waiting.
    If this trend holds, September could be the first meeting in a while where the market is pricing in tightening instead of a pause.
    Hike or hold - what's your call for September?
    • 1 likes
    • 39 views
20. 

    Merlin Aug 2, 2026 · 15:04
    Leaderboard Number 1 Today Went To A Grinder, Not A Gambler 🏆
    Talvez10 closed the first day of August with +$188,474. All-time profit now sits at $1,536,962 across 1,196 predictions
    No jackpot bet. Just size on repeat
    🥊 Navajo Stirling in at 74.9c, $72,275 position, +$18,136
    ⚾️ Braves vs White Sox Over in at 51c, $62,999 position, +$11,999
    Biggest single win on record: $295,000. Account opened Feb 2026, live positions worth $164.8K
    Would you rather copy a moonshot hunter or a grinder who never leaves the table?
    • 1 likes
    • 54 views

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