Chance

Traders who have a clear market thesis but no time to monitor positions can hand execution to an AI agent that runs around the clock on Polymarket.

Preview of Chance

Chance AI: Autonomous AI Trading Agents For Polymarket

What is Chance?

Chance lets Polymarket traders build AI agents that run autonomous trading strategies around the clock, turning a plain-language thesis into live execution without manual monitoring.

Ready to try Chance?

Open the official site and get started in a few clicks.

Launch Chance

Chance Overview

Chance is an AI trading layer built for prediction markets. It connects to major platforms like Polymarket through a single interface, so users manage everything from one place instead of jumping between sites.

The main feature is Chance AI, which takes a trading idea written in plain language and turns it into a live agent. That agent scans markets around the clock, places trades, and manages positions according to the rules the user sets. No coding required. A user might write something like "bet on heavy favorites in political markets when odds drop below 10%" and the agent runs with that logic independently.

This matters because consistent execution in prediction markets is hard. Prices move fast, news breaks at odd hours, and manual traders miss entries or hold positions too long. The agent handles that without fatigue or hesitation.

Users set their own risk limits, position sizes, entry thresholds, and exit criteria. The agent only acts within those boundaries. One user described it as "a real money printer," and another compared it to vibe coding a trading bot without writing a single line of code.

Chance runs on Polygon for on-chain transactions and uses Privy for wallet authentication. Funds stay in the user's wallet throughout. The recent Chance 2.0 update refreshed the interface and improved agent management tools.

It suits active Polymarket traders who have a clear edge but not the time to monitor markets all day. Crypto-native users comfortable with wallet interactions will find the setup familiar. Beginners with a thesis but no technical background can participate because natural language replaces scripting.

New users join through invite codes. Existing users find their personal code in their profile settings.

Chance Key features

  • Natural Language Strategy Input

    Users describe a trading thesis in plain words and Chance AI converts it into a live agent that scans markets, places trades, and manages positions without any coding required.

  • Autonomous 24/7 Execution

    Agents run continuously, monitoring live events across supported platforms and acting the moment conditions match the user's defined rules.

  • Custom Risk Controls

    Each strategy can include specific position sizing, entry thresholds, exit criteria, and risk limits so the agent behaves exactly as the user intends.

  • Unified Market Access

    Chance aggregates leading prediction market platforms into one interface, removing the need to manage separate accounts or switch between sites to find opportunities.

  • Wallet-Based On-Chain Trading

    Built on Polygon with Privy for authentication, the platform connects directly to user wallets so funds stay under user control and all activity is recorded on-chain.

Chance Videos

Chance Screenshots

Chance User Reviews

  • @layorae
    @layorae Apr 27, 2026

    Experience has been good so far i don't if leaderboard can be added

    View on X ↗
  • @georgeyitb
    @georgeyitb Apr 27, 2026

    good work looks like you built a real money printer

    View on X ↗
  • @_kate_lv
    @_kate_lv Apr 23, 2026

    imagine vibe coding an agent for trading on Polymarket now Chance lets you do that you can now let AI trade prediction markets for you just tell it your thesis in normal words Chance AI app spins up an agent that watches the markets twenty four seven places the trades and follows exactly what you want no need to sit there refreshing all day your edge runs an autopilot

    View on X ↗
Used Chance? Share your experience — your review helps other traders decide. Write a review →

Is Chance safe & legit?

Chance was created by David Brown, who also runs PolyTechTrade, alongside a small team including a core contributor named Mike. The project is early-stage but shows consistent public development activity, uses well-regarded infrastructure like Polygon and Privy, and has no known scam reports or red flags in community discussions. No independent security audit is publicly available yet, and as with any AI trading tool, there are real risks like agent logic bugs, execution slippage, and platform changes, so starting with small amounts and monitoring early runs closely is a sensible approach.

X account intel @Chance_

  • Based in Malta
  • Joined X December 2025 7 months ago
  • Username changes 2 renames last on Jan 13, 2026
  • Signup source Web

Public profile signals from X. Use as one input alongside other due-diligence.

Wallet blacklist scan checked Jul 31, 2026

  • MetaMask Not flagged
  • Phantom Not flagged
  • ScamSniffer Not flagged
  • EtherAddressLookup Not flagged
  • Keplr Wallet Not flagged

Domain chance.cc checked against public crypto wallet blacklists.

Chance Updates

  1. Chance logo
    Chance
    PayBox by @MoonPay now lets ChatGPT and Claude spend from your wallet and cards, with caps and scoped grants.
    Caps tell you how much. They don't tell you whether the agent hallucinated the vendor, paid the wrong address, or bought the wrong thing.
    Chance verifies every action against your actual intent before it executes. Plug it in as a check on top of what you already use, or use Chance escrow, where a failed check moves nothing.
    Works with the PayBox MCP, or with any agent that moves money.
    http://harness.chance.cc
    • 11 replies
    • 5 reposts
    • 38 likes
    • 2.1K views
  2. Chance logo
    Chance
    x402 gave agents the ability to pay for things. Nobody checks if they're paying for the right thing.
    The Chance x402 Verifier checks every payment before your agent signs: is the token real USDC or a fake "$5" label that authorizes thousands?
    Do the signed terms match the quoted ones? Is the payee an established vendor or a fresh zero-balance address?
    Running on @CoinbaseDev's hosted CDP facilitator, the Bazaar discovery API for vendor reputation, and Base for settlement.
    Signed, verifiable verdict on every payment. Fail = your agent doesn't sign.
    http://harness.chance.cc
    • 13 replies
    • 9 reposts
    • 54 likes
    • 6.4K views
  3. Chance logo
    Chance
    Chance is building the trust layer for AI agents that move money.
    By verifying every action before funds move, they’re helping make autonomous payments safer, more reliable, and easier to trust.
    Protected by Privy.
    • 7 replies
    • 3 reposts
    • 34 likes
    • 3.4K views
  4. Chance logo
    Chance
    Built alongside @privy_io and @Alchemy 🐐
    • 1 replies
    • 6 likes
    • 362 views
  5. Chance logo
    Chance
    Your AI agent is one hallucination away from draining your account. We make sure that never happens.
    Introducing Chance - the trust layer for AI agents that move money.
    At its core: an independent AI judge that verifies every action against your actual intent, and blocks hallucinations, prompt injections and off-mandate trades before funds move.
    Propose → verify → execute. Pass = executes, fail = nothing moves. Every verdict lands on-chain as a provable receipt - and every verdict makes both your agents and the judge sharper.
    Battle-tested on our own prediction-market app. Now open to the ecosystem.
    MCP live across @RobinhoodApp, @Polymarket, @HyperliquidX, @Uniswap, @OrderlyNetwork, @Lifiprotocol, @MyriadMarkets, @Trylimitless, @DeriveXYZ, @CoinbaseDev, @Agentcardai and @Dimes_fi.
    Built alongside @Privy and @Alchemy
    Any agent can move money. Only a trusted one should.
    Docs: http://docs.chance.cc
    Building agents that touch money? DMs open.
    • 33 replies
    • 23 reposts
    • 103 likes
    • 14.7K views
  6. Chance logo
    Chance
    We made it into @Starknet PROOF accelerator, Cohort 01 🐐
    Chance is one of the first teams the @StarknetFndn is incubating, we are here to build the verification harness for agents that move real money.
    Verifying the next 1 Trillion dollars agents handle.
    • 28 replies
    • 21 reposts
    • 80 likes
    • 4.6K views
  7. Chance logo
    Chance
    Chance: @Chance_
    Private verification layer for AI agents.
    STRK20 makes agent transactions private. Chance proves each one matched the user's intent without revealing its contents, with receipts anchored on Starknet.
    • 1 replies
    • 3 reposts
    • 16 likes
    • 724 views
  8. Chance logo
    Chance
    It was great to spend some time with latest colosseum winners ✌️
    • 5 replies
    • 3 reposts
    • 25 likes
    • 1.5K views
  9. Chance logo
    Chance
    Did you know every trade on Chance AI passes through a verification layer built to catch hallucinations before they cost you?
    Here's the thing about AI trading: the hardest problem isn't making good predictions. It's making sure the agent actually does what you told it to do.
    LLMs hallucinate. One hallucinated conviction = real money gone.
    So we built a four-step execution model:
    1 → STRATEGY - you describe your thesis in plain English. "Buy YES on heavy favorites." That's it.
    2 → AGENT - the LLM analyzes markets, researches context, and builds an order.
    3 → VERIFY - a separate pass checks that order before it goes anywhere. Does it match your intent? Does it respect risk limits? Is the route correct? Is the reasoning coherent?
    4 → EXECUTE - only then does the order reach the venue, through your isolated non-custodial wallet.
    • 8 replies
    • 4 reposts
    • 29 likes
    • 4.3K views
  10. Chance logo
    Chance
    Introducing Predefined Strategies on Chance AI!
    Don’t want to build your own strategy from scratch? We’ve got you covered.
    Try out ready-made strategies that you can use right away and customize to fit your approach, including:
    ➔ Safe Compounder
    ➔ Nothing Ever Happens
    ➔ Smart Money Follower
    Start testing them now → http://ai.chance.cc
    1 more in this thread
    Use code: AI to get access into the platform!
    • 11 replies
    • 5 reposts
    • 35 likes
    • 3.5K views
  11. Chance logo
    Chance
    The mystery isn't over yet.
    Every trade brings you closer to securing a Mundial Box ⚽️
    • 11 replies
    • 7 reposts
    • 36 likes
    • 2.3K views
  12. Chance logo
    Chance
    The World Cup is on! ⚽️
    Trade Mundial markets and earn your chance to secure a Mundial Box.
    The boxes stay sealed until reveal day.
    Get involved now -> http://app.chance.cc -> use code: WORLDCUP
    • 18 replies
    • 8 reposts
    • 64 likes
    • 17K views
  13. Chance logo
    Chance
    Hot take: most "AI trading agents" are just bots.
    Most aren't really AI. They're rule engines with a language model bolted on for marketing copy.
    Real agent behavior means: the system reads the market, reads the news, forms a view, checks it against your constraints, decides whether to act, and explains its reasoning, in a loop, autonomously.
    That's what we built at @Chance_
    • 11 replies
    • 7 reposts
    • 55 likes
    • 2.6K views
  14. Chance logo
    Chance
    Chance May Monthly Summary!
    ➔ Attended NYC Fintech Week
    ➔ Attended @consensus2026 in Miami
    ➔ Hosted 3 side events alongside the conference
    ➔ Integrated @grok 4.3 into Chance AI
    ➔ Added support for @HyperliquidX HIP-4
    ➔ Upgraded Chance AI Platform
    Another productive month in the books. More coming in June!
    • 9 replies
    • 5 reposts
    • 37 likes
    • 4.1K views
  15. Chance logo
    Chance
    Chance Team is currently in New York for NY Tech Week, and next up: @ethconf!
    Hit us up if you’re around and want to meet!
    • 12 replies
    • 6 reposts
    • 48 likes
    • 3K views
  16. Chance logo
    Chance
    The Chance Team has just wrapped up an amazing conference in Paris - @Proofoftalk! 🇫🇷
    Great conversations, inspiring people, and plenty of valuable connections along the way.
    Who can guess where we're going next?
    • 8 replies
    • 4 reposts
    • 40 likes
    • 1.5K views
  17. Chance logo
    Chance
    Try now at: http://ai.chance.cc with code AI
    • 4 likes
    • 481 views
  18. Chance logo
    Chance
    Prediction Markets Valuations:
    1. @HyperliquidX / (HIP-4) - $65.8B
    2. @Kalshi - $22B
    3. @Polymarket - $20B
    4. @Rain__Protocol - $16B
    5. @OpinionLabsXyz - $132M
    6. @TryLimitless - $103M
    All of this liquidity accessible on @Chance_
    • 13 replies
    • 7 reposts
    • 82 likes
    • 8.8K views

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Recommended reading

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Ready to try Chance?

Open the official site and get started in a few clicks.

Launch Chance