Chance AI Polymarket Trading Agent With Safety Checks

Chance Overview

Chance Key features

• AI Trading Desk

  Create a Desk that holds your AI agents, wallets, apps, chats and scheduled tasks. You can run several Desks on your computer or in the cloud.

• Four Agent Roles

  Each Desk includes a Chief, Scout, Trader and Privacy Agent. You can rename the agents and edit their instructions.

• Your AI Provider

  Connect your own ChatGPT, Claude or Grok account to run a Desk. Your provider plan controls AI usage and billing.

• Trading Guardrails

  Set per-trade limits, daily caps, asset rules and recipient rules. Manual mode asks for approval before a transaction, while Autonomous mode lets agents trade within those limits.

• Chance Checks

  A second AI model reviews each proposed action against your instructions. It can return ALLOW, BLOCK or ESCALATE before funds move.

• On-Chain Receipts

  The Verification harness checks an action before settlement. Each verdict creates a judge-signed, hash-chained receipt that users can recompute on chain.

• Polymarket Workspace

  Trade Polymarket from a Desk with market search, charts, order books, positions and order controls. Each Desk gets a Polymarket account funded with pUSD on Polygon.

• Private Balance

  Bunker holds deposits in a Starknet privacy pool and funds venue accounts privately. This can hide the direct link between your main wallet and your positions, though deposits, withdrawals and some swap details remain visible.

• Multi-Venue Support

  The platform connects with Polymarket, Hyperliquid, Derive, Limitless, Dimes, Myriad Markets, Uniswap and other trading and payment services. It also supports EVM networks, Solana and Starknet.

• Scheduled Routines

  Set tasks that run on a schedule, such as watching Bitcoin and sending an alert after a 5 percent move.

• Developer Harness

  Developers can use an API and MCP server with the propose, verify and settle flow. Hosted tools work with Claude, ChatGPT, Cursor and Claude Code, and a local bridge is available under an MIT license.

• x402 Payment Checks

  The x402 Verifier checks agent payments before signing. It can confirm the token, quoted terms and payee before a payment moves.

Chance Fees

• Chance checks Chance checks cost 0.05 USD each, and Chance refunds a failed judge run.
• Free credits New harness accounts start with 50 free credits.
• Hosted Desk Hosted Desk has a hosting plan priced before you start it.
• AI plan costs Your own ChatGPT, Claude or Grok plan bills AI usage.
• Other fees Venue trading fees, bridge fees and private relay fees are quoted up front, while gas is sponsored on supported EVM, Solana and Starknet routes.

Chance Supported networks

• Polygon
• Starknet
• Base
• Ethereum
• Arbitrum
• Optimism
• Solana
• Hyperliquid

How to use Chance

1. 1

   Join the waitlist

   Open the Chance website and join the waitlist if you need access to the new Desk or Bunker. Bunker is a private alpha product and moves real money.

2. 2

   Sign in

   Sign in to Chance with your account. Review the wallet and privacy details before you connect funds.

3. 3

   Create a Desk

   Create a Desk, give it a name, and choose a hosted Desk or one that runs on your computer.

4. 4

   Connect your AI

   Connect your ChatGPT, Claude, or Grok account through the sign-in flow. Your provider plan limits and AI usage charges still apply.

5. 5

   Set safety checks

   Turn on Chance checks in the Desk settings if you want a second model to review each proposed action. Each check costs $0.05, and a failed judge run gets refunded.

6. 6

   Set wallet limits

   Set the amount per action, daily cap, and any asset or recipient restrictions. Chance prepares EVM, Solana, and Starknet wallets for the Desk, while connected wallets keep their own keys.

7. 7

   Fund your wallet

   Open Wallets, choose Receive, and send funds to the selected wallet. For private activity, deposit into Bunker instead, then review the quoted relay and venue fees before you confirm.

8. 8

   Install Polymarket

   Add Polymarket from the Desk apps and fund its dedicated account with pUSD on Polygon. You can also let an agent fund pUSD from another wallet through LI.FI.

9. 9

   Choose approval mode

   Start with Manual mode so Chance asks before any money moves. Use Autonomous mode only after you set per-trade and daily limits that the agents cannot raise.

10. 10

    Give a trade request

    Tell the Chief agent what to research or trade, including the market, amount, network, and any conditions. Review the proposed action and approve it in Manual mode, or let the agents act within your limits in Autonomous mode.

Chance Videos

Chance Screenshots

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Chance User Reviews

• 

  @layorae Apr 27, 2026

  A trader said manual prediction market trading is becoming the slow lane and noted the app was completely free.

  View on X ↗
• 

  @georgeyitb Apr 27, 2026

  A user replied that a model does not create edge without real data and live market validation.

  View on X ↗
• 

  @_kate_lv Apr 23, 2026

  A user asked publicly for an invite code.

  View on X ↗
• ?

  A community ranking of Polymarket tools placed Chance in C tier.

• ?

  The ready made presets save a lot of nerves; not a magic pill, but a great tool to avoid reinventing the wheel.

• ?

  A user asked what happens if the verifier disagrees with the trade the AI wants.

Chance Review

Chance Updates

1. 

   Chance Nov 4, 2026 · 15:34
   Your favourite apps. Now in Private mode. Powered by AI.
   Shadow Accounts coming soon on Chance 🔒
   • 9 replies
   • 6 reposts
   • 70 likes
   • 76K views
2. 

   Chance Oct 14, 2026 · 13:05
   Bunker mode loading...
   • 7 replies
   • 9 reposts
   • 71 likes
   • 13.3K views
3. 

   Chance Oct 6, 2026 · 14:28
   Have you tried the new Chance UI? 👀
   A cleaner way to connect your agents, verify actions, and stay in control.
   Explore it → https://harness.chance.cc

   
   • 2 replies
   • 1 reposts
   • 12 likes
   • 2.2K views
4. 

   Chance Oct 1, 2026 · 13:13
   🇸🇬 Chance is heading to Singapore for @TOKEN2049!
   Our team will be on the ground and would love to meet founders, investors, and builders!
   See you in Singapore!

   
   • 2 replies
   • 1 reposts
   • 28 likes
   • 1.1K views
5. 

   Chance Sep 27, 2026 · 13:46
   Every transaction starts with intent, then goes through three steps: Propose, Verify, Settle.
   Chance independently checks the action against what you intended and only releases funds when it passes.
   If the verification fails, nothing moves.

   
   • 1 replies
   • 19 likes
   • 717 views
6. 

   Chance Sep 23, 2026 · 16:47
   Chance integrated STRK20!
   Verify first. Then let it go stealth.
   @Starknet's STRK20 hides the sender, receiver, and amount. That removes the last obvious safety net for AI agents moving money. Nobody can watch what an agent does once it goes private.
   So verification has to move up a layer: to intent.
   Chance verifies every transfer against the mandate you signed, then returns a receipt proving it was authorized, without revealing who paid whom.
   STRK20 hides the transfer. Chance proves the behavior.
   • 11 replies
   • 10 reposts
   • 67 likes
   • 17.9K views
7. 

   Chance Sep 19, 2026 · 17:17
   Something’s coming 👀
   • 16 replies
   • 14 reposts
   • 106 likes
   • 7K views
8. 

   Chance Sep 17, 2026 · 19:31
   PROOF Cohort 01 demo day is almost here, some great teams participating building with @Starknet's privacy solution = STRK20.
   Demo Day will be livestreamed on the 22nd so you can see all the teams pitch to the judges.
   @credilabs @Haven_Hn_ @Chance_ @defaprimitive @HelixAssets @HiChipiPay @agamafinance
   • 2 replies
   • 6 reposts
   • 21 likes
   • 1.2K views
9. 

   Chance Sep 16, 2026 · 09:54
   One verification layer, across every venue where agents move money.
   From prediction markets and perps to spot, lending, yield, payments, and derivatives.
   Chance checks the action against your intent before it settles.

   
   • 1 replies
   • 1 reposts
   • 35 likes
   • 941 views
10. 

    Chance Sep 11, 2026 · 14:40
    Plug Chance into the stack you already have.
    → No rebuilding your workflow.
    → No extra complexity.
    → Just smarter agents, working with the tools you already use.
    Chance fits right in.

    
    • 6 replies
    • 2 reposts
    • 22 likes
    • 1.1K views
11. 

    Chance Sep 6, 2026 · 14:50
    AI agents can move fast, but speed without verification can be expensive.
    Chance checks every transaction against your intent before your money moves.
    Are you ready to verify your first order?

    
    • 3 replies
    • 4 reposts
    • 23 likes
    • 1.8K views
12. 

    Chance Sep 2, 2026 · 17:29
    Every dollar an autonomous agent touches should leave behind something stronger than a log line: a hash-chained, signed, on-chain receipt that anyone can recompute without trusting us, the agent, or the company that ran it.
    We are verifying the next trillion dollars agents move.

    
    • 4 replies
    • 1 reposts
    • 24 likes
    • 1.2K views
13. 

    Chance Aug 27, 2026 · 15:02
    .@DeriveXYZ is pushing onchain trading one step closer to a future where AI agents can operate with real guardrails.
    With @Chance_, every proposed options or perps trade is checked against the user’s intent before execution.
    AI can move fast. Risk controls make sure it moves right. 🔐

    
    • 4 replies
    • 2 reposts
    • 24 likes
    • 966 views
14. 

    Chance Aug 23, 2026 · 17:46
    Chance lets you connect an agent and get a real, hash-chained, judge-signed verdict.
    New accounts start with 50 free credits, enough to see your first verdict, receipt, and on-chain anchor for yourself.
    Don't trust - verify.

    
    • 6 replies
    • 1 reposts
    • 39 likes
    • 1.5K views
15. 

    Chance Aug 16, 2026 · 17:39
    Friendly reminder: our partner @Privy_io helps keep every action secure before funds move at @Chance_
    Autonomous payments only work when the wallet layer is something you can trust.
    Protected by Privy.
    • 12 replies
    • 3 reposts
    • 24 likes
    • 4.1K views
16. 

    Chance Aug 9, 2026 · 16:17
    The agent economy is going to need more than just smarter AI.
    It needs infrastructure that makes sure agents can act without giving up control of the money they manage.
    @Chance_ on @Starknet lets agents act while users keep control of the rules and funds.
    • 8 replies
    • 5 reposts
    • 57 likes
    • 4.6K views
17. 

    Chance Aug 6, 2026 · 18:37
    Chance, now live on Starknet.
    AI agents are increasingly being trusted to move money. Chance prevents agents from hallucinating with your money.
    Before an agent transaction executes, Chance simulates the exact action and checks it against the user’s mandate. If it does not match, it is blocked before funds move.
    On Starknet, Chance uses programmable escrow wallets. Agents can propose transactions, but funds only leave escrow when the proposed action satisfies the user’s mandate.
    Additionally, Chance will use Starknet’s privacy framework, STRK20, to keep an agent’s mandate and settlement context private, while allowing receipts to be selectively disclosed when needed.
    This is what Starknet enables for the agent economy: agents can act, but users keep control of the rules, the funds and what stays private.
    Welcome, @Chance_

    
    • 24 replies
    • 34 reposts
    • 209 likes
    • 24.3K views
18. 

    Chance Aug 6, 2026 · 16:03
    Chance now supports @Starknet!
    → Intent verification for any agent transaction, before it executes
    → Settlement proofs anchored on Starknet
    → Native Starknet escrow wallets
    AI agents don't need to be trusted. They need to be verified → http://harness.chance.cc
    • 17 replies
    • 11 reposts
    • 64 likes
    • 20.8K views
19. 

    Chance Jul 30, 2026 · 19:08
    PayBox by @MoonPay now lets ChatGPT and Claude spend from your wallet and cards, with caps and scoped grants.
    Caps tell you how much. They don't tell you whether the agent hallucinated the vendor, paid the wrong address, or bought the wrong thing.
    Chance verifies every action against your actual intent before it executes. Plug it in as a check on top of what you already use, or use Chance escrow, where a failed check moves nothing.
    Works with the PayBox MCP, or with any agent that moves money.
    http://harness.chance.cc
    • 11 replies
    • 4 reposts
    • 35 likes
    • 3.1K views

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