Hyperliquid Prediction Market
Traders buy Yes/No outcome contracts on Hyperliquid's own order book, using the same account and collateral as their perps and spot trades.
Hyperliquid Prediction Markets: HIP-4 Outcome Trading
What is Hyperliquid Prediction Market?
Hyperliquid Prediction Markets bring HIP-4 outcome trading to Polymarket users, with fully collateralized binary contracts, order book pricing, and no liquidation risk on sports, crypto, and political events.
Hyperliquid Prediction Market Referral Code
The Hyperliquid Prediction Market referral code is VIPTRADER. Enter it when you sign up on the official site.
VIPTRADER
Hyperliquid Prediction Market Overview
Hyperliquid prediction markets use the HIP-4 outcome markets primitive, a system built for fully collateralized binary contracts. Each contract settles to a fixed value based on a real event. Traders buy Yes or No tokens priced between 0 and 1, and that price shows the market's implied probability. When the market settles, the winning side pays 1 unit of the quote asset per contract, and the losing side pays 0.
These markets live inside HyperCore, the same matching engine that runs Hyperliquid's perpetual futures and spot trading. This matters because traders don't need a separate deposit or a bridge. The same account and the same collateral pool can hold a prediction position next to a perp or a spot holding.
This tool fits active Hyperliquid traders who already hold USDC or USDH and want to bet on price levels, macro data, or other event outcomes without switching platforms. It also suits traders who want to hedge a prediction against a perp in the same account, since margin is shared across both. Market makers get a central limit order book instead of an automated market maker curve, and opening a position costs nothing.
Every contract is backed in full by locked collateral, so there is no leverage and no liquidation risk. The most a trader can lose is what they paid for the contract. Yes and No order books share liquidity, since a buy order on Yes at price p works the same as a sell order on No at 1 minus p. This keeps the book deep instead of split across two thin markets.
Contracts expire at a set time. Bitcoin markets settle using Hyperliquid's own mark price near expiry. Markets tied to outside events, like a CPI report or a rate decision, settle through validator votes based on public data and fixed rules. Opening a position is free. Fees only apply when a trader closes, burns, or settles a contract, and maker orders on many outcome markets pay zero.
To trade, a user opens the Hyperliquid interface, funds the account with the quote asset, and picks a market under the Outcomes or Predict tab. They choose a side, enter a size, and place an order. At expiry, winning tokens convert to the settlement payout automatically, and losing tokens convert to zero. Anyone who wants out early can just sell the tokens back on the order book. Advanced traders can also use the public API with the same endpoints used for spot trading, plus an asset identifier system for outcome sides.
What sets this apart from most prediction market apps is the shared account structure. A trader does not move funds between a prediction platform and a trading platform, they stay in one place with one collateral pool. That setup gives Hyperliquid users a direct way to add event exposure to a portfolio that may already include perps and spot positions.
Hyperliquid Prediction Market Key features
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One Account, All Trades
You trade outcomes, perps, and spot from the same margin balance. No need to move money between accounts or platforms.
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Order Book Pricing
Markets run on a central limit order book instead of an automated market maker. This gives tighter spreads and better fills, especially when a big sports event drives heavy trading.
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Fully Collateralized Contracts
Every position is backed in full, so there is no leverage and no liquidation risk. You can hold an event bet for weeks without worrying about a margin call.
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Validator and Oracle Settlement
Hyperliquid validators resolve most early markets, which cuts down on oracle disputes. Other markets pull in outside data feeds to cover more event types.
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Builder-Launched Markets
Teams stake HYPE to open their own prediction markets on the platform. Builders earn fees and volume rewards, which pushes the market list to grow fast.
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Fast Order Execution
The custom Hyperliquid L1 processes orders quickly, which matters for events that move fast, like a live sports score or a breaking price swing.
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Beyond Yes or No
The framework also supports bounded options-style contracts and pre-IPO style bets. Traders get more ways to bet on an event than a simple binary outcome.
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Stablecoin Settlement
Trades settle in USDC or USDH, so profits and losses land in stablecoins you already use elsewhere on the platform.
Hyperliquid Prediction Market Fees
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Opening fee Opening or minting a position has no trading fee.
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Maker fee Maker orders on outcome markets currently pay zero in the base design.
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Taker fee on close Taker fees apply only when you close, burn, or settle a position, using a structure similar to spot trading.
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Builder codes Interfaces using builder codes can still earn a small share on qualifying sells.
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Deployer fee share Deployers of permissionless markets can set an extra fee share of up to 50 percent of the trading fees their markets generate.
Hyperliquid Prediction Market Supported networks
Hyperliquid
Ethereum
Solana
Base
BNB Chain
How to use Hyperliquid Prediction Market
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Connect your wallet
Go to app.hyperliquid.xyz and connect a wallet that works with the platform.
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Fund your account
Deposit USDC or another supported asset into your margin account.
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Open the outcomes section
Find the Outcomes or Prediction tab in the trading interface.
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Browse the markets
Look through the list of markets, such as sports events, price binaries, or macro indicators.
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Pick a market and a side
Choose a market, check the order book, and decide whether to buy the yes side or the no side.
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Place your order
Enter the size you want, confirm you have full collateral, and submit a market or limit order.
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Track your position
Watch your open position in the unified dashboard alongside your other trades.
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Wait for settlement
When the event ends, the contract settles to 0 or 1 and your account updates on its own.
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Withdraw or reinvest
Pull out your profits or use the funds to open a new position.
Hyperliquid Prediction Market Screenshots
Hyperliquid Prediction Market Review
Pros
- Traders can hold prediction positions in the same account as their perps and spot, with no bridge or transfer needed.
- Every contract is fully collateralized, so there is no liquidation risk on a position.
- Opening a position costs no trading fee, and fees apply only when you close or settle.
- The merged Yes and No order book keeps liquidity in one place instead of splitting it across two sides.
- Price based markets settle using the platform's own mark price, so outcomes are deterministic.
- Offchain event markets are resolved by the same validator set that already secures billions in perpetual open interest.
- A trader can buy a Yes contract and short the related perpetual in one account to isolate a pure event view.
- The order book shows real time depth and matches by price and time, instead of pricing off a curve.
- Maker orders on outcomes often pay zero fees.
- Permissionless market deployment lets outside operators list new markets, and their stake keeps them accountable.
Cons
- Market selection is limited compared to large consumer prediction platforms.
- Offchain event resolution depends on validator votes instead of an independent oracle dispute process.
- Integer size requirements and the asset identifier system feel unfamiliar to traders coming from other prediction platforms.
- Spreads on less popular, non recurring markets stay wide because fewer makers trade them.
- Deploying a permissionless market requires a very large HYPE stake, so only well capitalized teams can create markets.
- The platform works only on the Hyperliquid L1, so traders without funds there face an extra deposit step.
- Non binary settlement through settleFraction adds complexity beyond a simple win or lose outcome.
Our verdict
Hyperliquid Prediction Market works well because it does not ask you to leave Hyperliquid at all. Your outcome positions sit in the same account as your perps and spot, backed by the same collateral pool, so you can hedge a Yes token with a short perp without moving a single dollar. The design is fully collateralized (no liquidations, no funding rate), opens are free, and the central limit order book gives you real depth instead of AMM curve pricing, which is rare in this space. The catalog is still thin outside the flagship Bitcoin markets, offchain events settle by validator vote rather than an external oracle, and the huge HYPE stake needed to permissionlessly list a market keeps creation in the hands of well funded teams. This tool makes the most sense for traders who already live on Hyperliquid and want to add event exposure without fragmenting their capital, not for someone hunting a wide menu of political or pop culture markets.
Is Hyperliquid Prediction Market safe & legit?
Hyperliquid Prediction Market is built by Hyperliquid Labs, the same self funded team behind the Hyperliquid perpetuals exchange, led by Jeff Yan and the pseudonymous iliensinc. It runs on the platform's own L1 with fully collateralized contracts, so there is no liquidation risk and no separate bridge to trust, which gives it solid standing among traders who already use Hyperliquid daily. The main known risk is not a security flaw but a design tradeoff: offchain event markets settle through validator votes instead of an outside oracle, and market choices are still limited compared to Polymarket itself.
X account intel @HyperliquidX
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Based in North America
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Joined X May 2022 4 years ago
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Username changes 3 renames last on Dec 20, 2022
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Signup source Web
Public profile signals from X. Use as one input alongside other due-diligence.
Wallet blacklist scan checked Aug 15, 2026
- MetaMask Not flagged
- Phantom Not flagged
- ScamSniffer Not flagged
- EtherAddressLookup Not flagged
- Keplr Wallet Not flagged
Domain app.hyperliquid.xyz checked against public crypto wallet blacklists.
Hyperliquid Prediction Market FAQ
What are Hyperliquid prediction markets and how do they work?
Do I need to move funds to a separate platform to trade these markets?
Are there fees to open a position?
How does settlement work, and who decides the outcome?
Can anyone create a new prediction market on Hyperliquid?
Hyperliquid Prediction Market Updates
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TWAP orders now support the following features, fully onchain:
+ Trigger price: TWAP order activates when mark price reaches your set level
+ Max/min price: TWAP order terminates when mark price crosses your max price (for buys/longs) or min price (for sells/shorts)
+ Longer running time: Extended to 7 days
+ Dynamic suborder intervals: Suborder intervals are no longer fixed at 30 seconds. The interval is calculated from the total size and running time set, with 30 seconds as the minimum
+ Lower minimum order size: $100 notional per TWAP order; minimum notional per suborder is still $10- 174 replies
- 203 reposts
- 1.1K likes
- 104.9K views
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@tradexyz reached new all time highs across the board:
- Cumulative trading volume: $408.4B
- Cumulative weekend trading volume: $26.07B
- 24hr peak volume: $5.6B
- Open interest: $3.9B
- Daily unique traders (24hr peak): 60.6k
- 67 replies
- 92 reposts
- 614 likes
- 61.5K views
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On July 16, HL Global welcomed 200 attendees, 40 speakers, and 20 sponsors to the New York Athletic Club for the Hyperliquid Summit 2026.
Across two stages, Hyperliquid ecosystem teams joined leading financial institutions, investors, policy leaders, and academics to examine where Hyperliquid stands today, and where it is headed next.
1/
- 56 replies
- 45 reposts
- 394 likes
- 48K views
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The Pre-IPO Perpetual (IPOP) Market for CXMT is now live.
CXMT is a pre-IPO market reflecting the market-implied value of 1 ordinary share (A-share) of ChangXin Technology Group Co., Ltd. (SHE: 688825) in USD terms. CXMT manufactures semiconductor DRAM memory chips. After the IPO, the oracle will convert the underlying stock’s Renminbi price to USD at the prevailing FX rate.
- 46 replies
- 116 reposts
- 551 likes
- 159.8K views
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Real-world asset (RWA) open interest on Hyperliquid reached a new ATH of $3.6B
Total OI reached a new high for 2026 of $11B
- 282 replies
- 534 reposts
- 2K likes
- 223.6K views
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By community request, you can now long or short $CASHCAT perps with up to 3x leverage.
1 more in this thread
Trading is on low leverage and isolated margin only. Listing is not an endorsement of the project. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do not trade assets you are unfamiliar with and do not understand the risks for. Exercise control. NFA.
https://app.hyperliquid.xyz/trade/CASHCAT- 380 replies
- 408 reposts
- 2.9K likes
- 1M views
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Following the recent launch of Perps on VALR, and our integration of @HyperliquidX, VALR's Co-Founder and CEO @farzamehsani sat down with Hyperliquid's Co-Founder and CEO Jeff Yan (@chameleon_jeff) to discuss the integration, the future of CeFi and DeFi, and their aspirations to move finance forward.
- 53 replies
- 106 reposts
- 473 likes
- 163.3K views
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VALR, Africa's largest crypto exchange by trading volume, is using Hyperliquid as the onchain infrastructure layer to bring perpetuals to its users.
This marks the first time a centralized exchange has integrated Hyperliquid directly. By building on Hyperliquid, VALR can focus on the experience and interface its users trust. Users benefit from Hyperliquid's deep liquidity and onchain transparency, while never having to leave the VALR platform.- 257 replies
- 658 reposts
- 2.2K likes
- 427.1K views
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Trade[XYZ] and Hyperliquid data is now live on @tradingview. Putting this data where traders live has been a top priority for us.
Markets are increasingly shaped by events unfolding around the clock, and price discovery shouldn't stop when traditional venues close.
Users now have real-time visibility into 24/7 price discovery on the world's most-used charting platform.- 134 replies
- 177 reposts
- 1.3K likes
- 196.6K views
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By community request, you can now long or short $GRAM perps with up to 5x leverage.
1 more in this thread
Listing is not an endorsement of the project. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do not trade assets you are unfamiliar with and do not understand the risks for. Exercise control. NFA.
https://app.hyperliquid.xyz/trade/GRAM- 91 replies
- 232 reposts
- 935 likes
- 143.8K views
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We’re proud to welcome @HyperFND as our newest Platinum Donor.
With this support SEAL can do more emergency response, more threat intelligence, & more protection for the entire ecosystem.- 48 replies
- 48 reposts
- 359 likes
- 45.8K views
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Hyperliquid has been added to the MAS's Investor Alert List (IAL). IAL listing does not constitute a ban, an enforcement action, or a finding of wrongdoing. The IAL provides a list of entities that, based on information available to MAS, may be wrongly perceived as being licensed or in any other way authorised or regulated by MAS. Many large exchanges and defi protocols have been included on the IAL.
Hyperliquid is permissionless infrastructure. It is not, and has never claimed to be, licensed or authorised by MAS, and no one should regard it as such. Nothing about the network has changed. As on other permissionless blockchains, users maintain self-custody at all times, and transactions settle transparently and fully onchain.
The Hyperliquid ecosystem remains committed to engaging collaboratively and constructively with regulators and institutions globally and to supporting clear, well-designed frameworks for onchain finance.- 292 replies
- 911 reposts
- 2.8K likes
- 372.9K views
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Portfolio margin on Hyperliquid has been live for six months and is now in beta with increased limits.
Users with account value <$25M can use BTC and HYPE as collateral to trade perps, spot, and outcome markets with greater capital efficiency.
See the Docs for borrow and supply caps, account requirements, and more: https://hyperliquid.gitbook.io/hyperliquid-docs/trading/portfolio-margin
See the Support Guide for frequently asked questions: https://hyperliquid.gitbook.io/hyperliquid-docs/support/faq/portfolio-margin- 205 replies
- 428 reposts
- 1.9K likes
- 316.2K views
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As part of the USDH sunset, all USDH-denominated markets on HyperCore have completed settlement.
Users are recommended to immediately:
+ Swap USDH on HyperCore for USDC on the spot order book: https://app.hyperliquid.xyz/trade/USDH/USDC
+ Swap USDH on HyperEVM for USDC 1:1 with no fees via Across: https://across.to/?from=hyperevm&to=hypercore&inputToken=USDH&outputToken=USDC-SPOT
+ Withdraw supplied USDH from Borrow/Lend: https://app.hyperliquid.xyz/earn
+ Repay borrowed USDH by buying USDH/USDC: https://app.hyperliquid.xyz/trade/USDH/USDC- 128 replies
- 189 reposts
- 981 likes
- 128.8K views
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Perpetuals are now live on fomo, powered by @HyperliquidX and @tradexyz.
Equity, pre-IPO, crypto, indices, and commodities perps, all from one app.
See you on the leaderboard. Trade perps on fomo today.- 241 replies
- 195 reposts
- 1.3K likes
- 451.5K views
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RWA open interest on Hyperliquid reached a new ATH of $3B
HIP-3 has set a new OI record every month since its launch in October 2025- 496 replies
- 1.2K reposts
- 3.3K likes
- 228.1K views
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Talos has integrated with @Hyperliquid, giving select institutional clients access to on-chain liquidity, alongside their existing centralized venue activity through a single workflow.
Hyperliquid users can now access spot and perpetual futures markets, including HIP-3 builder-deployed perpetuals, directly within the Talos platform.
🎙️ “Adding Hyperliquid to the Talos platform removes a real barrier for firms that want on-chain exposure without building and maintaining a separate connection." —Daniel Packham, VP and Head of Provider Network at Talos.
➡️ Read the announcement: https://ow.ly/wLKt50Z3BSR
- 72 replies
- 77 reposts
- 464 likes
- 107.6K views
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RWA trading on Hyperliquid reached a new ATH of $2.6B in open interest, double the amount from two months ago. Demand for 24/7, onchain access to real world assets continues to grow.
- 495 replies
- 545 reposts
- 3.2K likes
- 483.1K views
Hyperliquid Prediction Market Reviews & Comments
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Hyperliquid Prediction Market Referral Code
The Hyperliquid Prediction Market referral code is VIPTRADER. Enter it when you sign up on the official site.
VIPTRADER
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