Hyperliquid Prediction Market
Traders buy Yes/No outcome contracts on Hyperliquid's own order book, using the same account and collateral as their perps and spot trades.
Hyperliquid Prediction Markets: HIP-4 Outcome Trading
What is Hyperliquid Prediction Market?
Hyperliquid Prediction Markets bring HIP-4 outcome trading to Polymarket users, with fully collateralized binary contracts, order book pricing, and no liquidation risk on sports, crypto, and political events.
Hyperliquid Prediction Market Referral Code
The Hyperliquid Prediction Market referral code is VIPTRADER. Enter it when you sign up on the official site.
VIPTRADER
Hyperliquid Prediction Market Overview
Hyperliquid prediction markets use the HIP-4 outcome markets primitive, a system built for fully collateralized binary contracts. Each contract settles to a fixed value based on a real event. Traders buy Yes or No tokens priced between 0 and 1, and that price shows the market's implied probability. When the market settles, the winning side pays 1 unit of the quote asset per contract, and the losing side pays 0.
These markets live inside HyperCore, the same matching engine that runs Hyperliquid's perpetual futures and spot trading. This matters because traders don't need a separate deposit or a bridge. The same account and the same collateral pool can hold a prediction position next to a perp or a spot holding.
This tool fits active Hyperliquid traders who already hold USDC or USDH and want to bet on price levels, macro data, or other event outcomes without switching platforms. It also suits traders who want to hedge a prediction against a perp in the same account, since margin is shared across both. Market makers get a central limit order book instead of an automated market maker curve, and opening a position costs nothing.
Every contract is backed in full by locked collateral, so there is no leverage and no liquidation risk. The most a trader can lose is what they paid for the contract. Yes and No order books share liquidity, since a buy order on Yes at price p works the same as a sell order on No at 1 minus p. This keeps the book deep instead of split across two thin markets.
Contracts expire at a set time. Bitcoin markets settle using Hyperliquid's own mark price near expiry. Markets tied to outside events, like a CPI report or a rate decision, settle through validator votes based on public data and fixed rules. Opening a position is free. Fees only apply when a trader closes, burns, or settles a contract, and maker orders on many outcome markets pay zero.
To trade, a user opens the Hyperliquid interface, funds the account with the quote asset, and picks a market under the Outcomes or Predict tab. They choose a side, enter a size, and place an order. At expiry, winning tokens convert to the settlement payout automatically, and losing tokens convert to zero. Anyone who wants out early can just sell the tokens back on the order book. Advanced traders can also use the public API with the same endpoints used for spot trading, plus an asset identifier system for outcome sides.
What sets this apart from most prediction market apps is the shared account structure. A trader does not move funds between a prediction platform and a trading platform, they stay in one place with one collateral pool. That setup gives Hyperliquid users a direct way to add event exposure to a portfolio that may already include perps and spot positions.
Hyperliquid Prediction Market Key features
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One Account, All Trades
You trade outcomes, perps, and spot from the same margin balance. No need to move money between accounts or platforms.
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Order Book Pricing
Markets run on a central limit order book instead of an automated market maker. This gives tighter spreads and better fills, especially when a big sports event drives heavy trading.
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Fully Collateralized Contracts
Every position is backed in full, so there is no leverage and no liquidation risk. You can hold an event bet for weeks without worrying about a margin call.
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Validator and Oracle Settlement
Hyperliquid validators resolve most early markets, which cuts down on oracle disputes. Other markets pull in outside data feeds to cover more event types.
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Builder-Launched Markets
Teams stake HYPE to open their own prediction markets on the platform. Builders earn fees and volume rewards, which pushes the market list to grow fast.
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Fast Order Execution
The custom Hyperliquid L1 processes orders quickly, which matters for events that move fast, like a live sports score or a breaking price swing.
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Beyond Yes or No
The framework also supports bounded options-style contracts and pre-IPO style bets. Traders get more ways to bet on an event than a simple binary outcome.
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Stablecoin Settlement
Trades settle in USDC or USDH, so profits and losses land in stablecoins you already use elsewhere on the platform.
Hyperliquid Prediction Market Fees
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Opening fee Opening or minting a position has no trading fee.
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Maker fee Maker orders on outcome markets currently pay zero in the base design.
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Taker fee on close Taker fees apply only when you close, burn, or settle a position, using a structure similar to spot trading.
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Builder codes Interfaces using builder codes can still earn a small share on qualifying sells.
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Deployer fee share Deployers of permissionless markets can set an extra fee share of up to 50 percent of the trading fees their markets generate.
Hyperliquid Prediction Market Supported networks
Hyperliquid
Ethereum
Solana
Base
BNB Chain
How to use Hyperliquid Prediction Market
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Connect your wallet
Go to app.hyperliquid.xyz and connect a wallet that works with the platform.
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Fund your account
Deposit USDC or another supported asset into your margin account.
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Open the outcomes section
Find the Outcomes or Prediction tab in the trading interface.
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Browse the markets
Look through the list of markets, such as sports events, price binaries, or macro indicators.
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Pick a market and a side
Choose a market, check the order book, and decide whether to buy the yes side or the no side.
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Place your order
Enter the size you want, confirm you have full collateral, and submit a market or limit order.
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Track your position
Watch your open position in the unified dashboard alongside your other trades.
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Wait for settlement
When the event ends, the contract settles to 0 or 1 and your account updates on its own.
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Withdraw or reinvest
Pull out your profits or use the funds to open a new position.
Hyperliquid Prediction Market Screenshots
Hyperliquid Prediction Market Review
Pros
- Traders can hold prediction positions in the same account as their perps and spot, with no bridge or transfer needed.
- Every contract is fully collateralized, so there is no liquidation risk on a position.
- Opening a position costs no trading fee, and fees apply only when you close or settle.
- The merged Yes and No order book keeps liquidity in one place instead of splitting it across two sides.
- Price based markets settle using the platform's own mark price, so outcomes are deterministic.
- Offchain event markets are resolved by the same validator set that already secures billions in perpetual open interest.
- A trader can buy a Yes contract and short the related perpetual in one account to isolate a pure event view.
- The order book shows real time depth and matches by price and time, instead of pricing off a curve.
- Maker orders on outcomes often pay zero fees.
- Permissionless market deployment lets outside operators list new markets, and their stake keeps them accountable.
Cons
- Market selection is limited compared to large consumer prediction platforms.
- Offchain event resolution depends on validator votes instead of an independent oracle dispute process.
- Integer size requirements and the asset identifier system feel unfamiliar to traders coming from other prediction platforms.
- Spreads on less popular, non recurring markets stay wide because fewer makers trade them.
- Deploying a permissionless market requires a very large HYPE stake, so only well capitalized teams can create markets.
- The platform works only on the Hyperliquid L1, so traders without funds there face an extra deposit step.
- Non binary settlement through settleFraction adds complexity beyond a simple win or lose outcome.
Our verdict
Hyperliquid Prediction Market works well because it does not ask you to leave Hyperliquid at all. Your outcome positions sit in the same account as your perps and spot, backed by the same collateral pool, so you can hedge a Yes token with a short perp without moving a single dollar. The design is fully collateralized (no liquidations, no funding rate), opens are free, and the central limit order book gives you real depth instead of AMM curve pricing, which is rare in this space. The catalog is still thin outside the flagship Bitcoin markets, offchain events settle by validator vote rather than an external oracle, and the huge HYPE stake needed to permissionlessly list a market keeps creation in the hands of well funded teams. This tool makes the most sense for traders who already live on Hyperliquid and want to add event exposure without fragmenting their capital, not for someone hunting a wide menu of political or pop culture markets.
Is Hyperliquid Prediction Market safe & legit?
Hyperliquid Prediction Market is built by Hyperliquid Labs, the same self funded team behind the Hyperliquid perpetuals exchange, led by Jeff Yan and the pseudonymous iliensinc. It runs on the platform's own L1 with fully collateralized contracts, so there is no liquidation risk and no separate bridge to trust, which gives it solid standing among traders who already use Hyperliquid daily. The main known risk is not a security flaw but a design tradeoff: offchain event markets settle through validator votes instead of an outside oracle, and market choices are still limited compared to Polymarket itself.
X account intel @HyperliquidX
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Based in North America
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Joined X May 2022 4 years ago
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Username changes 3 renames last on Dec 20, 2022
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Signup source Web
Public profile signals from X. Use as one input alongside other due-diligence.
Security scan checked Oct 15, 2026
- Google Web Risk Not flagged
- MetaMask Not flagged
- Phantom Not flagged
- ScamSniffer Not flagged
- EtherAddressLookup Not flagged
- Keplr Wallet Not flagged
Domain app.hyperliquid.xyz checked against Google's lists of unsafe sites and public crypto wallet blacklists.
Hyperliquid Prediction Market FAQ
What are Hyperliquid prediction markets and how do they work?
Do I need to move funds to a separate platform to trade these markets?
Are there fees to open a position?
How does settlement work, and who decides the outcome?
Can anyone create a new prediction market on Hyperliquid?
Hyperliquid Prediction Market Updates
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Thank you to everyone who traveled near and far to make it to Monday's community event. Multiple members of the ecosystem hosted their own events to celebrate Hyperliquid and the community throughout the week. Thank you to every organizer for the hard work and dedication behind each one.
The builder booths were a highlight for many. To everyone building on Hyperliquid: thank you for bringing more of finance onchain and spreading the word.
Since last year, even more builders, users, and institutions have contributed to the ecosystem's growth. Hyperliquid's vision is to be infrastructure to house all finance, and every year, that vision becomes more of a reality.
- 254 replies
- 182 reposts
- 1.6K likes
- 105.4K views
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The Hyperliquid community event will take place on the evening of October 5 in Singapore: https://luma.com/HL2026Community
This is a chance to spend time with the builders and users who've shaped the ecosystem
The event is oversubscribed; you will only be able to attend if your RSVP was accepted. If your RSVP was accepted but you're no longer able to attend, please cancel your RSVP to make space for others
- 250 replies
- 136 reposts
- 1.3K likes
- 174.4K views
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Open interest reached an all-time high of $18B on Hyperliquid
1 more in this thread
Note: Two-sided OI is calculated as the sum of long and short positions- 391 replies
- 385 reposts
- 3K likes
- 359.3K views
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Trailing stops are now available for perp markets.
A trailing stop's trigger price follows the mark price as it moves in favor of the position. When the mark price retraces from its best level by the selected distance or percentage, it triggers a market order. For long positions, the trigger price follows the highest mark price reached since activation; for short positions, it follows the lowest. An optional activation price determines when tracking begins. Without one, tracking begins immediately at the current mark price.1 more in this thread
See the Support Docs for more: https://hyperliquid.gitbook.io/hyperliquid-docs/support/faq/trailing-stops- 256 replies
- 216 reposts
- 2.2K likes
- 252.7K views
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Manual borrows are live on Hyperliquid
Portfolio margin and manual borrows use the same underlying HyperCore infrastructure, with $269M in assets borrowed today.
Users can supply HYPE and BTC as collateral to borrow quote assets (USDC and USDT). Borrowed quote assets pay interest, and supplied quote assets earn interest, with rates set by utilization.
1 more in this thread
See the Support Docs for more: https://hyperliquid.gitbook.io/hyperliquid-docs/support/faq/manual-borrows- 327 replies
- 316 reposts
- 2K likes
- 595.6K views
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By community request, $USELESS perps have been listed with up to 3x leverage.
1 more in this thread
Listing is not an endorsement of the project. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do not trade assets you are unfamiliar with and do not understand the risks for. Exercise control. NFA.
https://app.hyperliquid.xyz/trade/USELESS- 276 replies
- 165 reposts
- 1.6K likes
- 296.3K views
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By community request, ethereum:0x07f5b6823751c2e2cd4560f28af75ff887102241 perps have been listed with up to 3x leverage.
1 more in this thread
Listing is not an endorsement of the project. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do not trade assets you are unfamiliar with and do not understand the risks for. Exercise control. NFA.
https://app.hyperliquid.xyz/trade/PONS- 325 replies
- 277 reposts
- 2.8K likes
- 797.8K views
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Accelerating the next phase of tokenized stocks on @HyperliquidX.
MUx, SKHYx, NVDAx, QQQx and SPYx live as native spot markets.
~$1M in liquidity per asset. 8–12 bps average spreads.
Trading 24/7 with more assets launching soon.
- 42 replies
- 53 reposts
- 547 likes
- 36.3K views
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Base App perps are live powered by Hyperliquid.
Long or short anything from your phone.
- 223 replies
- 215 reposts
- 1.6K likes
- 181.8K views
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TWAP orders now support the following features, fully onchain:
+ Trigger price: TWAP order activates when mark price reaches your set level
+ Max/min price: TWAP order terminates when mark price crosses your max price (for buys/longs) or min price (for sells/shorts)
+ Longer running time: Extended to 7 days
+ Dynamic suborder intervals: Suborder intervals are no longer fixed at 30 seconds. The interval is calculated from the total size and running time set, with 30 seconds as the minimum
+ Lower minimum order size: $100 notional per TWAP order; minimum notional per suborder is still $10- 269 replies
- 220 reposts
- 1.2K likes
- 182.4K views
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@tradexyz reached new all time highs across the board:
- Cumulative trading volume: $408.4B
- Cumulative weekend trading volume: $26.07B
- 24hr peak volume: $5.6B
- Open interest: $3.9B
- Daily unique traders (24hr peak): 60.6k
- 66 replies
- 91 reposts
- 613 likes
- 64.3K views
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On July 16, HL Global welcomed 200 attendees, 40 speakers, and 20 sponsors to the New York Athletic Club for the Hyperliquid Summit 2026.
Across two stages, Hyperliquid ecosystem teams joined leading financial institutions, investors, policy leaders, and academics to examine where Hyperliquid stands today, and where it is headed next.
1/
- 56 replies
- 44 reposts
- 388 likes
- 55.1K views
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The Pre-IPO Perpetual (IPOP) Market for CXMT is now live.
CXMT is a pre-IPO market reflecting the market-implied value of 1 ordinary share (A-share) of ChangXin Technology Group Co., Ltd. (SHE: 688825) in USD terms. CXMT manufactures semiconductor DRAM memory chips. After the IPO, the oracle will convert the underlying stock’s Renminbi price to USD at the prevailing FX rate.
- 46 replies
- 112 reposts
- 543 likes
- 162.7K views
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Real-world asset (RWA) open interest on Hyperliquid reached a new ATH of $3.6B
Total OI reached a new high for 2026 of $11B
- 366 replies
- 547 reposts
- 2.2K likes
- 292.8K views
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By community request, you can now long or short $CASHCAT perps with up to 3x leverage.
1 more in this thread
Trading is on low leverage and isolated margin only. Listing is not an endorsement of the project. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do not trade assets you are unfamiliar with and do not understand the risks for. Exercise control. NFA.
https://app.hyperliquid.xyz/trade/CASHCAT- 434 replies
- 422 reposts
- 3.1K likes
- 1.1M views
Hyperliquid Prediction Market Reviews & Comments
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Hyperliquid Prediction Market Referral Code
The Hyperliquid Prediction Market referral code is VIPTRADER. Enter it when you sign up on the official site.
VIPTRADER
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